Alastair Ralph Open Day 16th September Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Ludlow

2:35

Date 2023-05-14

Distance 1m7f169y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5	Guy ch Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	155	p	38432-	114	125	91	18d	—	—	-2	35.9	11/8 42%
Useful chaser; second in two novice hurdles here last month; major player
1	Soldat Forte b Brian Hughes · Charlie Longsdon	Brian Hughes · Charlie Longsdon	162	t	F/421-	-	119	90	32d	—	—	-20	8.9	5/2 29%
Narrow winner on last month's hurdle debut, form that looks better than it did at the time
4	Great Heartjac br Paddy Brennan · Fergal Obrien	Paddy Brennan · Fergal Obrien	155	p	12124-	109	122	80	23d	—	—	+10	33.8	11/4 27%
2-5 over fences last season and has good chance at the weights on this hurdling return
10	By Pass ch Dylan Kitts(7) · Bill Turner	Dylan Kitts(7) · Bill Turner	142	v	5P36F-	93	115	108	66d	—	—	+4	13.3	10 10%
Has shown some hurdling ability but a minor role is probably her best hope here
9	Pavlodar ch Ciaran Gethings · Alastair Ralph	Ciaran Gethings · Alastair Ralph	149	t	P-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.7	16 6%
Fair on Flat at best and had excuse when pulled up on hurdle debut but others are safer
3	Captain Attridge b Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	155	—	60-	-	101	70	18d	—	—	-3	1.1	25 4%
Fair on the Flat in Ireland but has shown only minor promise over hurdles
8	Imperial Admiral b David Bass · Kim Bailey	David Bass · Kim Bailey	155	t	PP-	-	-	-	82d	—	—	-3	1.2	50 2%
Showed no promise when pulled up twice last season; had wind op in March
6	Haafbourd b Connor Brace · Emma-Jane Bishop	Connor Brace · Emma-Jane Bishop	155	t	37P0-	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.5	66 2%
Struggled on his first two hurdling attempts
2	Alright Chap b Finn Lambert(5) · Richard Phillips	Finn Lambert(5) · Richard Phillips	155	—	8P6-	-	-	-	34d	—	—	-1	0.5	100 1%
Well-beaten outsider on his two hurdling starts towards the end of last season
7	Hay Up Harry b A P Heskin · Sophie Leech	A P Heskin · Sophie Leech	155	—	09-	-	-	-	28d	—	—	-1	0.5	100 1%
Well beaten when finishing last in two bumpers last season; hurdling debut today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Guy	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Soldat Forte	5/2	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4
Great Heartjac	11/4	3	11/4	11/4	11/4
By Pass	10	10	10	10	10
Pavlodar	16	16	16	16	16
Captain Attridge	25	25	25	25	25
Imperial Admiral	50	50	50	50	50
Haafbourd	66	66	66	66	66
Alright Chap	100	100	100	100	100
Hay Up Harry	100	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Guy

35.9

OR: 16 Form: 7.7 Odds: 12.2

11/8

2nd

Great Heartjac

33.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 12 Odds: 7

11/4

3rd

By Pass

13.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.6

Soldat Forte

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

5/2

Pavlodar

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Imperial Admiral

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Captain Attridge

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Haafbourd

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Alright Chap

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Hay Up Harry

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Guy Top Rated	114	125	91
Great Heartjac	109	122	80
By Pass	93	115	108
Soldat Forte	—	119	90
Pavlodar	—	—	—
Captain Attridge	—	101	70
Imperial Admiral	—	—	—
Haafbourd	—	—	—
Alright Chap	—	—	—
Hay Up Harry	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Guy	18d ago	Fit
Soldat Forte	32d ago	Fit
Great Heartjac	23d ago	Fit
By Pass	66d ago	Fresh
Pavlodar	—	—
Captain Attridge	18d ago	Fit
Imperial Admiral	82d ago	Fresh
Haafbourd	16d ago	Fit
Alright Chap	34d ago	Fit
Hay Up Harry	28d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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