Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Handicap – Curragh

Curragh

13:55

Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Handicap

Date 2025-11-02

Distance 7f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €12,390

Runners (21)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
19 (20)	Tai Tam Bay Bay J:Jessica O'Gorman(7) T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Jessica O'Gorman(7) T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	122	b	097004	62	85	75	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	6.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Close fourth over C&D to three of today's rivals last month; may not reverse form though
15 (8)	Super Exceed Bay J:Shane Foley T:Thomas Mullins	J:Shane Foley T:Thomas Mullins	124	h	988032	64	86	74	12d	—	—	+4	13.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Recent second to an improver here on heavy; drop back to 7f could suit
17 (16)	Rosato Bay J:N G McCullagh T:Charles Weld	J:N G McCullagh T:Charles Weld	123	—	144553	63	86	81	12d	—	—	-1	8.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Decent third over 6f here last month but bit to find with runner-up Mercurial
10 (13)	Miss Nifty Brown J:Yudish Geerdharry(7) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Yudish Geerdharry(7) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	129	—	139072	70	85	74	17d	—	—	+1	14.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Unlucky C&D nose defeat by Longseoir recently; good chance of reversing that form now
9 (3)	Mercurial Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:John J Nallen	J:Seamie Heffernan T:John J Nallen	133	p	000842	73	85	70	12d	—	—	+3	13.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Clear second over 6f here last month; stays 7f; major player on favoured ground
5 (9)	Key Witness Bay J:Alan Persse(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	J:Alan Persse(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	135	—	6152	76	88	79	29d	—	—	+10	19	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Very promising yard debut here last month in similar conditions; good chance if staying
4 (1)	Greek Flower Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:John James Feane	J:Ronan Whelan T:John James Feane	135	ht	955406	75	84	74	12d	—	—	+1	8.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
On a long losing run and this step up in trip may not be the answer
11 (5)	Goal Exceeded Bay J:Adam Caffrey T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey T:Adrian McGuinness	128	t	708658	68	83	73	17d	—	—	-1	6.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Bit to find on last month's C&D run behind Longseoir
14 (12)	La Tulipe Noire Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Aengus King	J:J M Sheridan T:Aengus King	124	p	451153	64	85	73	6d	—	—	+10	16.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ran well for long way at Galway on Monday; contender back in trip here
12 (15)	Tofino Bay J:Robert Whearty T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty T:Gavin Cromwell	128	—	613023	69	81	59	17d	—	—	+9	16.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Had to be switched when 3rd to Longseoir over C&D recently; player if handling conditions
21 (6)	Purring Along Bay J:Wesley Joyce(3) T:P G Fahey	J:Wesley Joyce(3) T:P G Fahey	119	v	474486	59	84	76	6d	—	—	-1	3.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Unable to justify market support at Galway on Monday; 6lb wrong now in a better race
13 (17)	Verhoyen Bay J:Ben Coen T:M C Grassick	J:Ben Coen T:M C Grassick	126	b	634069	66	88	75	17d	—	—	+1	6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Prolific C&D winner but bit to find with several of these on recent C&D run
7 (19)	Facethepuckout Bay J:Jamie Powell T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Jamie Powell T:M D O'Callaghan	133	—	664600	73	87	62	22d	—	—	+2	7.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Handles testing conditions but needs to improve markedly on recent form
16 (4)	Lady Arwen Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Conor O'Dwyer	J:Rory Cleary T:Conor O'Dwyer	123	—	7-0420	63	85	73	6d	—	—	0	4.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Didn't stay 1m+ at Galway on Monday; will appreciate return to 7f
8 (11)	Loingseoir Bay J:Jack Cleary(5) T:M C Grassick	J:Jack Cleary(5) T:M C Grassick	133	t	537801	73	82	71	17d	—	—	+13	17.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Beat unlucky-in-running Miss Nifty by a nose over C&D recently; may not uphold that form
18 (2)	Mogwli Grey J:Nathan Crosse T:W McCreery	J:Nathan Crosse T:W McCreery	122	v	082515	62	83	69	17d	—	—	+8	12.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran well over C&D last time when 2l off Longseoir; others preferred
1 (21)	Brewing Bay J:Scott McCullagh T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Scott McCullagh T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	144	—	700004	84	81	48	14d	—	—	+6	9.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
AW winner yet to hit form on turf of late
20 (10)	Edergole's Angel Bay J:Megan Telford-Kelly(7) T:W McCreery	J:Megan Telford-Kelly(7) T:W McCreery	121	v	060710	62	87	64	21d	—	—	+8	10.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Bellewstown 1m winner didn't stay 1m2f latest; drops in trip now
3 (7)	Thyer Bay J:Dylan O'Connor(7) T:Maurice Andrew Ahern	J:Dylan O'Connor(7) T:Maurice Andrew Ahern	138	t	232000	78	88	69	20d	—	—	+7	9.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Winning form on better ground; opposable on recent soft ground form
6 (14)	Royal Alliance Bay J:Julian Pietropaolo(7) T:Maurice Andrew Ahern	J:Julian Pietropaolo(7) T:Maurice Andrew Ahern	135	—	340000	76	83	17	20d	—	—	+5	6.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Heavy defeats in three runs for current connections; hard to fancy
NR (18)	Mehmar Bay J:Jimmy Dalton(10) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Jimmy Dalton(10) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	138	—	00-957	78	82	58	111d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	7	—	—
Much reduced mark but hard to fancy on this testing ground on yard debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tai Tam Bay	13/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Super Exceed	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Rosato	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Miss Nifty	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	5/1
Mercurial	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Key Witness	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Greek Flower	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Goal Exceeded	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	17/2
La Tulipe Noire	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Tofino	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Purring Along	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Verhoyen	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Facethepuckout	20/1	18/1	20/1	22/1	16/1
Lady Arwen	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Loingseoir	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Mogwli	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	20/1
Brewing	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Edergole's Angel	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Thyer	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	33/1
Royal Alliance	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	50/1
Mehmar	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Key Witness

