La Celia Wines Sprint Nursery Handicap – Curragh

Curragh

4:55

La Celia Wines Sprint Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-07-22

Distance 6f

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €11,800

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (6)	Ocean Baroque gr W J Lee · Kieran P Cotter	W J Lee · Kieran P Cotter	133	—	2541	83	96	72	7d	—	—	+1	27.8	9/4 31%
Seemed to appreciate getting back on soft when winning at Navan last week; good mark
1 (10)	Democracy b Ryan Moore · A P Obrien	Ryan Moore · A P Obrien	138	—	167	88	88	56	20d	—	—	-2	21.8	5/2 29%
C&D winner; not disgraced in two subsequent Group races; return to softer ground may help
3 (7)	Oligopoly b Hugh Horgan(7) · Joseph Patrick Obrien	Hugh Horgan(7) · Joseph Patrick Obrien	134	t	23	84	85	65	34d	—	—	+9	17.5	17/2 11%
Creditable 2nd on debut; similar level of form latest; drop to 6f may help but tough mark
6 (5)	Jakajaro b Luke McAteer · David Marnane	Luke McAteer · David Marnane	124	—	603	74	89	65	43d	—	—	+2	11.7	15/2 12%
Beaten 4l by Prince X J latest; h'capper taken no chances
2 (3)	Prince X J b Colin Keane · M D Ocallaghan	Colin Keane · M D Ocallaghan	135	—	9710	85	87	65	32d	—	—	+11	17.7	11 9%
Fairyhouse maiden winner; out of his depth in Gr 2; improver on h'cap bow; ground a worry
10 (2)	Poppadom b Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	119	—	705	69	86	58	10d	—	—	+1	6.4	14 7%
Improvement when beaten 5l in Fairyhouse maiden; not sure to appreciate soft
NR (8)	Lia Fail b TBC · Michael Mulvany	· Michael Mulvany	122	—	4571	72	92	50	29d	—	—	+1	21.5	20 5%
Marked improvement latest and opening mark fine but drop to 6f may not suit
5 (9)	Neo Smart b Rory Cleary · J S Bolger	Rory Cleary · J S Bolger	126	—	2670	76	92	58	62d	—	—	+4	9.6	14 7%
Promising debut over 5f here; disappointing in 3 runs since, albeit at Group level latest
8 (1)	Sanshiro ch Chris Hayes · D J Bunyan	Chris Hayes · D J Bunyan	122	b	504	72	85	60	7d	—	—	-1	8	17/2 11%
Promise in 3 maidens without placing; should get closer to Ocean Baroque this time
9 (4)	Nika Pika b Leigh Roche · Patrick Magee	Leigh Roche · Patrick Magee	119	t	508	69	79	50	51d	—	—	+2	5.6	33 3%
Minor promise on debut; struggled twice since and this opening mark looks too high

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ocean Baroque	9/4	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Democracy	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Oligopoly	8	8	8	8	17/2
Jakajaro	8	15/2	8	8	8
Prince X J	10	10	10	10	11
Poppadom	14	14	14	14	14
Lia Fail	20	20	18	20	20
Neo Smart	14	14	14	14	12/1
Sanshiro	8	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Nika Pika	28	33	22	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ocean Baroque

27.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Democracy

21.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Lia Fail

21.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6

Prince X J

17.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Oligopoly

17.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Jakajaro

11.7

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Neo Smart

9.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

Sanshiro

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Poppadom

6.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Nika Pika

5.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Democracy Top Rated	88	88	56
Prince X J	85	87	65
Oligopoly	84	85	65
Ocean Baroque	83	96	72
Neo Smart	76	92	58
Jakajaro	74	89	65
Lia Fail	72	92	50
Sanshiro	72	85	60
Poppadom	69	86	58
Nika Pika	69	79	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ocean Baroque	7d ago	Quick return
Democracy	20d ago	Fit
Oligopoly	34d ago	Fit
Jakajaro	43d ago	Fit
Prince X J	32d ago	Fit
Poppadom	10d ago	Quick return
Lia Fail	29d ago	Fit
Neo Smart	62d ago	Fresh
Sanshiro	7d ago	Quick return
Nika Pika	51d ago	Fresh

Going: Soft

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