Ire-Incentive It Pays To Buy Irish Nursery Handicap (IRE Incentive Race)

Goodwood

4:45

Date 2023-08-04

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £30,924

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (12)	Starlust b Connor Planas(5) · Ralph Beckett	Connor Planas(5) · Ralph Beckett	135	—	511	89	99	86	29d	—	—	+11	33.4	11/4 27%
Progressing well over 6f and he's due to race off 3lb higher in future; strong claims
7 (2)	Flag Of St George b Richard Kingscote · Jane Chapple-Hyam	Richard Kingscote · Jane Chapple-Hyam	127	—	4102	81	99	88	11d	—	—	+9	21.4	11/2 15%
Ran well in 6f nursery at Windsor last week; due to go up 3lb in future; possibilities
8 (10)	Loaded Gun b Ryan Moore · Andrew Balding	Ryan Moore · Andrew Balding	126	—	04431	80	94	92	20d	—	—	+13	22.3	15/2 12%
Got up close home over 5f at Chester last month; future mark 2lb higher; respected
5 (3)	Serried Ranks b Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	130	—	15	84	97	61	69d	—	—	+9	17.9	10 10%
May well confirm the promise of his debut success now returned to slower ground
11 (4)	Specific Times b Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	122	—	5241	76	94	82	20d	—	—	+12	21.9	8/1 11%
Made all under Jason Hart at York on nursery debut; open to further improvement
2 (6)	Gaiden b Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	134	—	230	88	92	87	44d	—	—	+8	16.6	9 11%
This step up to 6f looks a plus on nursery debut; could go well
12 (7)	Whoop Whoop b Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	122	—	4424	76	94	76	23d	—	—	+5	11.7	12 8%
Ties in closely with Mauna Loa on Pontefract running and can't be dismissed
3 (8)	Dapper Valley b Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	133	—	197	87	100	79	14d	—	—	+9	16.2	11/1 8%
Debut win came on soft; return to slower ground is the angle with him
13 (11)	Call Glory b David Egan · Charles Hills	David Egan · Charles Hills	120	—	57410	74	92	84	13d	—	—	+8	14.9	11 9%
Won seller here on final run for Jack Channon; tough task in Super Sprint since
NR (1)	Ten Card Brag b Callum Shepherd · Jamie Osborne	Callum Shepherd · Jamie Osborne	119	—	713	73	94	66	15d	—	—	+13	16.8	25 4%
Ran creditably in Leicester nursery last time; now upped three grades
10 (15)	Mauna Loa gr Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	123	—	421	77	93	87	40d	—	—	+17	21.6	16 6%
Proved suited by the step up to 6f at Pontefract where he beat Whoop Whoop
9 (9)	Swordplay b Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	124	—	213	78	94	86	35d	—	—	+17	20.6	20 5%
May still have progress in him, albeit with slow ground a complete unknown
NR (14)	Revenue ch Saffie Osborne · Eve Johnson Houghton	Saffie Osborne · Eve Johnson Houghton	120	—	133	74	89	73	56d	—	—	+13	17.4	20 5%
Still unexposed but the return to forecast slower ground is a question mark
6 (13)	Zoulu Chief ch Jason Watson · Heather Main	Jason Watson · Heather Main	129	—	710	83	92	36	45d	—	—	+13	16.2	33 3%
Still needs to prove his 150-1 win from the front at Newbury wasn't a fluke
NR (5)	Betties Bay b Joshua Bryan · Georgina Nicholls	Joshua Bryan · Georgina Nicholls	130	—	201	84	89	85	14d	—	—	+17	22.6	16 6%
Held on narrowly in Newbury maiden two weeks ago; may build on that win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Starlust	3	3	5/2	11/4	3
Flag Of St George	5	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Loaded Gun	8	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
Serried Ranks	10	9	17/2	9	17/2
Specific Times	8/1	8	13/2	15/2	8
Gaiden	9	15/2	8	8	15/2
Whoop Whoop	12	12	12	12	12
Dapper Valley	11/1	11	11	11	10
Call Glory	11	11	10/1	11	11
Ten Card Brag	25	22	22	22	22
Mauna Loa	16	16	14	16	16
Swordplay	20	20	20	20	20
Revenue	20	18	16	18	18
Zoulu Chief	33	28	20	28	28
Betties Bay	16	14	14	14	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Starlust

33.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 17 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Betties Bay

22.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Loaded Gun

22.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Specific Times

21.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Mauna Loa

21.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.4

Flag Of St George

21.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Swordplay

20.6

OR: 7 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.1

Serried Ranks

17.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

Revenue

17.4

OR: 6 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.3

Ten Card Brag

16.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

Gaiden

16.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.5

Dapper Valley

16.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Zoulu Chief

16.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1

Call Glory

14.9

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Whoop Whoop

11.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Starlust Top Rated	89	99	86
Gaiden	88	92	87
Dapper Valley	87	100	79
Serried Ranks	84	97	61
Betties Bay	84	89	85
Zoulu Chief	83	92	36
Flag Of St George	81	99	88
Loaded Gun	80	94	92
Swordplay	78	94	86
Mauna Loa	77	93	87
Specific Times	76	94	82
Whoop Whoop	76	94	76
Call Glory	74	92	84
Revenue	74	89	73
Ten Card Brag	73	94	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Starlust	29d ago	Fit
Flag Of St George	11d ago	Quick return
Loaded Gun	20d ago	Fit
Serried Ranks	69d ago	Fresh
Specific Times	20d ago	Fit
Gaiden	44d ago	Fit
Whoop Whoop	23d ago	Fit
Dapper Valley	14d ago	Fit
Call Glory	13d ago	Quick return
Ten Card Brag	15d ago	Fit
Mauna Loa	40d ago	Fit
Swordplay	35d ago	Fit
Revenue	56d ago	Fresh
Zoulu Chief	45d ago	Fit
Betties Bay	14d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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