Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Date 2026-01-13

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Weather Overcast

Temp 7.1°C

Wind 10mph S

Rain 0%

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Shiplake Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	132	h	74361-	82	98	83	53d	—	—	-8	32.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Gelded and on up for current yard, bagging C&D handicap 53 days ago; weighted to go close
5 (5)	Candonomore Brown J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	130	t	04125-	80	98	76	78d	—	—	+1	22.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Ended time with Tim Easterby with good Newmarket fifth; likely player for in-form new yard
2 (2)	Secret Guest Grey J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	133	—	0838-6	83	96	86	12d	—	—	0	11.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
On a losing run but not disgraced when sixth in handicap here 12 days ago; not ruled out
6 (1)	The Turpinator Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	127	—	8980-2	77	96	72	7d	—	—	+4	14.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Back on track when runner-up at Wolverhampton; veteran can go well off the same mark
1 (4)	Invited Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	137	t	15781-	87	96	76	13d	—	—	+16	23.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Ended 2025 with success at Lingfield 13 days ago; up 2lb but very much one to consider
3 (6)	Good Morning Alex Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	133	—	/6162-	83	96	-	202d	—	—	+13	20.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Course scorer; off since good Carlisle second in June so needs to hit the ground running

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Shiplake	5/4	6/5	5/4	5/4	5/4
Candonomore	3/1	11/4	11/4	3/1	11/4
Secret Guest	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
The Turpinator	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Invited	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Good Morning Alex	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shiplake

32.8

OR: 8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 13.3

5/4

2nd

Invited

23.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 12 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Candonomore

22.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Good Morning Alex

20.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

16/1

The Turpinator

14.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Secret Guest

11.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

6/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Invited	87	96	76
Secret Guest	83	96	86
Good Morning Alex	83	96	—
Shiplake	82	98	83
Candonomore	80	98	76
The Turpinator	77	96	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Turpinator	7d ago	Quick return
Secret Guest	12d ago	Quick return
Invited	13d ago	Quick return
Shiplake	53d ago	Fresh
Candonomore	78d ago	Fresh
Good Morning Alex	202d ago	Long break