Tom Mangan & Locky Murphy Handicap Chase – Kilbeggan

Kilbeggan

6:45

Tom Mangan & Locky Murphy Handicap Chase

Date 2023-08-25

Distance 3m1f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Winnie Woodnutt b Mr A Harvey(7) · D Harvey	Mr A Harvey(7) · D Harvey	168	ht	31-233	95	98	27	18d	—	—	-3	17.4	11/4 27%
Hurdle winner here before a decent run on chasing debut; is likely to run her race
5	Steps Match b Kieren Buckley(3) · Michael Butler	Kieren Buckley(3) · Michael Butler	163	b	F-0518	90	99	69	17d	—	—	-5	16.2	7/2 22%
Won over hurdles recently; has shown enough over fences to suggest that he can win a race
12	Fr Gilligansvoyge b Phillip Enright · John G Carr	Phillip Enright · John G Carr	147	tb	11-623	74	104	48	17d	—	—	-4	10	9/2 18%
Second over 2m3f here last month; should stay this trip; chance
13	Greenway Machine b Shane O'Callaghan(7) · Ms Helen P Markham	Shane O'Callaghan(7) · Ms Helen P Markham	140	—	878-U6	67	100	-	17d	—	—	-1	6.4	14 7%
Poor on testing ground last time but could run well at a big price back on good ground
7	Father Jed b Philip Donovan(5) · John Patrick Ryan	Philip Donovan(5) · John Patrick Ryan	156	—	0-0015	83	106	18	7d	—	—	+4	10	14 7%
Won over hurdles but below that over fences since; better ground will suit
4	Ragin Cajun b James Smith(7) · Matthew J Smith	James Smith(7) · Matthew J Smith	165	tp	47/PP/	92	-	-	607d	—	—	+6	12.4	11 9%
Best watched on return unless market moves suggest otherwise; tongue-tie added
9	Highland Sting b Danny Mullins · John Patrick Ryan	Danny Mullins · John Patrick Ryan	154	tb	48-50P	81	87	-	13d	—	—	+4	9	20 5%
Pulled-up over C&D last time and isn't easy to fancy on that evidence
11	Pino Boy b Richard Condon(5) · Mrs Ann Mooney	Richard Condon(5) · Mrs Ann Mooney	149	tp	45P/89	76	48	-	35d	—	—	+4	7.5	33 3%
Has shown little in two completed chase starts and isn't easy to fancy
8	Rudy Catrail b Gavin Brouder(5) · E Sheehy	Gavin Brouder(5) · E Sheehy	156	—	-U2F21	83	98	82	17d	—	—	+10	27.2	9/2 18%
Went up 7lb for last win but is one of the few horses in this field in form; big chance
10	Laughing Trix b P J O'Hanlon(5) · Dermot A Mcloughlin	P J O'Hanlon(5) · Dermot A Mcloughlin	153	tp	07PP-0	80	85	-	29d	—	—	+5	8.6	25 4%
Fairyhouse chase winner in 2021 but has been poor in the last year; isn't easily fancied
3	Gonedairy b Niall Prendergast(7) · D E Prendergast	Niall Prendergast(7) · D E Prendergast	165	—	85P-65	92	98	-	13d	—	—	+6	12	18 6%
Was poor over C&D last time and others are preferred
2	Zanjabeel b Conor Brassil(5) · Stephanie Ocsko-Moore	Conor Brassil(5) · Stephanie Ocsko-Moore	168	tb	P-P070	95	83	62	17d	—	—	+8	12.3	25 4%
Former Grade 1 hurdle winner in USA but nowhere near that level back to these shores
6	Danegeld b Tom Harney(7) · J Morrison	Tom Harney(7) · J Morrison	162	—	098-00	89	76	-	8d	—	—	+8	10.2	66 2%
Has been out of sorts in recent runs and isn't easily fancied

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Winnie Woodnutt	3	3	3	11/4	3
Steps Match	4	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Fr Gilligansvoyge	5	5	9/2	5	5
Greenway Machine	14	12	11	12	12
Father Jed	14	14	12	14	14
Ragin Cajun	11	11	11	11	11
Highland Sting	20	20	18	20	20
Pino Boy	25	33	28	33	33
Rudy Catrail	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Laughing Trix	25	25	22	25	25
Gonedairy	18	16	14	16	16
Zanjabeel	25	20	18	20	20
Danegeld	66	50	40	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rudy Catrail

27.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 14 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Winnie Woodnutt

17.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Steps Match

16.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Ragin Cajun

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Zanjabeel

12.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Gonedairy

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

Danegeld

10.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Fr Gilligansvoyge

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Father Jed

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Highland Sting

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Laughing Trix

8.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Pino Boy

7.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Greenway Machine

6.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Winnie Woodnutt Top Rated	95	98	27
Zanjabeel	95	83	62
Ragin Cajun	92	—	—
Gonedairy	92	98	—
Steps Match	90	99	69
Danegeld	89	76	—
Father Jed	83	106	18
Rudy Catrail	83	98	82
Highland Sting	81	87	—
Laughing Trix	80	85	—
Pino Boy	76	48	—
Fr Gilligansvoyge	74	104	48
Greenway Machine	67	100	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Winnie Woodnutt	18d ago	Fit
Steps Match	17d ago	Fit
Fr Gilligansvoyge	17d ago	Fit
Greenway Machine	17d ago	Fit
Father Jed	7d ago	Quick return
Ragin Cajun	607d ago	Long break
Highland Sting	13d ago	Quick return
Pino Boy	35d ago	Fit
Rudy Catrail	17d ago	Fit
Laughing Trix	29d ago	Fit
Gonedairy	13d ago	Quick return
Zanjabeel	17d ago	Fit
Danegeld	8d ago	Quick return

Going: Yielding

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