Sunday Lunch At Western House Hotel Handicap

Ayr

15:00

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Weather Overcast

Temp 8.9°C

Wind 8mph W

Rain 6%

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Ashen Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	135	—	07-773	63	79	63	9d	—	—	-20	13.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
11-race maiden but latest Musselburgh third (1m, good) was promising; more to come
4 (5)	Coconut Bay Bay J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	129	—	6777-8	57	78	73	27d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-12	7.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner; 5lb lower than for last success; sharper for last month's return; contender
1 (6)	Camera Shy Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Michael Dods	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Michael Dods	135	t	854176	63	75	68	28d	—	—	-3	12.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
7f AW win in March; not quite so good twice since but still commands respect
5 (7)	Jkr Cobbler Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	—	8-5445	56	77	70	25d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-7	4.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Four C&D wins; on a good mark but good to firm ground wouldn't be optimal
3 (9)	Habrdi Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Ruth Carr	J:Connor Beasley T:Ruth Carr	135	p	391486	63	74	47	13d	—	—	0	8.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Not at best on his last two starts and no guarantee he'll get a good pace to aim at here
7 (8)	Little Ted Chestnut J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	127	p	22-509	55	76	67	15d	—	—	-3	3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
On a fair mark but needs to step up on recent Redcar run and he is 0-15 at 7f
8 (2)	Trais Fluors b/br J:Lauren Young(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Lauren Young(5) T:Linda Perratt	124	—	075488	52	74	-	15d	—	—	-2	1.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
His last five wins have come on AW at Newcastle; opposable back at 7f on turf
9 (1)	Approaching Dawn Chestnut J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:Jim Goldie	117	h	956-8	45	60	40	6d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Yet to offer much, including on last week's handicap debut, but should do better in time
NR (4)	Alex Belardo Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:John C McConnell	J:NON-RUNNER T:John C McConnell	128	p	-33356	56	74	-	34d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Infrequent winner but has C&D form and in fair form on AW this year; fast ground a query

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Ashen	13/8	6/4	13/8
Coconut Bay	7/2	7/2	10/3
Camera Shy	4/1	4/1	4/1
Jkr Cobbler	13/2	13/2	13/2
Habrdi	9/1	9/1	9/1
Little Ted	16/1	14/1	14/1
Trais Fluors	25/1	25/1	25/1
Approaching Dawn	40/1	40/1	40/1
Alex Belardo	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ashen

13.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Camera Shy

12.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Habrdi

8.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Coconut Bay

7.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Jkr Cobbler

4.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Alex Belardo

4.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Little Ted

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Trais Fluors

1.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Approaching Dawn

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ashen	63	79	63
Camera Shy	63	75	68
Habrdi	63	74	47
Coconut Bay	57	78	73
Jkr Cobbler	56	77	70
Alex Belardo	56	74	—
Little Ted	55	76	67
Trais Fluors	52	74	—
Approaching Dawn	45	60	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Approaching Dawn	6d ago	Quick return
Ashen	9d ago	Quick return
Habrdi	13d ago	Quick return
Little Ted	15d ago	Fit
Trais Fluors	15d ago	Fit
Jkr Cobbler	25d ago	Fit
Coconut Bay	27d ago	Fit
Camera Shy	28d ago	Fit
Alex Belardo	34d ago	Fit

Class

Horse	Prev Class	Change
Coconut Bay	Class Class 5	Class Rise

Compared to each horse's most recent recorded run. 0 drops, 1 rise.