MHA Bakertilly "Confined" Handicap (For horses Who Have Not Won A Race In 2023)

Leicester

4:00

Date 2023-09-12

Distance 1m3f179y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (6)	Tarraff b James Doyle · Simon & Ed Crisford	James Doyle · Simon & Ed Crisford	132	t	34423	71	75	28	36d	—	—	-8	21.2	15/8 35%
Has yet to finish out of the frame in her five runs; much respected now handicapping
1 (4)	Haarar b Hector Crouch · Michael Bell	Hector Crouch · Michael Bell	141	v	-73362	72	80	69	40d	—	—	-12	24.3	7/4 36%
Excellent clear second of six at Epsom (1m4f) last month; big shout off an unchanged mark
3 (2)	Waterloo Sunset b George Bass(3) · Denis Coakley	George Bass(3) · Denis Coakley	134	—	483242	65	77	45	22d	—	—	0	17.2	9/2 18%
Reliable sort; good Lingfield 2nd latest; he can go well again off the same mark
7 (5)	Letaba b Robert Havlin · Ed Dunlop	Robert Havlin · Ed Dunlop	130	b	365426	69	78	54	30d	—	—	+2	10.8	17/2 11%
Still winless; below-par Windsor sixth latest; blinkers go back on now with bit to find
NR (3)	Byzantine Empire b Daniel Tudhope · Fergal Obrien	Daniel Tudhope · Fergal Obrien	134	t	460/94	65	71	21	18d	—	—	-3	6.4	17/2 11%
Well below par when fourth at Ffos Las 18 days ago; he needs to get back on track
NR (1)	Sea Of Charm b Rob Hornby · Georgina Nicholls	Rob Hornby · Georgina Nicholls	133	p	20-246	64	78	66	48d	—	—	-2	5.6	11 9%
In decent nick, sixth at Sandown (1m2f) 48 days ago; she's not discounted after a break
6 (7)	Total Lockdown b Darragh Keenan · Martin Dunne	Darragh Keenan · Martin Dunne	132	h	-86675	63	73	69	17d	—	—	0	4.3	28 4%
Arrives well below par, only fifth in Newmarket handicap 17 days ago; others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tarraff	15/8	7/4	15/8	15/8	15/8
Haarar	6/4	11/8	7/4	6/4	11/8
Waterloo Sunset	4	7/2	9/2	4	4
Letaba	8	17/2	8	8	9
Byzantine Empire	7	8	17/2	15/2	15/2
Sea Of Charm	10	11	9	9	10
Total Lockdown	28	25	22/1	25/1	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Haarar

24.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.4 Odds: 11.4

7/4

2nd

Tarraff

21.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

Waterloo Sunset

17.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.4 Odds: 5

9/2

Letaba

10.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Byzantine Empire

6.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Sea Of Charm

5.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Total Lockdown

4.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Haarar Top Rated	72	80	69
Tarraff	71	75	28
Letaba	69	78	54
Waterloo Sunset	65	77	45
Byzantine Empire	65	71	21
Sea Of Charm	64	78	66
Total Lockdown	63	73	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tarraff	36d ago	Fit
Haarar	40d ago	Fit
Waterloo Sunset	22d ago	Fit
Letaba	30d ago	Fit
Byzantine Empire	18d ago	Fit
Sea Of Charm	48d ago	Fresh
Total Lockdown	17d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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