Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

3:50

Date 2023-09-06

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £4,104

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (8)	Create b J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	133	—	1	-	80	66	208d	—	—	-15	21.8	5/4 44%
Beat males in a 1m maiden here on her debut in February; obvious claims despite a penalty
9 (4)	Sheehan b J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	126	t	62	-	80	-	17d	—	—	-10	11.2	11/4 27%
Second of five at Pontefract (1m) last month; open to improvement and 7f should be fine
3 (10)	Hamlet b J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John Quinn	J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John Quinn	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	7/2 22%
26,000gns 2yo; closely related to a fair 7f winner out a useful mare; check betting
10 (6)	Teddys Dawn b J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	124	—	8	-	45	-	25d	—	—	-6	2.4	10/1 9%
Slowly away and green on last month's Redcar debut (7f); bred to do much better in time
8 (7)	Perovskia ch J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	126	—	43	-	65	-	9d	—	—	-1	4.5	14 7%
Modest form in two turf novice events; switch to AW needs to spark plenty more
5 (2)	Solar Portrait b J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	131	—	67	-	66	47	7d	—	—	-2	0.9	25 4%
Last week's midfield finish at Kempton was better and this is weak; each-way claims
2 (3)	Brazen Rascal b J:Sean Kirrane T:Simon Whitaker	J:Sean Kirrane T:Simon Whitaker	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	40 3%
Dam a useful 7f/1m winner; gelded and had a wind op prior to debut; likely best watched
7 (1)	Coco Starlight b J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	126	—	86	-	48	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.5	66 2%
Poor form in two turf events this summer; low-grade handicaps more suitable after this
6 (5)	Roman Princess b J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:John Stimpson	J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:John Stimpson	128	—	8	-	60	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.4	100 1%
300-1 for recent, belated debut (7f, good) but hinted at ability; one for the longer term
4 (9)	Kodi Hawk b J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	150 1%
Some appeal on pedigree but likely a longer-term prospect

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Create	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
Sheehan	3	11/4	3	3	11/4
Hamlet	7/2	10/3	3	3	7/2
Teddys Dawn	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	10/1
Perovskia	14	14	14	14	14
Solar Portrait	25	25	25	25	25
Brazen Rascal	40	33	33	33	33/1
Coco Starlight	66	66	50	66	66
Roman Princess	100	66	66	66	80/1
Kodi Hawk	150	100	100/1	100	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Create

21.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

Sheehan

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Hamlet

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Perovskia

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.5

Teddys Dawn

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Solar Portrait

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Brazen Rascal

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Coco Starlight

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Roman Princess

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Kodi Hawk

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Create	—	80	66
Sheehan	—	80	—
Hamlet	—	—	—
Teddys Dawn	—	45	—
Perovskia	—	65	—
Solar Portrait	—	66	47
Brazen Rascal	—	—	—
Coco Starlight	—	48	—
Roman Princess	—	60	—
Kodi Hawk	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Create	208d ago	Long break
Sheehan	17d ago	Fit
Hamlet	—	—
Teddys Dawn	25d ago	Fit
Perovskia	9d ago	Quick return
Solar Portrait	7d ago	Quick return
Brazen Rascal	—	—
Coco Starlight	25d ago	Fit
Roman Princess	18d ago	Fit
Kodi Hawk	—	—

Going: Standard

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