At The Races App Market Movers Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

2:05

At The Races App Market Movers Handicap

Date 2023-04-09

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (8)	Erosion Risk b Rossa Ryan · David Evans	Rossa Ryan · David Evans	136	—	222322	72	82	77	15d	—	—	+4	23.7	3 33%
Consistent but that first win remains elusive (0-15) and now firmly frustrating.
12 (2)	Wreck It Ryley gr Oliver Stammers(3) · Grant Tuer	Oliver Stammers(3) · Grant Tuer	131	b	541322	67	83	74	29d	—	—	+6	21.7	9/2 18%
5lb pull with Just A Spark from last time and should feature if okay in the new headgear.
13 (5)	Cuban Grey gr Daniel Muscutt · Robert Cowell	Daniel Muscutt · Robert Cowell	130	tp	325291	66	82	80	23d	—	—	+7	21.9	9/2 18%
Broke better in the cheekpieces at Wolverhampton to narrowly win a 5f novice.
8 (10)	Just A Spark b Ross Coakley · Rod Millman	Ross Coakley · Rod Millman	134	—	42211	70	83	73	29d	—	—	+15	30.4	9/2 18%
Beat Wreck It Ryley with a nice bit in hand on handicap debut at Wolverhampton.
3 (1)	Thunder Star b Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	135	—	44455-	71	78	51	166d	—	—	0	7.2	11 9%
Bit to prove now returning from a break but best form brings her into it.
11 (6)	Colors Of Freedom ch Luke Morris · Archie Watson	Luke Morris · Archie Watson	131	—	1-1117	67	83	63	54d	—	—	+7	12.9	12 8%
Disappointed in a Class 5 at Newcastle and she might be high in the weights now.
6 (7)	Three Beauz br Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	134	h	27424-	70	78	70	171d	—	—	+6	10.9	14 7%
Respectable in her two handicaps, the latest on Wolverhampton's Tapeta (5f).
9 (12)	Caesars Pearl b William Pyle(7) · Craig Lidster	William Pyle(7) · Craig Lidster	134	—	59-2	70	75	42	15d	—	—	+7	11.2	20 5%
Improved form at Wolverhampton when only narrowly denied in a 5f novice.
10 (13)	Exquisitely b Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	132	—	6323-3	68	81	76	15d	—	—	+5	8.6	22 5%
Beaten five times now and not progressing; held by Caesars Pearl on their recent clash.
5 (9)	Lets Go Hugo ch James Sullivan · Ollie Pears	James Sullivan · Ollie Pears	135	—	01338-	71	79	-	193d	—	—	+9	12.9	25 4%
Unraced on the AW but has races in him off this mark.
7 (11)	Equitys Darling b Graham Lee · Julie Camacho	Graham Lee · Julie Camacho	134	h	516-5	70	76	46	51d	—	—	+3	5.8	28 4%
Could have needed reappearance run and dropping back to 5f won't hurt.
4 (3)	Dunnington Lad ch Ben Curtis · Peter Winks	Ben Curtis · Peter Winks	135	t	12106-	71	76	46	146d	—	—	+12	14.5	33 3%
Beat nothing home in two runs for this yard in November; gelded since.
1 (4)	Lily In The Jungle ch Billy Garritty · Philip Kirby	Billy Garritty · Philip Kirby	136	p	1127-0	72	80	-	26d	—	—	+4	6.1	50 2%
Struggled since her two wins but this is a marked drop in grade.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Erosion Risk	3	3	3	3	3
Wreck It Ryley	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Cuban Grey	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Just A Spark	5	4	9/2	5	9/2
Thunder Star	10	11	11	11	11
Colors Of Freedom	12	12	12	12	12
Three Beauz	14	14	14	14	14
Caesars Pearl	20	20	20	20	20
Exquisitely	20	22	22	22	22
Lets Go Hugo	25	22	22	22	22
Equitys Darling	25	28	25	25	25
Dunnington Lad	33	33	33	33	33
Lily In The Jungle	50	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Just A Spark

30.4

OR: 5 Form: 21 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Erosion Risk

23.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5.7

3rd

Cuban Grey

21.9

OR: 4 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Wreck It Ryley

21.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 13 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Dunnington Lad

14.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.7

Colors Of Freedom

12.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

Lets Go Hugo

12.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 1.1

Caesars Pearl

11.2

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Three Beauz

10.9

OR: 5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.4

Exquisitely

8.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Thunder Star

7.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Lily In The Jungle

6.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Equitys Darling

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Erosion Risk Top Rated	72	82	77
Lily In The Jungle	72	80	—
Thunder Star	71	78	51
Lets Go Hugo	71	79	—
Dunnington Lad	71	76	46
Just A Spark	70	83	73
Three Beauz	70	78	70
Caesars Pearl	70	75	42
Equitys Darling	70	76	46
Exquisitely	68	81	76
Wreck It Ryley	67	83	74
Colors Of Freedom	67	83	63
Cuban Grey	66	82	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Erosion Risk	15d ago	Fit
Wreck It Ryley	29d ago	Fit
Cuban Grey	23d ago	Fit
Just A Spark	29d ago	Fit
Thunder Star	166d ago	Long break
Colors Of Freedom	54d ago	Fresh
Three Beauz	171d ago	Long break
Caesars Pearl	15d ago	Fit
Exquisitely	15d ago	Fit
Lets Go Hugo	193d ago	Long break
Equitys Darling	51d ago	Fresh
Dunnington Lad	146d ago	Long break
Lily In The Jungle	26d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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