Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Date 2026-03-05

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Weather Mainly Clear

Temp 5.4°C

Wind 10mph SE

Rain 0%

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (12)	Kingofthecarnival Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	134	—	476-	59	62	47	143d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-20	12.3	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Progressive sort at 2yrs; gelded and better to come on his handicap debut; interesting
5 (9)	Popty Ping Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	133	v	12-462	58	66	58	19d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-7	5.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Towards rear - waiting for room over 2f out - midfield but not clear run over 1f out - not clear run inside final furlong - eyecatcher (jockey said filly was denied a clear run on several occasions inside final furlong)(op 6/1)
6 (11)	Archangel Josepi Brown J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	132	—	24-373	57	62	62	19d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-7	5.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Back on track when third here 19 days ago; very much one to consider off 2lb lower mark
7 (8)	Maximum Velocity Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	677-	57	60	-	204d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-6	4.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Cut little ice in three runs at 2yrs; can step forward now h'capping up markedly in trip
12 (4)	Dream Forever Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:P J McDonald T:Jedd O'Keeffe	127	—	6688-2	52	62	45	23d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	0	7.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Much-improved second here 23 days ago; likely player up 1lb with 7f promising to suit
11 (2)	Mereside Princess br/gr J:William Pyle(3) T:David & Nicola Barron	J:William Pyle(3) T:David & Nicola Barron	130	p	8334-3	55	62	49	63d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	6.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Good Southwell third on New Year's Day; can go well in her bid for a maiden success
8 (6)	South Coast Star Bay J:Jack Callan(5) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jack Callan(5) T:Hugo Palmer	132	—	774-3	57	66	41	20d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Failed to improve on h'cap debut when well-held Wolverhampton third latest; more required
1 (5)	Raven's View Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	135	—	67-6	60	61	39	63d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-3	4.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Brought along steadily, sixth in 6f novice here latest; open to progress on handicap debut
3 (7)	Panthere Noir Bay J:Jason Hart T:Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	J:Jason Hart T:Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	134	p	33753-	59	60	12	90d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	+4	7.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
0-8 and needs a gelding operation to spark improvement if he's to get off the mark
10 (1)	Populus Bay J:Lauren Young(5) T:Stephen Hanlon	J:Lauren Young(5) T:Stephen Hanlon	131	—	95-6	56	61	30	51d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	2.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Failed to build on earlier promise with C&D sixth latest; could still do better in h'caps
4 (3)	Laser Luck Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Gemma Tutty	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Gemma Tutty	133	—	530-6	58	62	45	12d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	0	2.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Beat only one on yard/handicap debut at Lingfield 12 days ago; lots more is needed here
9 (10)	Sirhana Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	131	—	7-664	56	62	35	20d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	0	2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Remote fourth of eight on h'cap debut at Wolverhampton 20 days ago; lots more is required

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kingofthecarnival	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8
Popty Ping	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Archangel Josepi	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Maximum Velocity	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Dream Forever	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Mereside Princess	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
South Coast Star	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Raven's View	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Panthere Noir	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Populus	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Laser Luck	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Sirhana	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kingofthecarnival

12.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Panthere Noir

7.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

3rd

Dream Forever

7.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

South Coast Star

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Mereside Princess

6.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Popty Ping

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Archangel Josepi

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Maximum Velocity

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Raven's View

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Laser Luck

2.8

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Populus

2.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Sirhana

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Raven's View	60	61	39
Kingofthecarnival	59	62	47
Panthere Noir	59	60	12
Popty Ping	58	66	58
Laser Luck	58	62	45
Archangel Josepi	57	62	62
Maximum Velocity	57	60	—
South Coast Star	57	66	41
Populus	56	61	30
Sirhana	56	62	35
Mereside Princess	55	62	49
Dream Forever	52	62	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Laser Luck	12d ago	Quick return
Popty Ping	19d ago	Fit
Archangel Josepi	19d ago	Fit
South Coast Star	20d ago	Fit
Sirhana	20d ago	Fit
Dream Forever	23d ago	Fit
Populus	51d ago	Fresh
Mereside Princess	63d ago	Fresh
Raven's View	63d ago	Fresh
Panthere Noir	90d ago	Fresh
Kingofthecarnival	143d ago	Long break
Maximum Velocity	204d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.