Arc All-Weather £1Million Bonus Returns Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:59

Arc All-Weather £1Million Bonus Returns Handicap

Date 2025-10-18

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Massimo Blue Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:George Baker	J:Jack Mitchell T:George Baker	139	t	567081	66	70	51	2d	—	—	-10	25.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Back to form with a game win at Southwell on Thursday; solid claims under a penalty
12 (3)	Sam's Hope Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Martin Dunne	J:Hollie Doyle T:Martin Dunne	130	t	424214	56	73	62	30d	—	—	-1	17.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Ran away with a C&D handicap last month; only 4th two days later and now 3lb higher
3 (4)	Saffredi Bay J:William Carson T:Grace Harris	J:William Carson T:Grace Harris	134	p	533429	60	70	17	14d	—	—	-4	11.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won this race last year and added another C&D win in April; contender back down in class
1 (8)	Ten Club Brown J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	134	—	157535	60	70	52	24d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
1lb lower than for his turf win in May; return to 6f a plus; capable granted a good pace
6 (9)	Dolly's Delight Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Ivan Furtado	J:Joe Fanning T:Ivan Furtado	132	—	-03169	59	71	-	43d	—	—	+4	9.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not at best in two runs since an easy Beverley win in July (7.5f); new yard drop her to 6f
11 (12)	How's The Guvnor Bay J:George Wood T:Jennie Candlish	J:George Wood T:Jennie Candlish	130	h	598689	56	66	53	46d	—	—	-3	3.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Tumbled down the weights but not sure he's ready to capitalise; wide draw not ideal either
13 (1)	Bella Love Bay J:Jordan Nason(3) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Jordan Nason(3) T:Ivan Furtado	130	h	459426	57	71	57	39d	—	—	+1	6.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Exposed maiden but this year's best form gives her claims off a lowly mark; promise on AW
2 (10)	Watermelon Sugar Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	134	—	129000	60	68	72	60d	—	—	0	5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
On a good mark; recent efforts uninspiring but he needs a market check
9 (7)	Juniper's Dream Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:David Evans	J:Pat Cosgrave T:David Evans	130	—	30-757	57	68	28	7d	—	—	-1	2.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well held in two handicap runs for new stable, the latest over C&D last week; not solid
8 (2)	Amerjeet Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ian McInnes	J:Luke Morris T:Ian McInnes	131	—	066068	58	66	49	40d	—	—	-1	3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Poor form for new stable but dropped a long way in the weights; risky but not impossible
7 (6)	Secret Road Grey J:Alfie Redman(7) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Alfie Redman(7) T:Lisa Williamson	131	h	0815-0	57	66	-	36d	—	—	-1	2.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Low-key reappearance/stable debut at Chester last month; return to AW in his favour
NR (13)	Initial Blue Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	133	p	890344	60	71	66	24d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	—	4	—	—
More competitive in recent starts but he has the widest stall to negotiate today
NR (11)	Nordic Glory Chestnut J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Michael Attwater	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Michael Attwater	130	—	435431	56	72	62	26d	—	—	—	14.2	—	—
Three C&D wins in 2025, the latest in a 0-55 last month; wide draw may scupper a follow up

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Massimo Blue	6/4	13/8	6/4	6/4	11/8
Sam's Hope	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Saffredi	9/2	9/2	5/1	5/1	9/2
Ten Club	8/1	17/2	8/1	7/1	8/1
Dolly's Delight	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
How's The Guvnor	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Bella Love	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Watermelon Sugar	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Juniper's Dream	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Amerjeet	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Secret Road	40/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Initial Blue	-	-	-	-	-
Nordic Glory	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Massimo Blue

25.4

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Sam's Hope

17.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Nordic Glory

14.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 12.7 Odds: 0

—

Saffredi

11.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Dolly's Delight

9.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ten Club

7.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Bella Love

6.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.5

18/1

Watermelon Sugar

OR: 2.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.5

18/1

Initial Blue

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

How's The Guvnor

3.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Amerjeet

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Juniper's Dream

2.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Secret Road

2.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Massimo Blue	66	70	51
Saffredi	60	70	17
Ten Club	60	70	52
Watermelon Sugar	60	68	72
Initial Blue	60	71	66
Dolly's Delight	59	71	—
Amerjeet	58	66	49
Bella Love	57	71	57
Juniper's Dream	57	68	28
Secret Road	57	66	—
Sam's Hope	56	73	62
How's The Guvnor	56	66	53
Nordic Glory	56	72	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Massimo Blue	2d ago	Quick return
Juniper's Dream	7d ago	Quick return
Saffredi	14d ago	Fit
Ten Club	24d ago	Fit
Initial Blue	24d ago	Fit
Nordic Glory	26d ago	Fit
Sam's Hope	30d ago	Fit
Secret Road	36d ago	Fit
Bella Love	39d ago	Fit
Amerjeet	40d ago	Fit
Dolly's Delight	43d ago	Fit
How's The Guvnor	46d ago	Fresh
Watermelon Sugar	60d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.