Follow @attheraces On Twitter Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

7:45

Follow @attheraces On Twitter Handicap

Date 2023-05-09

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (8)	Princess Karine b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	135	—	236-33	70	82	72	12d	—	—	-10	11.2	10/3 23%
Placed in both runs this year, including over C&D, and she should be involved once more
9 (5)	Sugar Baby b J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Peter Niven	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Peter Niven	130	—	123P2-	65	87	74	186d	—	—	+2	17.1	9/2 18%
Career-best effort when just touched off here in Nov; off since; may come on for the run
5 (7)	Glorious Rio b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	134	b	2-3594	69	88	74	10d	—	—	-1	11.9	11/2 15%
Conditions to suit and he's slipped to a handy mark; better run on the cards today
6 (4)	Caribbean Sunset b J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	134	—	/5/27-	69	84	-	428d	—	—	-4	8.1	11/2 15%
Had some long absences during his career; dangerous mark but there are risks involved
7 (3)	Elzaal b J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	131	—	-13111	66	82	75	46d	—	—	+20	32.2	11/2 15%
Won 5 of his last 6 over C&D and not taken on lightly despite stiffer opposition today
3 (9)	Saaheq b J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Adrian Nicholls	135	p	76-521	70	82	72	19d	—	—	-4	8.6	15/2 12%
Easy winner at Chelmsford last month; up 5lb but still has handicapping potential
10 (10)	Yaahobby b J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	119	tp	340753	54	85	73	7d	—	—	-1	5.7	16 6%
Ran well over 6f at Wolverhampton last week; effective at 5f; not discounted
4 (1)	Prodigious Blue b J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	668-50	70	83	-	19d	—	—	+1	6.4	18 6%
Quickly dropped 7lb this year; a much better effort is on the cards on this AW debut
1 (2)	Jarvis ch J:Joe Fanning T:Ann Duffield	J:Joe Fanning T:Ann Duffield	137	p	29000-	72	80	-	214d	—	—	+4	7.6	22 5%
Thrown in on Irish form but struggled in 3 runs for this yard in the autumn; down in class
8 (6)	Fai Fai b J:Harry Russell(3) T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell(3) T:Antony Brittain	130	v	68-087	65	78	68	13d	—	—	+1	4.6	40 3%
Tumbled down the weights in the last year; type to pop up at some point; visor returns

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Princess Karine	3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Sugar Baby	9/2	4	4	4	4
Glorious Rio	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Caribbean Sunset	6	6	11/2	6	6
Elzaal	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Saaheq	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Yaahobby	16	14	12	14	14
Prodigious Blue	18	16	14	16	16
Jarvis	22	22	20	22	22
Fai Fai	40	33	25/1	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Elzaal

32.2

OR: 4 Form: 24.9 Odds: 3.3

11/2

2nd

Sugar Baby

17.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Glorious Rio

11.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Princess Karine

11.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Saaheq

8.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Caribbean Sunset

8.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Jarvis

7.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1

Prodigious Blue

6.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Yaahobby

5.7

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Fai Fai

4.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jarvis Top Rated	72	80	—
Princess Karine	70	82	72
Saaheq	70	82	72
Prodigious Blue	70	83	—
Glorious Rio	69	88	74
Caribbean Sunset	69	84	—
Elzaal	66	82	75
Sugar Baby	65	87	74
Fai Fai	65	78	68
Yaahobby	54	85	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Princess Karine	12d ago	Quick return
Sugar Baby	186d ago	Long break
Glorious Rio	10d ago	Quick return
Caribbean Sunset	428d ago	Long break
Elzaal	46d ago	Fresh
Saaheq	19d ago	Fit
Yaahobby	7d ago	Quick return
Prodigious Blue	19d ago	Fit
Jarvis	214d ago	Long break
Fai Fai	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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