Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:55

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Date 2026-01-31

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,768

Weather Overcast

Temp 5.5°C

Wind 13mph SE

Rain 18%

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (7)	Faithful Dream Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Appleby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Appleby	127	—	460-52	57	67	45	5d	—	—	-14	8.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Kept on well to dead-heat for second at Wolverhampton on Monday; same mark here
1 (6)	Evolve Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	135	—	7-45	65	66	44	18d	—	—	-7	8.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Kept on for fourth in C&D novice on New Year's Day; open to improvement in handicaps
3 (1)	Full Gas Chestnut J:Oisin McSweeney T:Kevin Ryan	J:Oisin McSweeney T:Kevin Ryan	132	—	0754-	62	67	26	60d	—	—	-7	7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Returned from break with promising run in 7f novice here last month; handicap debut
7 (4)	Mademoiselle Belle Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	125	—	74-223	55	69	69	9d	—	—	-7	4.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Placed three times this month (5f-6f) and has obvious each-way claims again
5 (2)	Surgeon Commander Bay J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	128	b	561-71	58	72	55	9d	—	—	-6	5.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Dual 7f course winner this winter; big player if suited by this drop back in trip
4 (8)	Henriette Ronner Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	128	b	5843-7	58	71	44	10d	—	—	-5	4.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Ran okay on handicap debut (7f) but well held since (6f); blinkers now added
8 (3)	Container Express Bay J:Aiden Brookes T:Philip Kirby	J:Aiden Brookes T:Philip Kirby	121	—	4514-5	51	67	60	14d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-6	2.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Narrow C&D winner in November but not in same form on next two starts; others preferred
2 (5)	Golden Havana Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	132	b	44851-	62	66	61	46d	—	—	+10	14	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Just held on to open account over 5f here last month; not yet proven over 6f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Faithful Dream	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2
Evolve	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Full Gas	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
Mademoiselle Belle	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Surgeon Commander	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Henriette Ronner	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	17/2
Container Express	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Golden Havana	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Golden Havana

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 1

25/1

2nd

Faithful Dream

8.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9

11/4

3rd

Evolve

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Full Gas

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Surgeon Commander

5.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Henriette Ronner

4.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Mademoiselle Belle

4.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Container Express

2.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Evolve	65	66	44
Full Gas	62	67	26
Golden Havana	62	66	61
Surgeon Commander	58	72	55
Henriette Ronner	58	71	44
Faithful Dream	57	67	45
Mademoiselle Belle	55	69	69
Container Express	51	67	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Faithful Dream	5d ago	Quick return
Mademoiselle Belle	9d ago	Quick return
Surgeon Commander	9d ago	Quick return
Henriette Ronner	10d ago	Quick return
Container Express	14d ago	Fit
Evolve	18d ago	Fit
Golden Havana	46d ago	Fresh
Full Gas	60d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.