Moulton Nurseries Fillies' Handicap – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

4:35

Moulton Nurseries Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-09-19

Distance 6f3y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £9,936

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (1)	Katey Kontent ch Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox	Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox	132	—	66-734	84	97	72	12d	—	—	-3	13.2	4 25%
Yet to add to her two juvenile wins but arrives in good nick; one to consider
5 (10)	Musical Tribute b Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	128	b	-33331	80	87	66	17d	—	—	+13	26.2	11/2 15%
Blinkered when wide-margin winner at Chelmsford; up 9lb but merits serious consideration
10 (3)	Catwalk Model b Frederick Larson(3) · Amy Murphy	Frederick Larson(3) · Amy Murphy	119	—	-21471	71	96	83	23d	—	—	+11	22.6	11/2 15%
Second C&D success 23 days ago; not ruled out despite taking a 3lb rise in the weights
2 (5)	Demi Pointe b David Egan · Roger Varian	David Egan · Roger Varian	135	—	61-9	87	88	30	30d	—	—	+2	11.9	15/2 12%
Off eight months before ninth in Pontefract Listed event; others look better treated
8 (8)	Miss Mai Tai b Callum Shepherd · James Fanshawe	Callum Shepherd · James Fanshawe	123	—	701112	75	97	89	37d	—	—	+20	28.8	9 11%
Completed hat-trick at Lingfield; edged out late at Leicester since; player nudged up 1lb
1 (2)	Noor Bano b Jefferson Smith · Ismail Mohammed	Jefferson Smith · Ismail Mohammed	137	—	-33171	89	98	80	39d	—	—	+20	28.8	8/1 11%
Won at Haydock latest, when held up in a strongly run race but she's not taken lightly
7 (4)	Premiere Beauty b Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	124	—	-38010	76	98	87	24d	—	—	+8	16.6	9/1 10%
C&D winner but she's not the easiest to catch right; others are more persuasive
4 (7)	Cuban Breeze b Neil Callan · David Evans	Neil Callan · David Evans	129	v	327509	79	97	80	12d	—	—	+3	10.4	10 10%
It's now 21 starts since her last success and she comes here below par too
6 (6)	Miss Bella Brand b George Wood · Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	George Wood · Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	126	—	241170	76	96	88	66d	—	—	+10	16.4	11 9%
Dual 6f scorer in the spring but well below form since; needs to get back on track
9 (9)	Alcazan b William Carson · Roger Teal	William Carson · Roger Teal	121	—	307010	71	97	80	12d	—	—	+9	13.3	28/1 3%
Won at Goodwood but last of 12 at Wolverhampton 12 days ago; she needs to bounce back

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Katey Kontent	4	4	4	4	4
Musical Tribute	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Catwalk Model	6	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Demi Pointe	15/2	7	7	7	7/1
Miss Mai Tai	9	8	8	8	15/2
Noor Bano	8	15/2	8	15/2	8/1
Premiere Beauty	9	9	9	9	9/1
Cuban Breeze	10	10	10	10	9/1
Miss Bella Brand	11	10	11	11	11
Alcazan	25	25	28	25	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miss Mai Tai

28.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 20 Odds: 2.5

2nd

Noor Bano

28.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 2.5

8/1

3rd

Musical Tribute

26.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 15.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Catwalk Model

22.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 14 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Premiere Beauty

16.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Miss Bella Brand

16.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 8 Odds: 1.9

Alcazan

13.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Katey Kontent

13.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

Demi Pointe

11.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Cuban Breeze

10.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Noor Bano Top Rated	89	98	80
Demi Pointe	87	88	30
Katey Kontent	84	97	72
Musical Tribute	80	87	66
Cuban Breeze	79	97	80
Premiere Beauty	76	98	87
Miss Bella Brand	76	96	88
Miss Mai Tai	75	97	89
Catwalk Model	71	96	83
Alcazan	71	97	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Katey Kontent	12d ago	Quick return
Musical Tribute	17d ago	Fit
Catwalk Model	23d ago	Fit
Demi Pointe	30d ago	Fit
Miss Mai Tai	37d ago	Fit
Noor Bano	39d ago	Fit
Premiere Beauty	24d ago	Fit
Cuban Breeze	12d ago	Quick return
Miss Bella Brand	66d ago	Fresh
Alcazan	12d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Soft

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