Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

16:30

Date 2025-11-06

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Emtinan Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Charles Hills	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Charles Hills	133	—	5	-	84	-	26d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Showed ability at York on his debut and open to improvement; interesting switched to AW
5 (3)	Glory Of The Seas Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-19	8.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
550,000gns yearling from a good family; interesting runner on racecourse debut
6 (4)	Heraldry Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
First foal of a mile AW/11.6f turf Listed winner; interesting runner from top stable
7 (8)	Leonato Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Half-brother to French/Australian 1m1f-1m2f winner Barazin; interesting on his debut
1 (7)	Be Patient Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	133	—	3	-	81	39	35d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Fair third over C&D on debut; can do better but this is a stronger event
2 (6)	Boilermaker Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Harry Charlton	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Harry Charlton	133	—	7	-	65	-	55d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well beaten on heavy on his debut but that race worked out well; interesting on AW
8 (5)	Norman Invasion Bay J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	133	h	5	-	68	-	62d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran as though the race was needed at Ascot on his debut; hood fitted; more needed
9 (9)	Roker Roar Bay J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	133	—	7	-	55	-	25d	—	—	-3	1.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Never figured at Goodwood on debut; back in trip but needs to raise game by some way
4 (1)	Fans Favourite Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	94	-	65	-	21d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ability at a moderate level and looks the type who should do better when handicapped
10 (10)	Turtle Reef Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Hugo Palmer	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
£65,000 yearling; half-brother to French 8.5f/1m2f winner; market to guide on his debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Emtinan	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2	11/4
Glory Of The Seas	9/4	5/2	9/4	11/4	85/40
Heraldry	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Leonato	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Be Patient	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Boilermaker	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	18/1
Norman Invasion	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Roker Roar	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	20/1
Fans Favourite	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Turtle Reef	66/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Glory Of The Seas

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

11/4

2nd

Emtinan

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Be Patient

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Heraldry

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Leonato

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Boilermaker

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Norman Invasion

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Roker Roar

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

20/1

Fans Favourite

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Turtle Reef

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Emtinan	—	84	—
Glory Of The Seas	—	—	—
Heraldry	—	—	—
Leonato	—	—	—
Be Patient	—	81	39
Boilermaker	—	65	—
Norman Invasion	—	68	—
Roker Roar	—	55	—
Fans Favourite	—	65	—
Turtle Reef	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fans Favourite	21d ago	Fit
Roker Roar	25d ago	Fit
Emtinan	26d ago	Fit
Be Patient	35d ago	Fit
Boilermaker	55d ago	Fresh
Norman Invasion	62d ago	Fresh
Glory Of The Seas	—	—
Heraldry	—	—
Leonato	—	—
Turtle Reef	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.