Penrith Handicap (A Jockey Club Grassroots Sprint Series Qualifier)

Carlisle

3:10

Date 2023-05-22

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,543

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (3)	Straits Of Moyle ch Oisin Orr Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr Richard Fahey	131	p	5-8403	72	88	88	16d	—	—	-13	13.5	9/4 31%
Less testing ground in his favour and he's on a handy mark, so needs considering
2 (4)	Papa Cocktail b Callum Shepherd Stella Barclay	Callum Shepherd Stella Barclay	133	—	0-3611	74	91	78	23d	—	—	-10	12.7	11/4 27%
Competitive off slightly higher marks last year; fair claims of completing the hat-trick
5 (7)	Lord Abama ch Connor Beasley Michael Dods	Connor Beasley Michael Dods	128	p	33-284	69	90	75	30d	—	—	-8	10	7/2 22%
Has the ability to win off this mark but there can only be so many excuses
1 (5)	Westmorian b Oliver Stammers(3) Grant Tuer	Oliver Stammers(3) Grant Tuer	135	—	1-0734	76	89	43	26d	—	—	+4	17.5	13/2 13%
Not much wiggle room off this mark but will be a danger to all if allowed to dictate
7 (2)	Thaki b Joe Fanning Katie Scott	Joe Fanning Katie Scott	122	t	727633	63	88	64	14d	—	—	+4	11.5	10/1 9%
Plenty of chances in slightly lesser company for two yards in recent times; 0-6 on turf
4 (6)	Newyorkstateofmind b Harrison Shaw Ruth Carr	Harrison Shaw Ruth Carr	130	—	10-460	71	89	43	16d	—	—	+1	7	14 7%
Done most winning on the AW and has struggled since returned to turf; outsider
6 (1)	Barneys Bay b Duran Fentiman Tim Easterby	Duran Fentiman Tim Easterby	127	b	344275	68	89	55	26d	—	—	+3	8.6	16 6%
Hasn't won in two years and has done all his racing this season over 7f-1m; needs more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Straits Of Moyle	9/4	2	2	9/4	9/4
Papa Cocktail	11/4	3	3	11/4	11/4
Lord Abama	4	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Westmorian	13/2	6	6	11/2	13/2
Thaki	10/1	10	10	10	10
Newyorkstateofmind	14	14	12	11	14
Barneys Bay	16	16	14	14	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Westmorian

17.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4

13/2

2nd

Straits Of Moyle

13.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Papa Cocktail

12.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Thaki

11.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Lord Abama

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Barneys Bay

8.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

Newyorkstateofmind

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Westmorian Top Rated	76	89	43
Papa Cocktail	74	91	78
Straits Of Moyle	72	88	88
Newyorkstateofmind	71	89	43
Lord Abama	69	90	75
Barneys Bay	68	89	55
Thaki	63	88	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Straits Of Moyle	16d ago	Fit
Papa Cocktail	23d ago	Fit
Lord Abama	30d ago	Fit
Westmorian	26d ago	Fit
Thaki	14d ago	Fit
Newyorkstateofmind	16d ago	Fit
Barneys Bay	26d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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