Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
| # | Horse | Form | Odds | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 (4) |
Starryfield
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:James Owen
|
2 |
5/4
44%
|
|||||||||||||
| Debut second at Doncaster in July was promising but the form hasn't worked out well at all | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 (3) |
Extremely Zain
J:Cieren Fallon
T:William Haggas
|
— |
5/2
29%
|
|||||||||||||
| 185,000euros breeze-up 2yo; half-brother to three winners; of obvious interest on paper | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 (1) |
Viking Glory
J:Barry McHugh
T:Adrian Paul Keatley
|
42 |
11/4
27%
|
|||||||||||||
| Promising debut and then unsuited by a slowly run 7f here last time; more to come | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 (7) |
Havin A Flyer
J:Laura Coughlan(3)
T:Rebecca Menzies
|
835534 |
28/1
3%
|
|||||||||||||
| Exposed 14-race maiden; fair run on Boxing Day but others have more pressing claims | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 (10) |
Freezing Havana
J:Rowan Scott
T:Adrian Nicholls
|
— |
33/1
3%
|
|||||||||||||
| 10,000gns yearling; unraced dam a half-sister to three winners; betting to guide | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 (2) |
What A Tahoo
J:Warren Fentiman(5)
T:Richard Fahey
|
8 |
50/1
2%
|
|||||||||||||
| Well beaten at 16-1 on her Southwell debut in July (6f); bred to do better at some point | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 (11) |
Kameko Fever
J:Ethan Tindall(7)
T:Richard Fahey
|
— |
40/1
2%
|
|||||||||||||
| Never dangerous in a 5f AW novice on debut 16 days ago; longer-term prospect | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 (5) |
Quiet Serenade
J:Tom Eaves
T:Ivan Furtado
|
48 |
66/1
1%
|
|||||||||||||
| Down the field in two C&D runs this month but shaped with promise last time; check betting | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 (6) |
Space Moon
J:Cam Hardie
T:Brian Ellison
|
— |
100/1
1%
|
|||||||||||||
| 5,000euros half-sister to a minor 1m2f winner; yard not renowned for winning 2yo newcomers | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 (9) |
Battenburg Belle
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Rebecca Menzies
|
— |
100/1
1%
|
|||||||||||||
| 66-1 and never dangerous in a C&D maiden ten days ago (behind Quiet Serenade) | ||||||||||||||||
| NR (8) |
Skewsby
J:TBC
T:Michael & David Easterby
|
— | — | |||||||||||||
| 3,000gns half-brother to 1m AW 2yo winner Mighty Afra (RPR 69); likely best watched | ||||||||||||||||
| Horse | bet365 | William Hill | Boyle Sports | Ladbrokes | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Starryfield
|
evn | 11/10 | 11/10 | evn | 5/4 |
|
Extremely Zain
|
5/2 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 15/8 | 9/4 |
|
Viking Glory
|
11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 5/2 | 5/2 |
|
Havin A Flyer
|
28/1 | 22/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 |
|
Freezing Havana
|
33/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 |
|
What A Tahoo
|
50/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 |
|
Kameko Fever
|
40/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 | 28/1 |
|
Quiet Serenade
|
66/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 |
|
Space Moon
|
100/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 |
|
Battenburg Belle
|
100/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 66/1 | 80/1 |
|
Skewsby
|
- | - | - | - | - |
Predictor
Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.
Ratings
| Horse | OR | RPR | TS |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Havin A Flyer |
|||
|
Starryfield |
— | — | |
|
Extremely Zain |
— | — | — |
|
Viking Glory |
— | ||
|
Freezing Havana |
— | — | — |
|
What A Tahoo |
— | ||
|
Kameko Fever |
— | ||
|
Quiet Serenade |
— | ||
|
Space Moon |
— | — | — |
|
Battenburg Belle |
— | — | |
|
Skewsby |
— | — | — |
Last Run
| Horse | Last Run | Status |
|---|---|---|
|
Havin A Flyer |
3d ago | Quick return |
|
Quiet Serenade |
10d ago | Quick return |
|
Battenburg Belle |
10d ago | Quick return |
|
Kameko Fever |
16d ago | Fit |
|
Viking Glory |
27d ago | Fit |
|
What A Tahoo |
169d ago | Long break |
|
Starryfield |
172d ago | Long break |
|
Extremely Zain |
— | — |
|
Freezing Havana |
— | — |
|
Space Moon |
— | — |
|
Skewsby |
— | — |
Draw Bias
Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.
Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.