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.5

9/1

2nd

Loingseoir

17.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.2

22/1

3rd

La Tulipe Noire

16.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 11 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Tofino

16.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 9.4 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Miss Nifty

14.2

OR: 5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Mercurial

13.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Super Exceed

13.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Mogwli

12.6

OR: 3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Edergole's Angel

10.8

OR: 3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Thyer

9.8

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Brewing

9.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Rosato

8.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Greek Flower

8.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Facethepuckout

7.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Mehmar

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Royal Alliance

6.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Goal Exceeded

6.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Tai Tam Bay

6.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Verhoyen

OR: 4 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Lady Arwen

4.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Purring Along

3.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brewing	84	81	48
Thyer	78	88	69
Mehmar	78	82	58
Key Witness	76	88	79
Royal Alliance	76	83	17
Greek Flower	75	84	74
Mercurial	73	85	70
Facethepuckout	73	87	62
Loingseoir	73	82	71
Miss Nifty	70	85	74
Tofino	69	81	59
Goal Exceeded	68	83	73
Verhoyen	66	88	75
Super Exceed	64	86	74
La Tulipe Noire	64	85	73
Rosato	63	86	81
Lady Arwen	63	85	73
Tai Tam Bay	62	85	75
Mogwli	62	83	69
Edergole's Angel	62	87	64
Purring Along	59	84	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
La Tulipe Noire	6d ago	Quick return
Purring Along	6d ago	Quick return
Lady Arwen	6d ago	Quick return
Super Exceed	12d ago	Quick return
Rosato	12d ago	Quick return
Mercurial	12d ago	Quick return
Greek Flower	12d ago	Quick return
Brewing	14d ago	Fit
Tai Tam Bay	17d ago	Fit
Miss Nifty	17d ago	Fit
Goal Exceeded	17d ago	Fit
Tofino	17d ago	Fit
Verhoyen	17d ago	Fit
Loingseoir	17d ago	Fit
Mogwli	17d ago	Fit
Thyer	20d ago	Fit
Royal Alliance	20d ago	Fit
Edergole's Angel	21d ago	Fit
Facethepuckout	22d ago	Fit
Key Witness	29d ago	Fit
Mehmar	111d ago	Long break