Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Fillies' Handicap

Newcastle (AW)

18:55

Date 2026-02-14

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,397

Weather Pt. Cloudy

Temp -2.2°C

Wind 4mph NW

Rain 0%

Winning Time 1m 29.53s (slow by 5.53s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mereside Diva (IRE) William Pyle · David & Nicola Barron	2/1	Won
2nd	Penny Mountain (IRE) Amie Waugh · Gary Rutherford	15/2	1.25
3rd	Brazilian Rose (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Rebecca Menzies	11/8F	2.5
4th	Party Bear (IRE) Jack Nicholls · K R Burke	3/1	23

Runners (4)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Brazilian Rose Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Rebecca Menzies	139	h	6-1151	79	85	66	7d	—	—	-15	17.3	—	7/4 36%
Made it 3-4 in 2026 at Southwell a week ago; this course winner is not taken lightly
2 (2)	Mereside Diva Chestnut J:William Pyle(3) T:David & Nicola Barron	J:William Pyle(3) T:David & Nicola Barron	135	b	70-923	75	84	76	7d	—	—	-12	14.3	—	9/4 31%
It's now 16 outings since last win but she comes here in decent nick; enters calculations
3 (3)	Party Bear Bay J:Jack Nicholls(5) T:K R Burke	J:Jack Nicholls(5) T:K R Burke	133	p	08-621	73	86	76	14d	—	—	-13	14.2	—	5/2 29%
Cosily landed 7f Lingfield h'cap two weeks ago; up 3lb but another bold showing is likely
4 (4)	Penny Mountain Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Gary Rutherford	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Gary Rutherford	116	—	4-1368	56	84	78	10d	—	—	-5	4.2	—	12/1 8%
Last of eight in 6f handicap here ten days ago; she has a bit to prove now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Brazilian Rose	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	6/4
Mereside Diva	9/4	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4
Party Bear	9/4	2/1	9/4	5/2	2/1
Penny Mountain	10/1	11/1	10/1	7/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brazilian Rose

17.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Mereside Diva

14.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Party Bear

14.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Penny Mountain

4.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brazilian Rose	79	85	66
Mereside Diva	75	84	76
Party Bear	73	86	76
Penny Mountain	56	84	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brazilian Rose	7d ago	Quick return
Mereside Diva	7d ago	Quick return
Penny Mountain	10d ago	Quick return
Party Bear	14d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.