Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Apprentice Handicap

Southwell (AW)

16:15

Date 2025-11-03

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Dc Cogent Bay J:Oliver Carmichael(5) T:Bryan Smart	J:Oliver Carmichael(5) T:Bryan Smart	133	—	628496	70	84	72	20d	—	—	-15	15.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Seems well suited by Tapeta; down in the weights and respected in an uncompetitive race
1 (3)	Ziggy's Triton Bay J:Alec Voikhansky T:David O'Meara	J:Alec Voikhansky T:David O'Meara	138	p	513256	75	83	79	25d	—	—	-7	20.1	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Two turf wins this summer; good second over C&D in September; below par twice since
3 (2)	Lovat Scout Chestnut J:Jack Nicholls(3) T:K R Burke	J:Jack Nicholls(3) T:K R Burke	132	—	836-57	69	80	57	10d	—	—	-10	10.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Not added to debut win but down in weights and traffic issues less likely in a small field
5 (5)	Toolatetonegotiate Grey J:Millie Wonnacott(3) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Millie Wonnacott(3) T:Daisy Hitchins	128	p	433414	65	82	60	25d	—	—	+5	14.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Lingfield win in September was followed by a fair 4th at Bath; should give her running
4 (4)	Until Dawn Bay J:Shay Farmer(5) T:Alan Brown	J:Shay Farmer(5) T:Alan Brown	130	h	112759	67	80	74	14d	—	—	+2	9.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Hangs badly right but she's done little wrong on a straight track with a rail on her right

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Dc Cogent	7/4	7/4	7/4
Ziggy's Triton	2/1	2/1	2/1
Lovat Scout	4/1	7/2	7/2
Toolatetonegotiate	15/2	7/1	7/1
Until Dawn	11/1	12/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ziggy's Triton

20.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.4 Odds: 8.4

2/1

2nd

Dc Cogent

15.4

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 9.4

7/4

3rd

Toolatetonegotiate

14.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Lovat Scout

10.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Until Dawn

9.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ziggy's Triton	75	83	79
Dc Cogent	70	84	72
Lovat Scout	69	80	57
Until Dawn	67	80	74
Toolatetonegotiate	65	82	60

Last Run

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.