Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Fillies' Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:00

Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

Date 2025-11-07

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (7)	Electric Avenue Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Ivan Furtado	J:Tom Eaves T:Ivan Furtado	131	tp	566423	63	79	71	21d	—	—	-5	15.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Course winner (1m); comes here in fair form and one to consider back against her own sex
3 (8)	After Love Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	136	—	669123	69	81	50	10d	—	—	+2	22.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Three good 6f runs for this yard; steps back up in distance and still has some potential
2 (9)	Sahana Bay J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	137	h	166216	70	78	65	29d	—	—	+7	17.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two handicap wins this year; disappointing finishing effort at Chelmsford latest
8 (1)	Windsor Pass Bay J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:John Butler	J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:John Butler	124	—	432235	56	79	56	40d	—	—	0	11.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Regularly placed and effective over C&D but a strike-rate of 1-43 tempers real enthusiasm
7 (10)	Graduated Bay J:Elizabeth Gale(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Elizabeth Gale(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	129	—	333336	62	80	67	31d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
7f win as a 2yo; often placed in 2025 but needs to rebound from a lesser effort last month
1 (4)	Samra Star Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Linda Perratt	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Linda Perratt	138	—	670615	70	75	61	21d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	14.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
C&D win last month but less good off today's mark three weeks ago; others appeal more
4 (3)	Emery Down Chestnut J:Stevie Donohoe T:John Butler	J:Stevie Donohoe T:John Butler	135	p	-10090	68	79	57	86d	—	—	+1	8.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Kempton maiden win in May (7f); struggled in h'caps but drops in grade with headgear added
10 (6)	Grovely Belle Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:Aidan Keeley T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	119	t	985435	51	77	-	22d	—	—	-2	4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Exposed maiden; running okay of late but without suggesting she was the answer
5 (2)	Kartini Grey J:Callum Rodriguez T:Oliver Cole	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Oliver Cole	134	—	344	67	73	52	16d	—	—	+2	7.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Unexposed handicap debutante; improvement required but it is quite possible
9 (5)	Melissa Honey Bay J:Jason Hart T:Michael Herrington	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Herrington	123	—	743740	56	77	54	39d	—	—	0	3.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-10 but has shown promise, including here; return to 7f should suit; chance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Electric Avenue	11/4	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2
After Love	7/2	3/1	3/1	10/3	3/1
Sahana	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Windsor Pass	13/2	11/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Graduated	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Samra Star	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Emery Down	11/1	9/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Grovely Belle	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Kartini	22/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Melissa Honey	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

After Love

22.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Sahana

17.6

OR: 5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Electric Avenue

15.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Samra Star

14.1

OR: 5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Windsor Pass

11.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.7 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Graduated

10.6

OR: 3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Emery Down

8.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 2 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Kartini

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Grovely Belle

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Melissa Honey

3.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sahana	70	78	65
Samra Star	70	75	61
After Love	69	81	50
Emery Down	68	79	57
Kartini	67	73	52
Electric Avenue	63	79	71
Graduated	62	80	67
Windsor Pass	56	79	56
Melissa Honey	56	77	54
Grovely Belle	51	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
After Love	10d ago	Quick return
Kartini	16d ago	Fit
Electric Avenue	21d ago	Fit
Samra Star	21d ago	Fit
Grovely Belle	22d ago	Fit
Sahana	29d ago	Fit
Graduated	31d ago	Fit
Melissa Honey	39d ago	Fit
Windsor Pass	40d ago	Fit
Emery Down	86d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.