Kelly Brothers Farm Modernisation Maiden Hurdle – Killarney

Killarney

5:00

Kelly Brothers Farm Modernisation Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-07-20

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (18)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR	Political Approach b J:NON-RUNNER T:Paul John Gilligan	J:NON-RUNNER T:Paul John Gilligan	151	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-39	20	—
Showed nothing in two runs on the Flat in Britain in 2020, makes no appeal
3	The Last Mardi b J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	135-2F	120	125	108	29d	—	—	-14	33.8	10/11 52%
Outcome was still in doubt when he fell two out at Wexford but should make amends here
8	Patricks Hill b J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:W J Burke	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:W J Burke	158	—	54F2P-	109	123	71	101d	—	—	+9	18.7	17/2 11%
Second in a 20-runner maiden at Punchestown last October, flopped at Cork in April
4	Walmix ch J:Conor Clarke(7) T:Anthony Mullins	J:Conor Clarke(7) T:Anthony Mullins	166	h	41	-	-	-	29d	—	—	+3	12.9	13/2 13%
Won at Wexford on second bumper outing, same 7lb claimer aboard, holds solid place chance
2	Fameaftertheglory b J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	166	—	323-67	113	124	72	12d	—	—	+5	20.2	9/2 18%
Frustrating over jumps since a 2021 bumper win, 7lb behind The Last Mardi official figures
1	Black Bamboo b J:Michael O'Sullivan T:John Joseph Murphy	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:John Joseph Murphy	166	—	/1/83-	-	112	71	206d	—	—	-7	12.7	10/3 23%
Limerick bumper winner, placed on only start over hurdles, lacks a recent outing
NR	Cosmic Blizzard b J:TBC T:S Curling	J: T:S Curling	153	—	P44-8	-	-	-	14d	—	—	-3	0.9	40 3%
Second reserve, twice fourth in points, made little impression in a recent bumper outing
9	Pauls Pal b J:Danny Mullins T:Anthony Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Anthony Mullins	158	—	60-6	-	93	13	46d	—	—	-2	0.7	50 2%
A bit better at Kilbeggan last time but not a likely maiden winner at this stage
12	Walkonthebriteside b J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	158	t	7-89	-	95	58	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	40 3%
Well-related gelding has yet to show any sign of promise, tried with a tongue-tie now
R17	Delta Melody b J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7) T:Eugene M Osullivan	J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7) T:Eugene M Osullivan	158	—	2432-5	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
First reserve, from a family that has produced top hurdlers, placed three times in points
NR	Shotgun Jack b J:TBC T:Patrick G Kelly	J: T:Patrick G Kelly	158	—	6-	-	-	-	409d	—	—	-8	3.1	80 1%
50-1 when a remote sixth on debut in a bumper at Listowel 13 months ago, absent since
6	Johns Wood b J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:T J Nagle Jr	J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:T J Nagle Jr	158	—	PP-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	125 1%
Pulled-up in two point-to-points outings late last year, unlikely to feature
16	Weliketoparty b J:G B Noonan(5) T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	J:G B Noonan(5) T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	151	—	03	-	89	77	31d	—	—	+2	3.3	125 1%
Remote third of four finishers at Kilbeggan, needs to jump more fluently.
10	Righteous Ruane b J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Paul John Gilligan	J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Paul John Gilligan	158	—	07-P8	-	101	51	11d	—	—	-1	0.3	200 1%
Looked in need of further when down the field in a 2m1f maiden at Sligo, may do better now
5	Great Rainbow b J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M Mcmahon	J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M Mcmahon	158	—	—	-	76	-	40d	—	—	-1	0.2	200 1%
Down the field first time out in a maiden hurdle over this trip at Punchestown, tough task
7	Party Rocker b J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:John J Maguire	J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:John J Maguire	158	—	8	-	-	-	33d	—	—	-1	0.3	300 0%
Tailed off last of eight on his debut in a bumper at Downpatrick, safe to rule out
14	Laidback Joanie b J:Richard Condon(5) T:Louise G Lyons	J:Richard Condon(5) T:Louise G Lyons	151	—	8	-	-	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	250 0%
50-1 when tailed off in a Sligo bumper first time out, safe to leave out of calculations.
13	Celina John b J:Tom Harney(7) T:P A Fahy	J:Tom Harney(7) T:P A Fahy	151	—	0P-	-	-	-	247d	—	—	-1	0.2	300 0%
200-1 when pulled-up on hurdling debut in a maiden at Fairyhouse last October

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Political Approach	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
The Last Mardi	5/6	10/11	4/5	5/6	4/5
Patricks Hill	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	9
Walmix	7	13/2	7	7	7
Fameaftertheglory	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Black Bamboo	10/3	3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Cosmic Blizzard	40	33	33	33	33
Pauls Pal	50	40	40	40	40
Walkonthebriteside	33	40	40	40	40
Delta Melody	40/1	33	33	33	33
Shotgun Jack	80	50	50	50	50
Johns Wood	100	125	125	125	100
Weliketoparty	100	125	100	100	100
Righteous Ruane	150	200	200	150	150
Great Rainbow	150	200	200	200	125
Party Rocker	300	250	250	250	150
Laidback Joanie	250	250	200	250	150
Celina John	300	250	250	250	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Last Mardi

33.8

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3

10/11

2nd

Fameaftertheglory

20.2

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Political Approach

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

Patricks Hill

18.7

OR: 14.8 Form: 1.3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Walmix

12.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Black Bamboo

12.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Weliketoparty

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.3

125

Shotgun Jack

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Cosmic Blizzard

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Pauls Pal

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Walkonthebriteside

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Delta Melody

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Johns Wood

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Righteous Ruane

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Party Rocker

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

300

Great Rainbow

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Laidback Joanie

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Celina John

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Last Mardi Top Rated	120	125	108
Fameaftertheglory	113	124	72
Patricks Hill	109	123	71
Political Approach	—	—	—
Walmix	—	—	—
Black Bamboo	—	112	71
Cosmic Blizzard	—	—	—
Pauls Pal	—	93	13
Walkonthebriteside	—	95	58
Delta Melody	—	—	—
Shotgun Jack	—	—	—
Johns Wood	—	—	—
Weliketoparty	—	89	77
Righteous Ruane	—	101	51
Great Rainbow	—	76	—
Party Rocker	—	—	—
Laidback Joanie	—	—	—
Celina John	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Righteous Ruane	11d ago	Quick return
Laidback Joanie	11d ago	Quick return
Fameaftertheglory	12d ago	Quick return
Walkonthebriteside	12d ago	Quick return
Cosmic Blizzard	14d ago	Fit
The Last Mardi	29d ago	Fit
Walmix	29d ago	Fit
Weliketoparty	31d ago	Fit
Party Rocker	33d ago	Fit
Great Rainbow	40d ago	Fit
Pauls Pal	46d ago	Fresh
Patricks Hill	101d ago	Long break
Black Bamboo	206d ago	Long break
Celina John	247d ago	Long break
Shotgun Jack	409d ago	Long break
Political Approach	—	—
Delta Melody	—	—
Johns Wood	—	—