Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

14:44

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2026-02-11

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Weather Fog

Temp 7.4°C

Wind 3mph E

Rain 84%

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (11)	Imola Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Joey Ramsden	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Joey Ramsden	134	—	2-3124	59	73	60	19d	—	—	-13	14.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Below-par favourite last time; consistent otherwise but her new mark has kicked in
2 (7)	Liberty Bird Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Lemos De Souza	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Lemos De Souza	135	—	38270-	60	71	28	51d	—	—	-8	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Rank outsider when never dangerous at Lingfield on stable debut last time
8 (10)	Springbok Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	132	—	485-35	57	71	56	11d	—	—	-6	4.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In reasonably good form but still needs to show he has what it takes to win
3 (6)	Dream Illusion Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	135	—	04-371	60	72	54	11d	—	—	-4	5.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Got up close home over 1m at Newcastle most recently; still unexposed at this trip
9 (9)	Heretic Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Herrington	J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Herrington	132	tp	1506-3	57	72	66	19d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-2	7.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Form over C&D features a quickfire double in October and creditable effort last time
1 (5)	Mercurius Power Bay J:George Wood T:Jessica Macey	J:George Wood T:Jessica Macey	135	tp	327-53	60	73	62	11d	—	—	-4	5.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won off 2lb higher over C&D in 2024; close third to Dream Illusion at Newcastle last time
5 (8)	Sherlock Bay J:Jack Nicholls(5) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Jack Nicholls(5) T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	423-85	58	71	54	7d	—	—	-4	4.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Maiden; has frame possibilities on his November/December efforts
10 (4)	Arthur Rose Brown J:Sean D Bowen T:Brian Toomey	J:Sean D Bowen T:Brian Toomey	132	—	0211-2	57	73	55	40d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Solid results (2112) on Polytrack for new yard; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet
7 (1)	Calaxy Bay J:Joe Leavy T:Tom Dascombe	J:Joe Leavy T:Tom Dascombe	132	hp	9084-6	57	75	41	28d	—	—	-3	3.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Added hood may help her to settle better than last time; attractively weighted
11 (2)	Balqaa Bay J:Jason Hart T:Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay	J:Jason Hart T:Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay	122	—	94-825	47	72	58	18d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Well treated on best handicap form but needs to prove she can still show it
6 (3)	Amelia's Joy Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael Herrington	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael Herrington	133	h	/054-7	58	69	44	11d	—	—	0	2.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Not entirely solid on her handicap form but may benefit from this new trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Imola	5/2	9/4	2/1	9/4	9/4
Liberty Bird	3/1	4/1	3/1	9/2	7/2
Springbok	8/1	15/2	8/1	7/1	8/1
Dream Illusion	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Heretic	10/1	9/1	8/1	17/2	17/2
Mercurius Power	9/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	15/2
Sherlock	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Arthur Rose	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Calaxy	20/1	20/1	16/1	20/1	22/1
Balqaa	18/1	20/1	12/1	22/1	14/1
Amelia's Joy	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Imola

14.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Liberty Bird

11.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 5.7

9/2

3rd

Arthur Rose

8.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Heretic

7.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Dream Illusion

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Mercurius Power

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Springbok

4.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Sherlock

4.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Calaxy

3.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

22/1

Amelia's Joy

2.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Balqaa

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Liberty Bird	60	71	28
Dream Illusion	60	72	54
Mercurius Power	60	73	62
Imola	59	73	60
Sherlock	58	71	54
Amelia's Joy	58	69	44
Springbok	57	71	56
Heretic	57	72	66
Arthur Rose	57	73	55
Calaxy	57	75	41
Balqaa	47	72	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sherlock	7d ago	Quick return
Springbok	11d ago	Quick return
Dream Illusion	11d ago	Quick return
Mercurius Power	11d ago	Quick return
Amelia's Joy	11d ago	Quick return
Balqaa	18d ago	Fit
Imola	19d ago	Fit
Heretic	19d ago	Fit
Calaxy	28d ago	Fit
Arthur Rose	40d ago	Fit
Liberty Bird	51d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.