Harp Bar Kildare Handicap – Curragh

Curragh

6:05

Harp Bar Kildare Handicap

Date 2023-06-30

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners 21

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
15 (9)	Not Even Close b Gavin Ryan · Donnacha Aidan Obrien	Gavin Ryan · Donnacha Aidan Obrien	128	—	1-47	82	89	83	34d	—	—	+5	19	11/2 15%
Won on debut but hasn't progressed; this looks tougher than latest C&D assignment
16 (14)	Midnight Fire b Declan McDonogh · Eddie & Patrick Harty	Declan McDonogh · Eddie & Patrick Harty	127	t	0-1033	72	94	80	23d	—	—	-2	8.4	15/2 12%
Three-time C&D winner over 6f, definite chance on recent form at this track, unplaced here Friday
2 (13)	Navagio b Dylan Browne McMonagle · R P Cody	Dylan Browne McMonagle · R P Cody	141	tp	0-3021	86	94	62	16d	—	—	+3	11.4	17/2 11%
In the form of his life and produced career best latest; return to 7f can help him settle
3 (19)	Eclat De Lumiere ch Chris Hayes · D K Weld	Chris Hayes · D K Weld	137	b	4294-3	82	90	68	29d	—	—	+5	13.4	17/2 11%
No wins since C&D success on debut; may need further than this these days
NR (10)	Shimmerz b TBC · Charles Obrien	· Charles Obrien	119	—	0-0001	64	86	78	60d	—	—	-1	5.4	14 7%
Beat Verhoyen in C&D h'cap when last seen but concern she's not been seen since; 3lb wrong
5 (6)	Furnace Creek ch Ben Coen · Joseph Anthony Murray	Ben Coen · Joseph Anthony Murray	136	—	00-041	81	94	63	7d	—	—	-1	11.1	13/2 13%
Winner at Limerick last week and slightly longer trip may help but this is much tougher
17 (17)	Capuchinero b Hugh Horgan(7) · Joseph Patrick Obrien	Hugh Horgan(7) · Joseph Patrick Obrien	126	—	15-147	71	97	85	29d	—	—	0	7.2	11 9%
Only beaten 1l on return; disappointing latest but she lurks on a good mark
13 (4)	Vocal Studies br Rory Cleary · J S Bolger	Rory Cleary · J S Bolger	133	—	267004	78	96	89	25d	—	—	-1	10.1	15/2 12%
Consistent beaten 4l latest but probably needs a return to very testing ground
1 (12)	Verhoyen b W J Lee · M C Grassick	W J Lee · M C Grassick	142	b	072016	87	96	84	14d	—	—	+14	19.4	16 6%
Smart front-runner; gained 5th course success recently; respected back here
9 (2)	Hightimeyouwon b/br Adam Caffrey(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	Adam Caffrey(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	134	v	430001	79	89	84	22d	—	—	+14	19.2	16 6%
Best run for some time when winning at Leopardstown this month; this is tougher though
6 (7)	Pierre Lapin b Scott McCullagh(3) · Adrian Mcguinness	Scott McCullagh(3) · Adrian Mcguinness	136	tp	2-6000	81	97	49	22d	—	—	+7	12.9	16 6%
Won on AW towards end of last year; not easy to predict and out of form of late
NR (20)	Big Baby Bull ch TBC · Denis Gerard Hogan	· Denis Gerard Hogan	133	tb	001314	78	100	73	2d	—	—	+15	19.9	22 5%
Won 2 of his last 4 starts but the wins came in claimers; respectable 4th on Wednesday
7 (8)	Spanish Tenor ch Cian MacRedmond(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	Cian MacRedmond(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	136	—	-47322	81	96	68	16d	—	—	+15	19	20 5%
7f specialist; smart when allowed to dominate; knocking on door of late; rain will help
12 (11)	Crystal Black b Gary Carroll · Gerard Keane	Gary Carroll · Gerard Keane	133	—	600-99	78	87	54	83d	—	—	+2	8.9	14 7%
No wins since Ballinrobe maiden in 2021 over further; struggled in two runs for new yard
NR (18)	Pandora Lovegood ch TBC · Joseph G Murphy	· Joseph G Murphy	134	—	63110-	88	86	72	278d	—	—	+19	23.6	33 3%
Thwarted in hat-trick bid when last seen in C&D Gr 3; not obviously well treated in h'cap
8 (5)	Zabeir gr Seamie Heffernan · Donal Kinsella	Seamie Heffernan · Donal Kinsella	135	t	45741-	80	93	50	273d	—	—	+15	18.5	25 4%
Of the mark on AW when dropped to this trip latest but this looks tough on back of absence
19 (21)	Jered Maddox b Luke McAteer · David Marnane	Luke McAteer · David Marnane	125	—	752040	70	93	80	22d	—	—	+4	7.6	22 5%
Encouraging 4th on penultimate run but disappointing last since; may need quicker ground
14 (3)	Ampeson b Killian Leonard · Patrick J Mckenna	Killian Leonard · Patrick J Mckenna	132	p	-56073	77	95	80	14d	—	—	+8	10.5	33 3%
Beaten 2l over 6f at Fairyhouse latest; shaped like he would relish a step back up in trip
4 (15)	Exquisite Acclaim b Ronan Whelan · Adrian Mcguinness	Ronan Whelan · Adrian Mcguinness	136	p	4-4664	81	94	80	16d	—	—	+5	8.8	22 5%
Losing run goes back to 2021 AW win in maiden; below his best this year
20 (1)	Fox Degree b Leigh Roche · Miss Kate Mcgivern	Leigh Roche · Miss Kate Mcgivern	119	p	809-98	73	92	57	12d	—	—	+3	6.6	50 2%
Promising signs for Ralph Beckett but really struggled in two runs for new yard; 2lb wrong
18 (16)	Cosmic Invasion ch Wayne Lordan · Henry De Bromhead	Wayne Lordan · Henry De Bromhead	126	h	56-530	80	91	22	8d	—	—	+6	8.1	50 2%
French winner; mixed form for this yard; tailed off again latest; hood now tried

