Tipperary Races On Twitter Handicap Hurdle – Tipperary

Tipperary

7:50

Tipperary Races On Twitter Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-05-18

Distance 3m

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners 19

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
16	Townhill Penny b Ben Harvey(5) · Gordon Elliott	Ben Harvey(5) · Gordon Elliott	161	p	18952-	94	105	76	28d	—	—	+7	22.4	9/2 18%
9l second at Kilbeggan reads much better now as winner followed up Friday up 14lb; noted
9	Holiday In Kerry b Conor McNamara · E Mcnamara	Conor McNamara · E Mcnamara	164	p	P373-1	97	104	56	12d	—	—	+13	25.4	5 20%
Not out of turn at Cork (Kingston Kid second); 6lb rise fine, might not want summer ground
1	Navigator Jack b Keith Donoghue · Eoin Griffin	Keith Donoghue · Eoin Griffin	168	ht	3400-5	101	109	91	14d	—	—	+4	16.4	13/2 13%
Tipperary return encouraging but unsure about this trip; yard off the back of good season
NR	Atlantian b TBC · A J Martin	· A J Martin	162	t	02225-	95	108	69	39d	—	—	+4	24.7	7 14%
Shade quiet at Cork behind King Ferdinand but not disgraced and has done little wrong
8	General Clermont gr/b Darragh O'Keeffe · D E Fitzgerald	Darragh O'Keeffe · D E Fitzgerald	164	—	45503-	97	110	96	28d	—	—	+5	18.8	13/2 13%
40-1, made bright return at Kilbeggan, but 0-26 and another with trip-related issues
6	Ballyglass Beauty b Kieran Callaghan(7) · Liam P Cusack	Kieran Callaghan(7) · Liam P Cusack	165	—	42235-	98	108	98	28d	—	—	+11	21	15/2 12%
Kilbeggan winner over similar trip in September; rare off-day there last time but chance
11	Kingston Kid gr Jack G Gilligan(7) · Eugene M Osullivan	Jack G Gilligan(7) · Eugene M Osullivan	164	tp	6039-2	97	104	58	12d	—	—	+11	19.1	17/2 11%
Keen to see how he fares in wagering to stablemate King Ferdinand; chance
10	King Ferdinand b E Walsh(5) · Eugene M Osullivan	E Walsh(5) · Eugene M Osullivan	164	t	70052-	97	108	76	39d	—	—	+5	21.8	9/2 18%
Just failed when 4l clear of remainder in race won by well-backed 6s shot at Cork in April
NR	Merry Moves b/br TBC · Mrs Grainne M Oconnor	· Mrs Grainne M Oconnor	160	t	P9167-	93	107	95	27d	—	—	+6	19.1	12 8%
Third reserve; can lead; held since shock win over Atlantian at Limerick
2	Alfieri b Mr J W Reilly(7) · Ross Osullivan	Mr J W Reilly(7) · Ross Osullivan	167	—	4206P-	100	111	91	148d	—	—	+7	14.6	12 8%
Sole win over C&D last summer; seems fine fresh, so perhaps his absence is fine
13	Carrig Hill b Philip Donovan(5) · E Seymour	Philip Donovan(5) · E Seymour	162	p	6/076-	95	111	73	30d	—	—	+8	12.5	28 4%
Nothing much in maidens; going handicapping late in the day; risky
NR	Unheralded b TBC · T J Nagle Jr	· T J Nagle Jr	160	—	0533-9	93	107	54	12d	—	—	+6	12.4	25 4%
Second reserve; early days; well-held both handicaps including behind Kingston Kid at Cork
3	Florey Spud b Denis O'Regan · P F Odonnell	Denis O'Regan · P F Odonnell	167	—	622F5-	100	105	81	236d	—	—	+13	16.5	22 5%
Banging on the door but no obvious excuses at Listowel and would not be sure he will stay
7	Cassarina Gold b James Smith(7) · Matthew J Smith	James Smith(7) · Matthew J Smith	164	t	/8197-	97	86	30	222d	—	—	+14	18	25 4%
Staying bumper winner; evidence suggests she is not well-treated on return/handicap bow
4	Fox Fearless b Phillip Enright · Oliver Mckiernan	Phillip Enright · Oliver Mckiernan	167	—	/0905-	100	103	97	—	—	—	+10	13.4	28 4%
Yard in reasonable form; still can only watch trying this trip on return
5	Crimson Chief b Kieren Buckley(3) · J Morrison	Kieren Buckley(3) · J Morrison	166	—	91159-	99	105	71	31d	—	—	+19	20.8	50 2%
28s, beaten a car ride on return at Tramore, huge improvement needed, but should do better
14	The Last Throw b Ricky Doyle · M F Morris	Ricky Doyle · M F Morris	162	t	59/PF-	95	98	-	191d	—	—	+10	11.8	66 2%
Did not go on from fair hurdling debut (2m) in 2020; yard among winners but very risky
R17	Attitash b Caragh Monaghan(7) · Ian Patrick Donoghue	Caragh Monaghan(7) · Ian Patrick Donoghue	160	—	/P000-	93	109	55	59d	—	—	+9	11.5	80 1%
First reserve; won for Willie Mullins in 2021; this season a struggle; new trip
15	Thedancingfarrier ch Mr R J Kiely(5) · Paul Stephen Kiely	Mr R J Kiely(5) · Paul Stephen Kiely	162	—	94050-	95	104	95	39d	—	—	+10	11.9	100 1%
Both wins (2m4f) were at Cork; evidence suggests 11yo does not stay and risky

