At The Races App Form Study "Confined" Apprentice Handicap (Horses Not Won More Than One Race)

Lingfield

8:45

Date 2023-07-01

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (5)	San Francisco Bay b Laura Coughlan(3) · Henry Candy	Laura Coughlan(3) · Henry Candy	138	p	72-612	58	65	27	7d	—	—	-19	11.4	15/8 35%
Won at Wolverhampton before a close call here last Saturday; respected on this drop to 6f
2 (3)	Spirit Of Breeze b Paddy Bradley · Gary Moore	Paddy Bradley · Gary Moore	136	t	3-4764	62	69	41	12d	—	—	-11	11.8	11/4 27%
Finished well in a 5f handicap here (AW) last time and has possibilities back up in trip
6 (1)	Irish Dessert b Pierre-Louis Jamin · Henry Spiller	Pierre-Louis Jamin · Henry Spiller	132	—	07-96	58	53	28	23d	—	—	-6	5.3	15/2 12%
Needs improvement but she's still lightly raced and this drop back in trip could help
3 (9)	Desert Illusion b Molly Presland(7) · Ismail Mohammed	Molly Presland(7) · Ismail Mohammed	135	v	7-0239	61	67	39	5d	—	—	-3	5.1	17/2 11%
Inconsistent ten-race maiden and she comes with risks attached back up in trip
4 (4)	Senor Pockets b Kaiya Fraser(5) · Henry Spiller	Kaiya Fraser(5) · Henry Spiller	133	—	00-364	59	66	20	22d	—	—	-6	5.6	15/2 12%
Has not threatened in his three runs this season and he needs to raise his game
5 (8)	Savannah Smiles b Christian Howarth(3) · Grace Harris	Christian Howarth(3) · Grace Harris	133	p	560515	59	67	24	15d	—	—	+4	11.4	12 8%
Won on AW last month but was well held back on turf on her stable debut two weeks ago
NR (7)	Bala Hatun b Harry Burns · Robyn Brisland	Harry Burns · Robyn Brisland	131	—	04-86	57	64	-	29d	—	—	-3	3.5	20 5%
Has struggled in three of her four runs including in a 1m handicap latest; now drops to 6f
8 (6)	Goose Rock b Tommie Jakes(7) · John Ryan	Tommie Jakes(7) · John Ryan	129	tp	315735	55	58	20	16d	—	—	+2	6.4	22 5%
Has not gone on since his 5f AW win here in February and others are more convincing
9 (2)	Gonzaga b Morgan Cole(5) · James Bennett	Morgan Cole(5) · James Bennett	126	p	464766	46	65	-	50d	—	—	-3	1.1	28 4%
42-race maiden who drops back to 6f for the first time since 2020; makes no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
San Francisco Bay	7/4	15/8	7/4	9/5	7/4
Spirit Of Breeze	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4
Irish Dessert	8	7	15/2	7	7
Desert Illusion	17/2	9	17/2	9	8
Senor Pockets	15/2	7	7	7	7
Savannah Smiles	12	10	12	12	12
Bala Hatun	20	16	14	16	16
Goose Rock	18	18	20	20	22
Gonzaga	28	22	22	22	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spirit Of Breeze

11.8

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

San Francisco Bay

11.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Savannah Smiles

11.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

Goose Rock

6.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.1

Senor Pockets

5.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Irish Dessert

5.3

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Desert Illusion

5.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Bala Hatun

3.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Gonzaga

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Of Breeze Top Rated	62	69	41
Desert Illusion	61	67	39
Senor Pockets	59	66	20
Savannah Smiles	59	67	24
San Francisco Bay	58	65	27
Irish Dessert	58	53	28
Bala Hatun	57	64	—
Goose Rock	55	58	20
Gonzaga	46	65	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
San Francisco Bay	7d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Breeze	12d ago	Quick return
Irish Dessert	23d ago	Fit
Desert Illusion	5d ago	Quick return
Senor Pockets	22d ago	Fit
Savannah Smiles	15d ago	Fit
Bala Hatun	29d ago	Fit
Goose Rock	16d ago	Fit
Gonzaga	50d ago	Fresh

Going: Good To Firm

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