ITUS Events, Safety And Security Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Challenger 2m Hurdle Qual')

Newton Abbot

13:53

Date 2025-10-29

Distance 2m167y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Spirits Bay Bay J:Toby McCain-Mitchell(3) T:Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	J:Toby McCain-Mitchell(3) T:Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	170	—	53370-	122	126	120	196d	—	—	-8	34.6	0.28/1	11/10 48%
0-5 last season but he's on dangerous mark and needs watching in market on return
2	The Hardest Geezer Brown J:Callum Pritchard T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Callum Pritchard T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	165	h	/4515-	117	117	91	252d	—	—	+8	30.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Unexposed 6yo but he needs to find more progress after 252 days off
6	Public Enemy Bay J:Chad Bament(6) T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Chad Bament(6) T:Anthony Honeyball	159	—	317-1	112	113	108	151d	—	—	+18	28.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
4yo who is 2-4 over hurdles and he's open to more progress; respected on return
3	Clotilda Grey J:Freddie Keighley(8) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Keighley(8) T:Paul Nicholls	164	t	4382-0	117	117	92	18d	—	—	+11	18.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Went close in final run last season but was tailed off on reappearance; risks attached
7	Green Sky Bay J:Robbie David(3) T:David Pipe	J:Robbie David(3) T:David Pipe	158	t	43492-	110	121	100	201d	—	—	+17	22.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-9 over hurdles but she changed hands for £28,000 in May; in the mix on stable debut
5	Vaguely Royal Brown J:Paddy Hanlon T:Syd Hosie	J:Paddy Hanlon T:Syd Hosie	161	v	41273-	113	120	95	—	—	—	+21	25.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Useful Flat performer and he needs watching in market on handicap hurdle debut
10	Mach Ten Bay J:Ned Fox T:Syd Hosie	J:Ned Fox T:Syd Hosie	142	t	P34P-8	95	111	98	147d	—	—	+9	12.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-15 under both codes and has plenty to prove for new yard; 5lb out of the weights
4	Zambezi Fix Grey J:Ellis Collier T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Ellis Collier T:Bernard Llewellyn	162	—	46422-	114	123	109	207d	—	—	+22	25.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Second in final two starts last season but he's not won since April 2024; others preferred
8	Lucky One Black J:Roisin Leech(10) T:Sophie Leech	J:Roisin Leech(10) T:Sophie Leech	157	—	P6-470	109	120	-	132d	—	—	+12	15.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
On reduced mark but he's generally struggled for current yard and last win was in 2023
NR	Estate Planning Bay J:Jay Tidball T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Jay Tidball T:Bernard Llewellyn	145	—	333-76	98	116	93	13d	—	—	—	12	—	—
Overall record of 0-13 and well held at Ffos Las on recent reappearance; down the list

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Spirits Bay	evn	evn	evn	10/11	11/10
The Hardest Geezer	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Public Enemy	13/2	6/1	6/1	15/2	15/2
Clotilda	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1
Green Sky	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Vaguely Royal	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	20/1
Mach Ten	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Zambezi Fix	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Lucky One	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Estate Planning	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spirits Bay

34.6

OR: 18 Form: 2.4 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

The Hardest Geezer

30.4

OR: 16.8 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Public Enemy

28.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Zambezi Fix

25.5

OR: 16 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1

28/1

Vaguely Royal

25.3

OR: 15.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Green Sky

22.5

OR: 15 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Clotilda

18.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Lucky One

15.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Mach Ten

12.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Estate Planning

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirits Bay	122	126	120
The Hardest Geezer	117	117	91
Clotilda	117	117	92
Zambezi Fix	114	123	109
Vaguely Royal	113	120	95
Public Enemy	112	113	108
Green Sky	110	121	100
Lucky One	109	120	—
Estate Planning	98	116	93
Mach Ten	95	111	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Estate Planning	13d ago	Quick return
Clotilda	18d ago	Fit
Lucky One	132d ago	Long break
Mach Ten	147d ago	Long break
Public Enemy	151d ago	Long break
Spirits Bay	196d ago	Long break
Green Sky	201d ago	Long break
Zambezi Fix	207d ago	Long break
The Hardest Geezer	252d ago	Long break
Vaguely Royal	—	—