Jebel Ali Racecourse EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

6:45

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,400

Runners 11

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10 (7)	Royal Elysian b Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	128	—	22	-	92	66	21d	—	—	-18	21	5/4 44%
Runner-up over 6f at Haydock on both starts and she sets a good form standard
11 (6)	Wren House b David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	9/2 18%
Has a useful pedigree; one of two newcomers for good yard; could go well
6 (1)	Hot Fashion b Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	5/1 17%
Bred to have a bright future and she's one to be interested in on debut
1 (3)	Blue Eyed Kate b Jason Watson · Darryll Holland	Jason Watson · Darryll Holland	128	—	5	-	81	52	21d	—	—	-9	3.6	11/2 15%
Promising fifth on debut at Haydock; open to improvement and could be involved
NR (5)	I Love Paris b George Downing · Ed Walker	George Downing · Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	18 6%
Dam from useful family; she's likely to improve for this debut outing
4 (8)	Clifton Bay ch William Carver(3) · Andrew Balding	William Carver(3) · Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	22 5%
Dam South African 1m 2yo Grade 1 winner; fellow newcomer Wren House may be chief yard hope
9 (2)	Quorate b Richard Kingscote · Charles Hills	Richard Kingscote · Charles Hills	128	—	8	-	63	45	41d	—	—	-6	2.1	14/1 7%
Could be sharper for last month's debut at Goodwood but considerable improvement needed
7 (4)	I Dare You b Georgia Dobie(3) · William Muir & Chris Grassick	Georgia Dobie(3) · William Muir & Chris Grassick	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	28 4%
Half-sister to four winners but she may be one for further down the line
3 (10)	Call Me The Breeze b Liam Keniry · Ed Walker	Liam Keniry · Ed Walker	128	—	8	-	56	-	15d	—	—	-2	0.7	40 3%
May have needed her recent debut run at Kempton but a major step forward is needed
2 (11)	Bramble Jelly b Finley Marsh · Dominic Ffrench Davis	Finley Marsh · Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	66 2%
Trainer is having a good season with 2yos and the betting could guide on debut
5 (9)	Ephyra b Kyle Strydom · David Menuisier	Kyle Strydom · David Menuisier	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	80 1%
40,000gns yearling; check betting but she will need to be useful to make a winning start

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Royal Elysian	5/4	11/10	5/4	6/5	5/4
Wren House	5	4	5	9/2	9/2
Hot Fashion	5	4	9/2	4	5/1
Blue Eyed Kate	5	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
I Love Paris	18	18	18	18	18
Clifton Bay	22	18	18	16	14
Quorate	9	11	14	14/1	14/1
I Dare You	28	20	22	22	20
Call Me The Breeze	40	40	40	40	40
Bramble Jelly	66	50	50	40	40
Ephyra	66	80	66	50	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Royal Elysian

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Wren House

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Hot Fashion

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Blue Eyed Kate

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Quorate

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Clifton Bay

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

I Love Paris

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

I Dare You

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Call Me The Breeze

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Bramble Jelly

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ephyra

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Royal Elysian	—	92	66
Wren House	—	—	—
Hot Fashion	—	—	—
Blue Eyed Kate	—	81	52
I Love Paris	—	—	—
Clifton Bay	—	—	—
Quorate	—	63	45
I Dare You	—	—	—
Call Me The Breeze	—	56	—
Bramble Jelly	—	—	—
Ephyra	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Royal Elysian	21d ago	Fit
Wren House	—	—
Hot Fashion	—	—
Blue Eyed Kate	21d ago	Fit
I Love Paris	—	—
Clifton Bay	—	—
Quorate	41d ago	Fit
I Dare You	—	—
Call Me The Breeze	15d ago	Fit
Bramble Jelly	—	—
Ephyra	—	—

Going: Soft

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