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Townhill Penny	9/2	4	4	4	9/2
Holiday In Kerry	5	5	5	5	5
Navigator Jack	6	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Atlantian	11/2	7	7	7	SP
General Clermont	7	13/2	6	7	13/2
Ballyglass Beauty	15/2	7	7	7	13/2
Kingston Kid	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
King Ferdinand	9/2	4	4	4	7/2
Merry Moves	SP	12	12	12	12
Alfieri	12	11	11	11	11
Carrig Hill	28	22	22	22	22
Unheralded	25	25	25	25	25
Florey Spud	22	20	20	20	20
Cassarina Gold	25	22	18	16	20
Fox Fearless	28	25	25	25	25
Crimson Chief	50	50	40	50	50
The Last Throw	66	66	66	66	66
Attitash	80	80	80	50	80
Thedancingfarrier	50	100	80	66	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Holiday In Kerry

25.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

2nd

Atlantian

24.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 6

3rd

Townhill Penny

22.4

OR: 11 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

9/2

King Ferdinand

21.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

Ballyglass Beauty

OR: 12 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Crimson Chief

20.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0.6

Kingston Kid

19.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Merry Moves

19.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 4.7 Odds: 3.6

General Clermont

18.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

13/2

Cassarina Gold

OR: 11.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Florey Spud

16.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Navigator Jack

16.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Alfieri

14.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Fox Fearless

13.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Carrig Hill

12.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Unheralded

12.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Thedancingfarrier

11.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

100

The Last Throw

11.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Attitash

11.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Navigator Jack Top Rated	101	109	91
Alfieri	100	111	91
Florey Spud	100	105	81
Fox Fearless	100	103	97
Crimson Chief	99	105	71
Ballyglass Beauty	98	108	98
Holiday In Kerry	97	104	56
General Clermont	97	110	96
Kingston Kid	97	104	58
King Ferdinand	97	108	76
Cassarina Gold	97	86	30
Atlantian	95	108	69
Carrig Hill	95	111	73
The Last Throw	95	98	—
Thedancingfarrier	95	104	95
Townhill Penny	94	105	76
Merry Moves	93	107	95
Unheralded	93	107	54
Attitash	93	109	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Townhill Penny	28d ago	Fit
Holiday In Kerry	12d ago	Quick return
Navigator Jack	14d ago	Fit
Atlantian	39d ago	Fit
General Clermont	28d ago	Fit
Ballyglass Beauty	28d ago	Fit
Kingston Kid	12d ago	Quick return
King Ferdinand	39d ago	Fit
Merry Moves	27d ago	Fit
Alfieri	148d ago	Long break
Carrig Hill	30d ago	Fit
Unheralded	12d ago	Quick return
Florey Spud	236d ago	Long break
Cassarina Gold	222d ago	Long break
Fox Fearless	—	—
Crimson Chief	31d ago	Fit
The Last Throw	191d ago	Long break
Attitash	59d ago	Fresh
Thedancingfarrier	39d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Yielding

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