Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

16:40

Date 2025-11-27

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (9)	Mythical Bay Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	133	—	4	-	76	-	38d	—	—	-21	9.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Beaten 8.5l after missing the break when 5-1 on Bath debut; improvement likely
4 (11)	Eddaari Chestnut J:Jack Callan(5) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Callan(5) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	63	-	80	-	50d	—	—	-15	11	0.63/1	5/2 29%
By New Bay; promise on both starts on turf so far and quite interesting on AW debut
2 (12)	Del Corso Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ed Walker	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ed Walker	133	—	5	-	64	-	29d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
By Dubawi; beaten 10l at 28-1 on Nottingham debut but should come on for the experience
3 (1)	Director's Cut Chestnut J:Luke Catton(3) T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Luke Catton(3) T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	5	-	66	44	19d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
By Palace Pier; showed promise when 4-1 on debut at Wolverhampton; better expected
1 (5)	According To Mark Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Edward Bethell	J:Kevin Stott T:Edward Bethell	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
85,000gns yearling; related to two AW winners out of Group 3 winner; interesting newcomer
6 (6)	Joyful Lawyer Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
First foal of a 5.5f-1m AW winner; from a top yard and worth a market check on debut
12 (7)	Turtle Reef Bay J:Colin Keane T:Hugo Palmer	J:Colin Keane T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	6	-	67	34	21d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
£65,000 yearling; showed promise when sixth in a C&D novice last month; interesting
9 (10)	Sheikhnshah Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Julie Camacho	J:Rowan Scott T:Julie Camacho	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
80,000 euros yearling; related to three winners in France; likely to improve for a run.
11 (3)	Sottsfield Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
200,000 euros yearling; dam a Listed-placed 7f winner; likely to be better for the run
13 (13)	Royal Sizzler Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	128	h	5	-	56	-	31d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well beaten at 125-1 on debut at Redcar last month; marked improvement needed
8 (8)	Palazzo Ducale Roan J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Carroll	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Carroll	133	—	6	-	42	-	41d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
20l sixth of seven when 50-1 on last month's Haydock debut; looks a long-term prospect
5 (2)	Ideal Quest Bay J:Shane Gray T:John Davies	J:Shane Gray T:John Davies	133	—	9	-	-	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.3	75.00/1	300/1 0%
By Kingston Hill; tailed off in a 7f novice here on debut (300-1); best watched for now
NR (4)	Shoof Baeed Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Charlie Johnston	J:P J McDonald T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
68,000gns yearling by Sea The Stars; dam a 6f juvenile winner; interesting newcomer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mythical Bay	13/8	7/4	7/4	15/8	13/8
Eddaari	2/1	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2
Del Corso	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Director's Cut	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
According To Mark	14/1	10/1	11/1	12/1	10/1
Joyful Lawyer	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Turtle Reef	16/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Sheikhnshah	22/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Sottsfield	66/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	28/1
Royal Sizzler	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Palazzo Ducale	150/1	80/1	100/1	100/1	80/1
Ideal Quest	300/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Shoof Baeed	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eddaari

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Mythical Bay

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Del Corso

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Director's Cut

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

According To Mark

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Joyful Lawyer

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Turtle Reef

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Sheikhnshah

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

22/1

Sottsfield

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Royal Sizzler

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Palazzo Ducale

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Ideal Quest

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

300/1

Shoof Baeed

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mythical Bay	—	76	—
Eddaari	—	80	—
Del Corso	—	64	—
Director's Cut	—	66	44
According To Mark	—	—	—
Joyful Lawyer	—	—	—
Turtle Reef	—	67	34
Sheikhnshah	—	—	—
Sottsfield	—	—	—
Royal Sizzler	—	56	—
Palazzo Ducale	—	42	—
Ideal Quest	—	—	—
Shoof Baeed	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Director's Cut	19d ago	Fit
Ideal Quest	20d ago	Fit
Turtle Reef	21d ago	Fit
Del Corso	29d ago	Fit
Royal Sizzler	31d ago	Fit
Mythical Bay	38d ago	Fit
Palazzo Ducale	41d ago	Fit
Eddaari	50d ago	Fresh
According To Mark	—	—
Joyful Lawyer	—	—
Sheikhnshah	—	—
Sottsfield	—	—
Shoof Baeed	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.