Trigo Stakes (Listed Race) – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

15:26

Trigo Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2025-10-19

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 1

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €26,550

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (4)	Shaool Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	128	—	413321	97	109	102	35d	—	—	+13	36.9	11/4 27%
Still improving 4yo upped in grade now but could well be up to it
1 (7)	Trustyourinstinct Chestnut J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	138	—	833117	110	119	105	36d	—	—	+16	33.7	7/2 22%
Below best here last month but earlier Curragh form makes him a leading contender
5 (5)	Acapulco Bay Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	129	—	533334	104	112	91	36d	—	—	+6	23.6	9/2 18%
Career-best fourth in Group 3 here over 1m4f latest; not sure drop in trip will suit
10 (9)	Sharanga Brown J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	124	—	1	-	99	58	40d	—	—	+3	12.9	15/2 12%
Recent debut Galway maiden winner takes big jump in grade but could be anything
3 (3)	Certain Lad Bay J:George Bass T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass T:Jack Channon	133	—	1-3674	107	118	106	29d	—	—	+16	23.4	10/1 9%
Soft ground specialist below best at Ayr; ideally wants a bit further and opposable
7 (10)	Shackleton Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:A P O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:A P O'Brien	129	p	448250	106	117	108	21d	—	—	+11	18.7	12/1 8%
Tried over staying trips of late with mixed success; down in trip here
6 (6)	Edward Hamilton Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:A P O'Brien	J:Ronan Whelan T:A P O'Brien	129	—	1	-	92	-	30d	—	—	+5	12.1	18/1 5%
Belated winning debut in ordinary Dundalk AW maiden last month; totally unexposed
4 (2)	Cloud Seeker Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	133	—	812256	92	104	90	35d	—	—	+13	17.7	22/1 4%
Progressive handicapper this term but stiff task raised in grade here
2 (1)	Lord Massusus Brown J:W J Lee T:Joseph G Murphy	J:W J Lee T:Joseph G Murphy	136	—	544552	107	117	96	14d	—	—	+16	20.3	25/1 4%
Contender at the height of his game but could prove vulnerable to more progressive rivals
8 (8)	Birthe Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:J M Sheridan T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	p	720-83	106	103	76	33d	—	—	+12	14.8	40/1 2%
French recruit well below best both runs for new yard; cheekpieces tried

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Shaool	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	11/4
Trustyourinstinct	10/3	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3
Acapulco Bay	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Sharanga	13/2	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Certain Lad	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Shackleton	12/1	10/1	9/1	12/1	9/1
Edward Hamilton	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Cloud Seeker	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Lord Massusus	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Birthe	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shaool

36.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 17.9 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Trustyourinstinct

33.7

OR: 15 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Acapulco Bay

23.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5

9/2

Certain Lad

23.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Lord Massusus

20.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Shackleton

18.7

OR: 14 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Cloud Seeker

17.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Birthe

14.8

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Sharanga

12.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Edward Hamilton

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Trustyourinstinct	110	119	105
Certain Lad	107	118	106
Lord Massusus	107	117	96
Shackleton	106	117	108
Birthe	106	103	76
Acapulco Bay	104	112	91
Shaool	97	109	102
Cloud Seeker	92	104	90
Sharanga	—	99	58
Edward Hamilton	—	92	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lord Massusus	14d ago	Fit
Shackleton	21d ago	Fit
Certain Lad	29d ago	Fit
Edward Hamilton	30d ago	Fit
Birthe	33d ago	Fit
Shaool	35d ago	Fit
Cloud Seeker	35d ago	Fit
Trustyourinstinct	36d ago	Fit
Acapulco Bay	36d ago	Fit
Sharanga	40d ago	Fit