Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle

Clonmel

13:12

Date 2025-11-06

Distance 2m157y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Scope To Improve Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	160	—	1/10-	-	-	-	215d	—	—	-37	27	0.09/1	4/11 73%
Naas bumper winner had excuses at Aintree; the one to beat on hurdles debut in weak maiden
1	If You Believe Grey J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	166	—	10-	-	-	-	191d	—	—	-3	11	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Points' winner midfield on bumper debut back in April; switches to hurdles on return
3	Big Dispute Brown J:Phillip Enright T:Con McSweeney	J:Phillip Enright T:Con McSweeney	162	—	060-23	104	112	104	25d	—	—	+7	16.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Front-runner placed in maidens at Killarney and Cork over this trip; claims
4	Hillberry Hill Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	160	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Debutant for whom market best guide
2	Button Rock Brown J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	164	—	P06-27	-	80	31	23d	—	—	-3	1.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Too keen and hung when well beaten at Punchestown recently; much more needed
7	Themanintheanorak Bay J:J J Slevin T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	J:J J Slevin T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	160	—	3-1765	-	115	58	18d	—	—	-1	3.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
2m4f bumper winner; two maiden runs ordinary, more likely one for handicaps
8	Dunleer Crystal Chestnut J:Jake Coen T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jake Coen T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Seemingly the lesser-fancied of the Elliott pair but worth a look nonetheless
9	Cockney Cleopatra Black J:Philip Donovan(3) T:P M J Doyle	J:Philip Donovan(3) T:P M J Doyle	157	h	F5	-	95	-	18d	—	—	-2	0.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Rider reported her a difficult ride at Limerick; seems best watched for now
6	Sock It To Me Chestnut J:Tiernan Power Roche(5) T:P J Rothwell	J:Tiernan Power Roche(5) T:P J Rothwell	160	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Debutant likely best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Scope To Improve	3/10	2/7	3/10	3/10	4/11
If You Believe	11/2	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Big Dispute	9/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	9/1
Hillberry Hill	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Button Rock	25/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Themanintheanorak	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Dunleer Crystal	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Cockney Cleopatra	66/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Sock It To Me	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Scope To Improve

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 20

4/11

2nd

Big Dispute

16.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

If You Believe

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 4

11/2

Themanintheanorak

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

33/1

Hillberry Hill

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Button Rock

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

25/1

Dunleer Crystal

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Cockney Cleopatra

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Sock It To Me

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Big Dispute	104	112	104
Scope To Improve	—	—	—
If You Believe	—	—	—
Hillberry Hill	—	—	—
Button Rock	—	80	31
Themanintheanorak	—	115	58
Dunleer Crystal	—	—	—
Cockney Cleopatra	—	95	—
Sock It To Me	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Themanintheanorak	18d ago	Fit
Cockney Cleopatra	18d ago	Fit
Button Rock	23d ago	Fit
Big Dispute	25d ago	Fit
If You Believe	191d ago	Long break
Scope To Improve	215d ago	Long break
Hillberry Hill	—	—
Dunleer Crystal	—	—
Sock It To Me	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Big Dispute	Front Runner
If You Believe	Mid-Pack
Button Rock	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 9 runners classified.