Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

17:15

Date 2025-11-28

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	My Fermoy Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Denis Coakley	J:Billy Loughnane T:Denis Coakley	131	—	3623	77	87	56	24d	—	—	-15	28.3	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Improved with each of his four starts; leading form claims in a novice lacking depth
4 (4)	Nicator Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	6	-	81	-	175d	—	—	-29	14.2	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Debut 6th at Doncaster (1m, good) came in a warm race; open to improvement; yard in form
6 (1)	The Corporate Guy Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	131	h	48	-	79	56	35d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Showed promise in two runs for G Cromwell in Ireland; sold 7,000gns; hooded for yard debut
7 (5)	No Further Action Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
First foal of a winning pointer; likely best watched on this belated debut
1 (3)	Zed Candy Boy Chestnut J:William Pyle(3) T:David Loughnane	J:William Pyle(3) T:David Loughnane	133	—	5	-	59	22	25d	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Some promise on this month's debut here (6f) but still needs a lot more for the new trip
5 (7)	Sir Bobby Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Second foal of a 5f AW winner (RPR 60); likely best watched on debut
2 (2)	Lowestoft b/br J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Fourth foal of a minor 5f AW winner; an unlikely winner on debut
NR (9)	Time Loop Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	135	h	2/1	-	-	-	2d	—	—	—	13.5	—	—
Green when 2nd of 7 at Nottingham 772 days ago (8.3f, heavy); hooded for belated return
NR (6)	Sahara Sunset Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Joseph Parr	J:Darragh Keenan T:Joseph Parr	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
52,000gns half-sister to three winners; only of real interest if backed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
My Fermoy	10/11	evn	evn	10/11	Evens
Nicator	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10	Evens
The Corporate Guy	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
No Further Action	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Zed Candy Boy	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1
Sir Bobby	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Lowestoft	250/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1
Time Loop	-	-	-	-	-
Sahara Sunset	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Fermoy

28.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.4 Odds: 14.2

Evens

2nd

Nicator

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

11/10

3rd

Time Loop

13.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0

—

The Corporate Guy

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

No Further Action

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Zed Candy Boy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Sir Bobby

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Lowestoft

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250/1

Sahara Sunset

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
My Fermoy	77	87	56
Nicator	—	81	—
The Corporate Guy	—	79	56
No Further Action	—	—	—
Zed Candy Boy	—	59	22
Sir Bobby	—	—	—
Lowestoft	—	—	—
Time Loop	—	—	—
Sahara Sunset	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Time Loop	2d ago	Quick return
My Fermoy	24d ago	Fit
Zed Candy Boy	25d ago	Fit
The Corporate Guy	35d ago	Fit
Nicator	175d ago	Long break
No Further Action	—	—
Sir Bobby	—	—
Lowestoft	—	—
Sahara Sunset	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.