Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:37

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2025-12-08

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Kondratiev Wave Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	133	p	675464	53	71	49	11d	—	—	-13	6.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
On a long losing run but some encouraging signs of late and continues to edge down weights
8 (3)	Saxon Kingdom Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:James Owen	J:Paddy Bradley T:James Owen	127	t	580469	47	65	36	12d	—	—	-12	5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Encouraging yard debut at Wolverhampton last month; subsequent run may have come too soon
5 (4)	First Encounter Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:John Gallagher	J:Rossa Ryan T:John Gallagher	132	v	370272	52	68	47	11d	—	—	-5	13.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Runner-up at Chelmsford recently and in the mix if reproducing that form
1 (5)	Mount Mogan Bay J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	135	p	369502	55	69	53	13d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Last four wins over 7f here; returned to form with close second over this C&D recently
2 (10)	Bear To Dream Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Michael Attwater	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Michael Attwater	133	—	225784	53	69	53	13d	—	—	-6	4.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Poor AW strike-rate but has a good record here this year; chance
4 (12)	Zaltalla Bay J:Neil Callan T:Michael Attwater	J:Neil Callan T:Michael Attwater	133	—	289850	53	67	63	13d	—	—	-4	2.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Of interest on his good efforts here in August but subsequent form has been patchy
6 (9)	Rainbow Sign Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Mark Pattinson	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Mark Pattinson	130	t	554127	50	66	50	34d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	10.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Below par when seventh over C&D last time but in good heart previously; could bounce back
11 (1)	Mighty Real Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Hughie Morrison	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Hughie Morrison	125	t	386540	46	61	34	18d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-11 but ran well on Polytrack two starts ago and he's not ruled out each-way
12 (11)	Poke The Bear Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Hayley Burton	J:Tyler Heard T:Hayley Burton	125	t	6-0494	46	60	46	38d	—	—	-3	1.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
He's run ten times and is yet to finish better than fourth; others are preferred
9 (2)	Weston Court Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ronald Harris	J:Rob Hornby T:Ronald Harris	126	p	884069	46	62	41	7d	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won two in a row on turf in summer 2024 but hasn't hit the same heights since
10 (6)	Reel Power Bay J:Grace McEntee T:Paddy Butler	J:Grace McEntee T:Paddy Butler	126	v	-08749	46	63	35	76d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Just one win from his 19 starts and more than a year since he posed a serious threat
NR (8)	Monks Mead Grey J:George Bass T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass T:Mark Usher	129	—	923633	49	65	-	111d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Has edged down weights but winless since November and this is his first run since August

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Kondratiev Wave	7/2	7/2	7/2
Saxon Kingdom	4/1	7/2	4/1
First Encounter	7/2	4/1	7/2
Mount Mogan	15/2	15/2	15/2
Bear To Dream	15/2	8/1	15/2
Zaltalla	11/1	10/1	11/1
Rainbow Sign	9/1	11/1	9/1
Mighty Real	14/1	14/1	14/1
Poke The Bear	18/1	16/1	18/1
Weston Court	28/1	25/1	28/1
Reel Power	100/1	100/1	100/1
Monks Mead	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

First Encounter

13.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Rainbow Sign

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

3rd

Mount Mogan

9.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Monks Mead

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Kondratiev Wave

6.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Saxon Kingdom

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Bear To Dream

4.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 1 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Zaltalla

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Mighty Real

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Poke The Bear

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

18/1

Weston Court

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Reel Power

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mount Mogan	55	69	53
Kondratiev Wave	53	71	49
Bear To Dream	53	69	53
Zaltalla	53	67	63
First Encounter	52	68	47
Rainbow Sign	50	66	50
Monks Mead	49	65	—
Saxon Kingdom	47	65	36
Mighty Real	46	61	34
Poke The Bear	46	60	46
Weston Court	46	62	41
Reel Power	46	63	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Weston Court	7d ago	Quick return
Kondratiev Wave	11d ago	Quick return
First Encounter	11d ago	Quick return
Saxon Kingdom	12d ago	Quick return
Mount Mogan	13d ago	Quick return
Bear To Dream	13d ago	Quick return
Zaltalla	13d ago	Quick return
Mighty Real	18d ago	Fit
Rainbow Sign	34d ago	Fit
Poke The Bear	38d ago	Fit
Reel Power	76d ago	Fresh
Monks Mead	111d ago	Long break