Royal Ascot Form Study On attheraces.com Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

2:30

Royal Ascot Form Study On attheraces.com Handicap

Date 2023-06-12

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (10)	Kitaro Kich br Neil Callan · George Baker	Neil Callan · George Baker	136	—	66-359	66	76	64	37d	—	—	-12	10.7	11/4 27%
Ran okay in two 1m AW handicaps at Kempton earlier this year; heavy ground latest
1 (6)	Jalapa b Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	137	b	3-54	67	69	39	18d	—	—	-8	12.5	11/4 27%
Disappointing so far given excellent pedigree; up in trip for h'cap debut and blinkered
7 (8)	Obama Army b Charles Bishop · Jack Channon	Charles Bishop · Jack Channon	132	p	-42212	62	75	54	11d	—	—	+8	23.4	9/2 18%
An uncomplicated prominent racer who is having a very solid season from 1m to 1m2f
3 (2)	Royal Dream b Daniel Muscutt · Ed Dunlop	Daniel Muscutt · Ed Dunlop	134	t	856-45	64	73	68	13d	—	—	-8	7.9	9/2 18%
Fast ground an excuse latest and his previous 2l fourth at Southwell brings him into it
4 (11)	Roman Art b Harry Davies(3) · Hughie Morrison	Harry Davies(3) · Hughie Morrison	133	—	0-650	63	78	52	24d	—	—	-4	6.1	8 13%
Dropped away on handicap debut; only 5-1 and can be given another chance
NR (12)	Larrsen b Billy Loughnane(3) · Gary Moore	Billy Loughnane(3) · Gary Moore	128	—	05-716	58	73	46	19d	—	—	-4	4.4	10 10%
Recent winning miler; might be on a tough mark unless he improves for step up to 1m2f
9 (13)	Mysterious Maestro b Billy Loughnane(3) · Simon & Ed Crisford	Billy Loughnane(3) · Simon & Ed Crisford	129	tb	967-50	59	72	41	24d	—	—	-1	3.6	18 6%
Drawn wide with different headgear and comes with risks up in trip
12 (3)	Abravaggio b J F Egan · George Margarson	J F Egan · George Margarson	127	—	94-56	57	70	-	11d	—	—	-2	3.1	16 6%
Uninspiring so far but up in trip here and there's stamina in the pedigree
5 (9)	Melwood Boy b Luke Morris · Hugo Palmer	Luke Morris · Hugo Palmer	133	b	335959	63	71	62	17d	—	—	+1	4.8	25 4%
Kicked off with a couple of thirds in 1m maidens but bitterly disappointing since then
10 (1)	Foinix b Jefferson Smith · Gay Kelleway	Jefferson Smith · Gay Kelleway	129	p	431256	59	74	58	90d	—	—	+6	9.1	40 3%
Given a break since below-par run latest; has form here and the ability to feature
8 (7)	Third Batch b David Probert · S Woods	David Probert · S Woods	132	hp	244487	62	76	48	9d	—	—	+1	3.6	66 2%
Happier on the AW and has run well over C&D; chance if taking to headgear switch
13 (4)	Dees Dream b William Carson · Michael Attwater	William Carson · Michael Attwater	126	—	2-6676	56	72	46	37d	—	—	+4	5.5	66 2%
Could yet improve for this far but will need to as she's been looking exposed
14 (5)	Earthy Mangold b Rhiain Ingram(3) · Roger Ingram	Rhiain Ingram(3) · Roger Ingram	120	t	070-0	50	69	-	33d	—	—	-1	0.4	100 1%
Tailed off on stable/handicap debut; has an awful lot to prove raised in distance
6 (14)	House Of Dragons b Nicola Currie · Seamus Durack	Nicola Currie · Seamus Durack	133	—	534-06	63	74	35	9d	—	—	+2	3.6	150 1%
Gone backwards in two handicaps for this yard (at about 7f) and he's not bred for this far

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kitaro Kich	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Jalapa	3	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Obama Army	5	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Royal Dream	9/2	4	4	4	4
Roman Art	8	7	7	7	7
Larrsen	10	9	9	9	9
Mysterious Maestro	16	18	16	16	16
Abravaggio	16	14	14	16	16
Melwood Boy	25	25	22	25	25
Foinix	40	40	33	33	33
Third Batch	33	66	50	50	50
Dees Dream	66	66	66	66	66
Earthy Mangold	100	100	100	100	100
House Of Dragons	150	100	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Obama Army

23.4

OR: 3 Form: 16 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Jalapa

12.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Kitaro Kich

10.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Foinix

9.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 0.7

Royal Dream

7.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Roman Art

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Dees Dream

5.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

Melwood Boy

4.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

Larrsen

4.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Mysterious Maestro

3.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Third Batch

3.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

House Of Dragons

3.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Abravaggio

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Earthy Mangold

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jalapa Top Rated	67	69	39
Kitaro Kich	66	76	64
Royal Dream	64	73	68
Roman Art	63	78	52
Melwood Boy	63	71	62
House Of Dragons	63	74	35
Obama Army	62	75	54
Third Batch	62	76	48
Mysterious Maestro	59	72	41
Foinix	59	74	58
Larrsen	58	73	46
Abravaggio	57	70	—
Dees Dream	56	72	46
Earthy Mangold	50	69	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kitaro Kich	37d ago	Fit
Jalapa	18d ago	Fit
Obama Army	11d ago	Quick return
Royal Dream	13d ago	Quick return
Roman Art	24d ago	Fit
Larrsen	19d ago	Fit
Mysterious Maestro	24d ago	Fit
Abravaggio	11d ago	Quick return
Melwood Boy	17d ago	Fit
Foinix	90d ago	Fresh
Third Batch	9d ago	Quick return
Dees Dream	37d ago	Fit
Earthy Mangold	33d ago	Fit
House Of Dragons	9d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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