Follow @Attheraces On Twitter Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

5:20

Follow @Attheraces On Twitter Handicap

Date 2023-05-08

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (9)	Kaths Toyboy gr Ben Curtis · Kevin Frost	Ben Curtis · Kevin Frost	132	b	-53312	67	85	74	20d	—	—	+3	25.3	11/4 27%
Came right away with a subsequent winner over 6f here last time; is high on the shortlist
1 (13)	King Of York b Kieran Shoemark · Scott Dixon	Kieran Shoemark · Scott Dixon	135	—	22-704	70	83	57	11d	—	—	-7	10	7/2 22%
More on turf last time; the question now is whether he'll still have the speed for 7f
2 (5)	Visibility b Elisha Whittington(5) · Scott Dixon	Elisha Whittington(5) · Scott Dixon	135	—	535650	70	81	63	14d	—	—	-1	8	17/2 11%
Most wins have come over a bit further and never off a mark quite this high
8 (12)	Drakeholes gr Dougie Costello · Alison Hamilton	Dougie Costello · Alison Hamilton	132	—	71-067	67	79	45	55d	—	—	-2	6.5	17/2 11%
Struggled back into handicaps since a novice win, albeit he offered more last time
11 (6)	Bobby Joe Leg ch James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	126	b	843420	61	83	73	10d	—	—	0	9.8	10 10%
6lb better off with Kath's Toyboy than when pushing him close over C&D last month; player
5 (7)	Saisons Dor ro Jack Garritty · Jedd Okeeffe	Jack Garritty · Jedd Okeeffe	133	—	80-517	68	83	70	38d	—	—	-1	6.6	10 10%
Buzzy front-runner who tends to come to hand early; may face competition up front
NR (8)	Tom Tulliver b Jefferson Smith · Scott Dixon	Jefferson Smith · Scott Dixon	120	b	212540	55	83	69	10d	—	—	+2	6	18 6%
High in the weights; no excuses behind Kath's Toyboy and Bobby Joe Leg over C&D last month
10 (14)	Motawaafeq b David Egan · Michael Appleby	David Egan · Michael Appleby	131	p	30-344	66	82	73	39d	—	—	0	5.6	18 6%
On a handy mark but that's been true for a while and his only recent win came in a seller
13 (1)	Mudlahhim b Saffie Osborne · Scott Dixon	Saffie Osborne · Scott Dixon	124	—	90-773	59	78	74	9d	—	—	-2	3.9	14 7%
Best run in a while last time despite pulling hard; lacks consistency and this is stronger
12 (4)	Custard The Dragon b Jason Watson · John Mackie	Jason Watson · John Mackie	125	v	9-9090	60	77	54	38d	—	—	-2	4.1	14 7%
Looking like the years have caught up since he returned from a nine-month absence
3 (3)	Bond Boy b Finley Marsh · Michael Appleby	Finley Marsh · Michael Appleby	135	—	535670	70	83	53	20d	—	—	+3	6.7	20 5%
Won three early in the year, latterly off just 1lb lower, but has gone off the boil since
6 (2)	Little Earl b Lewis Edmunds · Ruth Carr	Lewis Edmunds · Ruth Carr	132	—	0-7076	67	78	65	16d	—	—	+1	5.3	28/1 3%
The handicapper's easing off but he's from a speedy family and stamina is the big question
9 (10)	Eagle Creek b J F Egan · Michael & David Easterby	J F Egan · Michael & David Easterby	131	b	0-8006	66	81	68	34d	—	—	+1	5	22 5%
Handicapper's giving him every chance and he's worth a market check in first-time headgear
4 (11)	White Umbrella b Billy Loughnane(3) · Christopher Kellett	Billy Loughnane(3) · Christopher Kellett	134	—	1844-8	69	83	17	19d	—	—	+2	5.8	20 5%
Return to 7f will suit but offered little in finishing well beaten on her turf return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kaths Toyboy	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2
King Of York	4	4	7/2	7/2	4
Visibility	9	9	17/2	8	9
Drakeholes	9	17/2	9	9	9
Bobby Joe Leg	10	17/2	8	8	15/2
Saisons Dor	10	10	9	10	10
Tom Tulliver	16	18	18	18	18
Motawaafeq	14	18	16	16	16
Mudlahhim	14	12	12	12	12
Custard The Dragon	14	12	12	14	14
Bond Boy	20	20	18	20	20
Little Earl	20	25	25	25	28/1
Eagle Creek	22	20	20	22	22
White Umbrella	20	20	18	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kaths Toyboy

25.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 14.4 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

King Of York

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Bobby Joe Leg

9.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 2.7

Visibility

OR: 5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Bond Boy

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.1

Saisons Dor

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Drakeholes

6.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Tom Tulliver

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

White Umbrella

5.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Motawaafeq

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Little Earl

5.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Eagle Creek

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Custard The Dragon

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Mudlahhim

3.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
King Of York Top Rated	70	83	57
Visibility	70	81	63
Bond Boy	70	83	53
White Umbrella	69	83	17
Saisons Dor	68	83	70
Kaths Toyboy	67	85	74
Drakeholes	67	79	45
Little Earl	67	78	65
Motawaafeq	66	82	73
Eagle Creek	66	81	68
Bobby Joe Leg	61	83	73
Custard The Dragon	60	77	54
Mudlahhim	59	78	74
Tom Tulliver	55	83	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kaths Toyboy	20d ago	Fit
King Of York	11d ago	Quick return
Visibility	14d ago	Fit
Drakeholes	55d ago	Fresh
Bobby Joe Leg	10d ago	Quick return
Saisons Dor	38d ago	Fit
Tom Tulliver	10d ago	Quick return
Motawaafeq	39d ago	Fit
Mudlahhim	9d ago	Quick return
Custard The Dragon	38d ago	Fit
Bond Boy	20d ago	Fit
Little Earl	16d ago	Fit
Eagle Creek	34d ago	Fit
White Umbrella	19d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Saisons Dor	Front Runner
Motawaafeq	Front Runner

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Going: Standard

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