Tony Penny 50th Birthday Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Newbury

4:50

Date 2025-10-25

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,150

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (7)	Atherstone Warrior b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Gary & Josh Moore	131	—	4-3041	85	98	81	38d	—	—	-5	14.5	10/3 23%
Scampered just over 5l clear at Sandown (1m2f, soft) on latest outing; respected up 10lb
11 (5)	King Al b J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	123	p	1-0512	77	100	88	17d	—	—	+1	19	4/1 20%
Won twice and short-headed last time, from five races; shortlisted in first cheekpieces
7 (1)	Explode b J:Edward Greatrex T:Faye Bramley	J:Edward Greatrex T:Faye Bramley	130	t	32216	84	92	69	44d	—	—	+10	24.1	11/2 15%
Novice winner but handicap debut showed that marked improvement is needed; left J Ferguson
1 (13)	Mustazeed br J:Kieran Shoemark T:Harry Eustace	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Harry Eustace	142	—	945718	92	96	78	14d	—	—	+10	20.4	15/2 12%
Increasing tendency to blow the start is a worry but C&D record puts him high on the list
2 (8)	Alcaraz b J:Sean Levey T:Tom Dascombe	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Dascombe	137	—	671722	87	98	89	36d	—	—	+14	23.3	8/1 11%
Front-running 2nd at Sandown (1m2f, good) and Newbury (1m2f, good to soft) last two runs
10 (6)	Arcturus Flame b J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	123	—	-12252	77	99	86	16d	—	—	+13	19.7	14/1 7%
Beaten a neck at Bath (1m2f, good to soft; unraced on worse) recently after 103 days off
9 (2)	Something Splendid b J:Harry Davies T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Harry Davies T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	123	—	241220	77	98	70	15d	—	—	+12	17.1	14/1 7%
Easily best form has been over 1m2f on ground softer than good, so he's of some interest
13 (12)	Northwest Passage gr/ro J:Joe Leavy T:Roger Teal	J:Joe Leavy T:Roger Teal	121	—	224641	75	98	74	43d	—	—	+13	18.9	16/1 6%
Up 9lb today but he seemed to turn a major corner with 15l win at Salisbury (1m2f, heavy)
8 (10)	Sweet Reward b J:Olivia Tubb(5) T:Jonathan Portman	J:Olivia Tubb(5) T:Jonathan Portman	128	—	193655	78	97	90	12d	—	—	+4	9.3	16/1 6%
Acts on soft; Newbury is one of his better tracks and he's back on his last winning mark
3 (3)	Jannas Journey b J:David Egan T:Jim Goldie	J:David Egan T:Jim Goldie	135	—	611362	85	97	79	12d	—	—	+16	22	16/1 6%
Seven wins this July-September; the assessor may now have her measure; tries a new trip
12 (4)	Tiger b J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	123	—	514076	77	91	86	15d	—	—	+5	10.1	25/1 4%
Ex-French; 40-1 for both British races but with promise in his York 1m2f display last time
5 (11)	Miletus b J:Rob Hornby T:Charles Hills	J:Rob Hornby T:Charles Hills	132	—	-04852	82	97	81	17d	—	—	+10	14.1	28/1 3%
Getting closer in handicaps but he went a bit freely on his only go at 1m2f, two runs back
4 (9)	Under The Sun b J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary & Josh Moore	134	t	0790-0	84	-	45	175d	—	—	+7	9	66/1 1%
Fifth in the 1m2f Sandown Classic Trial last April; however, little impact since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Atherstone Warrior	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
King Al	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	4/1
Explode	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Mustazeed	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Alcaraz	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Arcturus Flame	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Something Splendid	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Northwest Passage	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Sweet Reward	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Jannas Journey	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Tiger	22/1	22/1	20/1	25/1	14/1
Miletus	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	22/1
Under The Sun	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Explode

24.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 11.6 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Alcaraz

23.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.5

8/1

3rd

Jannas Journey

OR: 8.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Mustazeed

20.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Arcturus Flame

19.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 11 Odds: 1.9

14/1

King Al

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Northwest Passage

18.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 11 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Something Splendid

17.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 9 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Atherstone Warrior

14.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Miletus

14.1

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Tiger

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Sweet Reward

9.3

OR: 7 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Under The Sun

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mustazeed Top Rated	92	96	78
Alcaraz	87	98	89
Atherstone Warrior	85	98	81
Jannas Journey	85	97	79
Explode	84	92	69
Under The Sun	84	—	45
Miletus	82	97	81
Sweet Reward	78	97	90
King Al	77	100	88
Arcturus Flame	77	99	86
Something Splendid	77	98	70
Tiger	77	91	86
Northwest Passage	75	98	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sweet Reward	12d ago	Quick return
Jannas Journey	12d ago	Quick return
Mustazeed	14d ago	Fit
Something Splendid	15d ago	Fit
Tiger	15d ago	Fit
Arcturus Flame	16d ago	Fit
King Al	17d ago	Fit
Miletus	17d ago	Fit
Alcaraz	36d ago	Fit
Atherstone Warrior	38d ago	Fit
Northwest Passage	43d ago	Fit
Explode	44d ago	Fit
Under The Sun	175d ago	Long break