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Not Even Close	6	5	5	11/2	11/2
Midnight Fire	13/2	7	15/2	7	7
Navagio	8	17/2	17/2	9	9
Eclat De Lumiere	9	17/2	8	9	17/2
Shimmerz	14	14	14	14	SP
Furnace Creek	13/2	6	6	13/2	13/2
Capuchinero	11	10	10	10	10
Vocal Studies	15/2	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
Verhoyen	16	16	16	16	16
Hightimeyouwon	16	16	16	16	16
Pierre Lapin	16	16	12	16	14
Big Baby Bull	14	22	22	22	22
Spanish Tenor	20	20	20	20	20
Crystal Black	14	14	12	14	11
Pandora Lovegood	20	33	33	33	33
Zabeir	25	25	25	25	25
Jered Maddox	18	22	22	22	22
Ampeson	33	33	33	33	28
Exquisite Acclaim	22	22	18	22	22
Fox Degree	50	33	22	33	33
Cosmic Invasion	50	40	33	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pandora Lovegood

23.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 12.9 Odds: 1.2

2nd

Big Baby Bull

19.9

OR: 7 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.4

3rd

Verhoyen

19.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

Hightimeyouwon

19.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.4

Not Even Close

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 4

11/2

Spanish Tenor

OR: 7.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

Zabeir

18.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1

Eclat De Lumiere

13.4

OR: 8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Pierre Lapin

12.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

Navagio

11.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Furnace Creek

11.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ampeson

10.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Vocal Studies

10.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Crystal Black

8.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Exquisite Acclaim

8.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Midnight Fire

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Cosmic Invasion

8.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Jered Maddox

7.6

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

Capuchinero

7.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Fox Degree

6.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Shimmerz

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pandora Lovegood Top Rated	88	86	72
Verhoyen	87	96	84
Navagio	86	94	62
Not Even Close	82	89	83
Eclat De Lumiere	82	90	68
Furnace Creek	81	94	63
Pierre Lapin	81	97	49
Spanish Tenor	81	96	68
Exquisite Acclaim	81	94	80
Zabeir	80	93	50
Cosmic Invasion	80	91	22
Hightimeyouwon	79	89	84
Vocal Studies	78	96	89
Big Baby Bull	78	100	73
Crystal Black	78	87	54
Ampeson	77	95	80
Fox Degree	73	92	57
Midnight Fire	72	94	80
Capuchinero	71	97	85
Jered Maddox	70	93	80
Shimmerz	64	86	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Not Even Close	34d ago	Fit
Midnight Fire	23d ago	Fit
Navagio	16d ago	Fit
Eclat De Lumiere	29d ago	Fit
Shimmerz	60d ago	Fresh
Furnace Creek	7d ago	Quick return
Capuchinero	29d ago	Fit
Vocal Studies	25d ago	Fit
Verhoyen	14d ago	Fit
Hightimeyouwon	22d ago	Fit
Pierre Lapin	22d ago	Fit
Big Baby Bull	2d ago	Quick return
Spanish Tenor	16d ago	Fit
Crystal Black	83d ago	Fresh
Pandora Lovegood	278d ago	Long break
Zabeir	273d ago	Long break
Jered Maddox	22d ago	Fit
Ampeson	14d ago	Fit
Exquisite Acclaim	16d ago	Fit
Fox Degree	12d ago	Quick return
Cosmic Invasion	8d ago	Quick return

Going: Good

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