Happy Birthday Sue Novices' Chase (Listed Race) (For The Robert Mottram Memorial Trophy) (GBB Race)

Chepstow

3:10

Date 2023-10-14

Distance 2m3f98y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £22,780

Runners 5

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Knappers Hill b Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	159	—	14231-	153	-	-	168d	—	—	+9	59.4	5/6 55%
Dual Grade 2 hurdle winner; will be hard to beat if he jumps adequately on chasing debut
4	Unexpected Party gr Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	159	t	32353-	142	160	134	175d	—	—	+11	38	15/8 35%
0-6 over fences last season but showed some very useful form in defeat; likely contender
2	Collectors Item b Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo Oneill	Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo Oneill	159	—	15123-	132	-	-	210d	—	—	+25	37.6	13/2 13%
Developed into a useful novice hurdler last season and looks a good chasing prospect
NR	Bourbali b TBC · Joe Tizzard	· Joe Tizzard	159	—	24242-	127	-	-	168d	—	—	+14	33.4	18 6%
Useful handicap hurdler; set a fairly tough task on chasing debut
5	Bella Bliss b Sean Bowen · John C Mcconnell	Sean Bowen · John C Mcconnell	152	t	600112	120	143	71	16d	—	—	+30	36.1	20/1 5%
Dual chase winner; not favoured by the weights but Irish yard does well in Britain

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Knappers Hill	4/5	4/5	5/6	4/5	4/5
Unexpected Party	15/8	2	15/8	2	2
Collectors Item	7	6	13/2	13/2	6
Bourbali	18	18	14	18	18
Bella Bliss	20/1	16	16	16	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Knappers Hill

59.4

OR: 25.8 Form: 16.6 Odds: 17.1

5/6

2nd

Unexpected Party

OR: 23 Form: 6.6 Odds: 8.4

15/8

3rd

Collectors Item

37.6

OR: 20.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Bella Bliss

36.1

OR: 17.5 Form: 17 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Bourbali

33.4

OR: 19.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Knappers Hill Top Rated	153	—	—
Unexpected Party	142	160	134
Collectors Item	132	—	—
Bourbali	127	—	—
Bella Bliss	120	143	71

Last Run

Going: Soft

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