Thursby Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

3:40

Thursby Handicap

Date 2023-05-22

Distance 7f173y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,543

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (1)	Whats The Story b Connor Beasley Keith Dalgleish	Connor Beasley Keith Dalgleish	135	p	-93052	85	103	91	8d	—	—	-12	27.2	5/4 44%
Close second in higher grade at Hamilton eight days ago; good chance off same mark
4 (3)	Detective b Paul Mulrennan Dianne Sayer	Paul Mulrennan Dianne Sayer	128	p	5050-8	78	100	89	41d	—	—	-4	11.4	9/2 18%
Has an excellent record at Carlisle, including a success in this race last year; respected
2 (4)	Alazwar b Andrew Mullen Archie Watson	Andrew Mullen Archie Watson	133	p	7007-5	83	101	83	21d	—	—	-1	11.9	11/2 15%
Has possibilities if back to best with Bath reappearance under his belt
6 (2)	Strongbowe b Sean Kirrane(3) Tim Easterby	Sean Kirrane(3) Tim Easterby	124	p	29-726	74	97	54	9d	—	—	-1	8.9	15/2 12%
Had possible excuses last time; C&D winner (narrowly beat Detective) last July
5 (5)	Gobi Sunset b Joe Fanning Charlie Johnston	Joe Fanning Charlie Johnston	125	—	530767	75	97	52	7d	—	—	0	9.4	17/2 11%
Disappointing favourite at Musselburgh last week; losing run is mounting up
3 (6)	Sucellus b Alistair Rawlinson Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Alistair Rawlinson Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	132	t	99361-	82	94	71	224d	—	—	+13	21.9	10 10%
Absent since AW win seven months ago; more exposed on turf
NR (7)	Gainsbourg b Shane Gray Daragh Bourke	Shane Gray Daragh Bourke	121	p	16-880	71	102	25	28d	—	—	+2	6.5	20 5%
Well weighted but form for current yard leaves a lot to be desired

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Whats The Story	5/4	5/4	6/5	6/5	6/5
Detective	4	5	9/2	5	5
Alazwar	6	6	6	11/2	6
Strongbowe	8	8	15/2	8	8
Gobi Sunset	9	8	17/2	8	8
Sucellus	10	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Gainsbourg	18	20	16	18	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Whats The Story

27.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Sucellus

21.9

OR: 8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.4

3rd

Alazwar

11.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Detective

11.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Gobi Sunset

9.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Strongbowe

8.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Gainsbourg

6.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Whats The Story Top Rated	85	103	91
Alazwar	83	101	83
Sucellus	82	94	71
Detective	78	100	89
Gobi Sunset	75	97	52
Strongbowe	74	97	54
Gainsbourg	71	102	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Whats The Story	8d ago	Quick return
Detective	41d ago	Fit
Alazwar	21d ago	Fit
Strongbowe	9d ago	Quick return
Gobi Sunset	7d ago	Quick return
Sucellus	224d ago	Long break
Gainsbourg	28d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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