Grace And Dotty Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Stratford

14:15

Date 2023-04-23

Distance 2m70y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Lady Gwen Bay J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	158	—	-52547	93	108	86	97d	—	—	-13	24	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Peak effort when second at Ffos Las in October; major player on that form
11	Three Macks Chestnut J:Cian Chester(10) T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Cian Chester(10) T:Charlie Longsdon	150	—	342	93	108	106	14d	—	—	-2	25.7	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Front-running second at Market Rasen most recently; warrants respect
2	Blue Clover Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	158	t	3235	-	-	-	56d	—	—	+1	7.4	2.50/1	11 9%
0-4 in bumpers but posted a solid effort at Chepstow in October
7	Princess Poppy Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	158	—	77P	-	82	57	14d	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Lost both front shoes last time (stable debut); may be capable of better
3	First Venture Bay J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	158	—	1PP3	-	73	41	36d	—	—	+1	5.6	4.25/1	18 6%
May improve back on faster surface; point win came on good going
4	Forever A Dove Bay J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Jake Thomas Coulson	J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Jake Thomas Coulson	158	—	2-26	-	-	-	152d	—	—	0	4.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Southwell bumper form includes a couple of seconds on good ground
10	Ravi Road Chestnut J:Harriet Tucker(7) T:Mark Usher	J:Harriet Tucker(7) T:Mark Usher	150	—	64	-	84	55	26d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Modest maiden on Flat; no improvement over hurdles
6	Pollyonesock Bay J:Alex Edwards T:Alastair Ralph	J:Alex Edwards T:Alastair Ralph	158	—	796U	-	-	-	20d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Unseated rider early at Ludlow on the switch to hurdles
NR	Moirai Bay J:Liam Harrison(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Liam Harrison(3) T:Amy Murphy	150	—	57	-	87	40	26d	—	—	-8	3.3	8.00/1	33 3%
May improve for this switch to forecast better ground
1	Baby Sham Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	158	—	6-6447	75	88	73	191d	—	—	+4	7.1	8.00/1	33 3%
0-15 over hurdles, showing modest form on the whole
8	Somerway Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Tom George	J:Sean Houlihan T:Tom George	158	t	09P	-	54	-	31d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Has achieved little in three runs

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lady Gwen	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
Three Macks	2	2	2	2	15/8
Blue Clover	11	10	10	10	11
Princess Poppy	12	11	12	12	12
First Venture	18	18	18	18	18
Forever A Dove	22	18	18	18	20
Ravi Road	20	18	18	18	20
Pollyonesock	22	22	22	22	25
Moirai	33	33	28	28	28
Baby Sham	33	28	28	28	28
Somerway	150	150	150	150	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Three Macks

25.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8.4

15/8

2nd

Lady Gwen

OR: 10.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 11.8

5/4

3rd

Blue Clover

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.9

Baby Sham

7.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

First Venture

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 4.2 Odds: 1.4

Forever A Dove

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

Moirai

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Princess Poppy

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ravi Road

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Pollyonesock

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Somerway

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Gwen	93	108	86
Three Macks	93	108	106
Baby Sham	75	88	73
Blue Clover	—	—	—
Princess Poppy	—	82	57
First Venture	—	73	41
Forever A Dove	—	—	—
Ravi Road	—	84	55
Pollyonesock	—	—	—
Moirai	—	87	40
Somerway	—	54	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Three Macks	14d ago	Fit
Princess Poppy	14d ago	Fit
Pollyonesock	20d ago	Fit
Ravi Road	26d ago	Fit
Moirai	26d ago	Fit
Somerway	31d ago	Fit
First Venture	36d ago	Fit
Blue Clover	56d ago	Fresh
Lady Gwen	97d ago	Long break
Forever A Dove	152d ago	Long break
Baby Sham	191d ago	Long break