Western Motors CUPRA Handicap – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

6:30

Western Motors CUPRA Handicap

Date 2023-07-07

Distance 5f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners 16

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (10)	Realtin Fantasy b NON-RUNNER · W P Browne	NON-RUNNER · W P Browne	130	—	29-589	51	72	-	2d	—	—	-50	20.3	—
N/R
3 (8)	Sosallycanwait gr/ro Declan McDonogh · Leanne Breen	Declan McDonogh · Leanne Breen	134	—	-95532	55	79	57	9d	—	—	-3	12.8	9/2 18%
Is 0-21 but encouraging signs on her last 2 starts; only reeled in late last time; up 5lb
11 (15)	Teddy Boy b Danny Sheehy(3) · Edward Lynam	Danny Sheehy(3) · Edward Lynam	126	—	920784	47	78	52	9d	—	—	-5	3.5	17/2 11%
Fine effort here last month from low draw but this trip stretches him
7 (3)	Derrinlaur Spender b Gavin Ryan · Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	Gavin Ryan · Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	126	tp	4-5690	47	71	36	36d	—	—	-8	3.1	7 14%
A 16-race maiden and shown very little in trio of starts for new yard; tongue-tie added
6 (4)	Eruption b Gary Carroll · Matthew J Smith	Gary Carroll · Matthew J Smith	128	b	570000	49	72	-	55d	—	—	-6	2.2	12 8%
Losing run since a 5f success at Musselburgh in April 2022; has looked regressive of late
4 (1)	Florence Thompson b W J Lee · J G Murray	W J Lee · J G Murray	130	tp	800238	51	72	53	9d	—	—	-1	7.1	10 10%
Running well in defeat for new yard; high draw here could suit
R16 (13)	Scarlet Dancer b Jamie Powell(5) · James Mcauley	Jamie Powell(5) · James Mcauley	134	b	535353	55	75	55	1d	—	—	-12	14.4	9/4 31%
No wins since 2yo campaign; best form over further; good third here Thursday; reserve
14 (16)	My Girl Sioux b Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	121	v	6-6770	47	67	53	2d	—	—	-6	2.1	12 8%
0-10 and best 2yo efforts came over further; didn't beat many home on Wednesday
9 (6)	Silver Nemo gr Siobhan Rutledge(5) · Lee Smyth	Siobhan Rutledge(5) · Lee Smyth	126	tb	483-40	47	67	43	9d	—	—	-4	1.6	16 6%
Won twice on AW in 2021 but losing run since; failed to build on encouraging reappearance
12 (9)	Zig Zag Zyggy b Adam Caffrey(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	Adam Caffrey(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	126	—	709807	47	78	26	14d	—	—	-3	1.2	20 5%
Losing run since March 2021 and completely lost his way of late
1 (7)	Ever Rock b Seamie Heffernan · J J Lambe	Seamie Heffernan · J J Lambe	140	p	00-000	61	76	39	14d	—	—	0	3.8	20 5%
Didn't build on return when last of 12 latest; 5lb below last winning mark; cheekpieces
13 (11)	Disco Bear b Leigh Roche · Edward Lynam	Leigh Roche · Edward Lynam	123	t	0-9289	49	71	61	38d	—	—	-3	1.2	18 6%
Is 0-6; big run on h'cap debut; not near that level twice since but too early to write off
2 (5)	Astral Beat ch Robbie Colgan · Lee Smyth	Robbie Colgan · Lee Smyth	138	tb	365-05	59	77	51	14d	—	—	0	3	33 3%
Sole win came on AW and not as good on turf but down the weights and ran okay latest
8 (12)	Kings View b Killian Leonard · Lee Smyth	Killian Leonard · Lee Smyth	126	—	9508-0	47	72	29	26d	—	—	-2	0.6	50 2%
57-race maiden; poor form over the last 12 months and low-key reappearance at Navan latest
10 (14)	Sin E Shekells ch J M Sheridan · J G Murray	J M Sheridan · J G Murray	126	p	306406	47	69	44	14d	—	—	-2	0.7	33 3%
Is 0-35; encouragement in his first couple of runs for this yard but lost his way since
15 (2)	Okyle Lass b James Ryan(7) · Rodger Sweeney	James Ryan(7) · Rodger Sweeney	121	—	878-69	47	77	47	140d	—	—	-1	0.4	80 1%
Unplaced in seven starts and no improvement for handicaps when last seen; off 140 days

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Realtin Fantasy	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Sosallycanwait	9/2	4	4	9/2	9/2
Teddy Boy	8	17/2	8	8	8
Derrinlaur Spender	6	7	7	7	7
Eruption	12	9	10	10	10
Florence Thompson	10	10	10	10	10
Scarlet Dancer	2	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
My Girl Sioux	12	10	10	11	10
Silver Nemo	16	16	14	16	16
Zig Zag Zyggy	20	20	16	20	20
Ever Rock	20	18	18	20	18
Disco Bear	16	16	16	16	18
Astral Beat	33	25	25	25	25
Kings View	50	50	50	50	50
Sin E Shekells	33	33	33	33	33
Okyle Lass	80	80	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Realtin Fantasy

20.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Scarlet Dancer

14.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Sosallycanwait

12.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Florence Thompson

7.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.2

Ever Rock

3.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Teddy Boy

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Derrinlaur Spender

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Astral Beat

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Eruption

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

My Girl Sioux

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Silver Nemo

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Zig Zag Zyggy

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Disco Bear

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Sin E Shekells

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Kings View

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Okyle Lass

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ever Rock Top Rated	61	76	39
Astral Beat	59	77	51
Sosallycanwait	55	79	57
Scarlet Dancer	55	75	55
Realtin Fantasy	51	72	—
Florence Thompson	51	72	53
Eruption	49	72	—
Disco Bear	49	71	61
Teddy Boy	47	78	52
Derrinlaur Spender	47	71	36
My Girl Sioux	47	67	53
Silver Nemo	47	67	43
Zig Zag Zyggy	47	78	26
Kings View	47	72	29
Sin E Shekells	47	69	44
Okyle Lass	47	77	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Realtin Fantasy	2d ago	Quick return
Sosallycanwait	9d ago	Quick return
Teddy Boy	9d ago	Quick return
Derrinlaur Spender	36d ago	Fit
Eruption	55d ago	Fresh
Florence Thompson	9d ago	Quick return
Scarlet Dancer	1d ago	Quick return
My Girl Sioux	2d ago	Quick return
Silver Nemo	9d ago	Quick return
Zig Zag Zyggy	14d ago	Fit
Ever Rock	14d ago	Fit
Disco Bear	38d ago	Fit
Astral Beat	14d ago	Fit
Kings View	26d ago	Fit
Sin E Shekells	14d ago	Fit
Okyle Lass	140d ago	Long break

Going: Yielding

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