Earthlight Darley Stakes (Group 3) – Newmarket

Newmarket

3:50

Earthlight Darley Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2023-10-14

Distance 1m1f

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £45,368

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (2)	Knight b James Doyle · Simon & Ed Crisford	James Doyle · Simon & Ed Crisford	127	p	1-7422	111	122	89	24d	—	—	+7	28.9	11/4 27%
Lightly raced 3yo; beaten head in Listed event at Sandown last time; commands respect
3 (9)	Highland Avenue gr William Buick · Charlie Appleby	William Buick · Charlie Appleby	131	—	9-3244	108	121	99	84d	—	—	0	20.7	11/4 27%
Had excuse when beaten favourite last time; C&D winner and handles any ground; shortlisted
9 (1)	Real Gain b Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	127	—	1-131	102	119	99	15d	—	—	+11	23.6	11/2 15%
Unexposed 3yo; impressive winner of C&D handicap; well worth place in this higher grade
4 (8)	Raadobarg b Ryan Moore · George Boughey	Ryan Moore · George Boughey	131	tb	339353	107	122	92	24d	—	—	+11	22.4	7/1 13%
Continued solid run of form when third in Listed race at Sandown; each-way claims again
1 (6)	Spirit Dancer b Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	134	—	-38111	112	122	108	49d	—	—	+32	40.5	9 11%
In the form of his life, winning York Group 3 last time; even more needed to defy penalty
NR (10)	Dubai Future b TBC · Saeed Bin Suroor	· Saeed Bin Suroor	131	p	31-252	113	127	111	231d	—	—	+10	18.1	10 10%
Solid chance judged on close second in UAE Group 2 in January; returns from 231-day break
8 (5)	Padishakh b David Egan · Roger Varian	David Egan · Roger Varian	127	h	-24725	104	113	93	69d	—	—	+12	20.4	17/2 11%
Ex-French; best effort when second in Chantilly Listed race; impossible to discount
7 (4)	Maximilian Caesar b Stefano Cherchi · Marco Botti	Stefano Cherchi · Marco Botti	127	—	-10221	97	109	93	30d	—	—	+27	31	18 6%
Steadily progressive but now up significantly in grade after Doncaster handicap win
10 (7)	Silver Sword gr G Cheyne · Dylan Cunha	G Cheyne · Dylan Cunha	127	—	121715	102	114	85	24d	—	—	+20	25.4	20 5%
Steadily progressive but something to find with two of these based on latest Sandown run
5 (3)	Sir Busker b Jim Crowley · William Knight	Jim Crowley · William Knight	131	v	3-2907	110	122	115	24d	—	—	+15	18	28 4%
Below par this season; might have needed latest run but has enough to prove on balance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Knight	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Highland Avenue	11/4	3	3	11/4	3
Real Gain	11/2	6	5	5	11/2
Raadobarg	7	7/1	13/2	6	13/2
Spirit Dancer	9	9	9	9	9
Dubai Future	10	8	10	9	9
Padishakh	8	8	9	8	17/2
Maximilian Caesar	18	16/1	16	16	16
Silver Sword	20	20	18	18	20
Sir Busker	28	28	25	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spirit Dancer

40.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 22.6 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Maximilian Caesar

OR: 11.8 Form: 18 Odds: 1.2

3rd

Knight

28.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Silver Sword

25.4

OR: 13 Form: 11 Odds: 1.4

Real Gain

23.6

OR: 13 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Raadobarg

22.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Highland Avenue

20.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Padishakh

20.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Dubai Future

18.1

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Sir Busker

OR: 15 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dubai Future Top Rated	113	127	111
Spirit Dancer	112	122	108
Knight	111	122	89
Sir Busker	110	122	115
Highland Avenue	108	121	99
Raadobarg	107	122	92
Padishakh	104	113	93
Real Gain	102	119	99
Silver Sword	102	114	85
Maximilian Caesar	97	109	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Knight	24d ago	Fit
Highland Avenue	84d ago	Fresh
Real Gain	15d ago	Fit
Raadobarg	24d ago	Fit
Spirit Dancer	49d ago	Fresh
Dubai Future	231d ago	Long break
Padishakh	69d ago	Fresh
Maximilian Caesar	30d ago	Fit
Silver Sword	24d ago	Fit
Sir Busker	24d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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