Betsi Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

7:30

Betsi Handicap

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (2)	Tradesman b Hayley Turner · David Simcock	Hayley Turner · David Simcock	138	b	738161	58	68	54	14d	—	—	-6	28.3	13/8 38%
Patchy overall record but his last two visits to Chelmsford were wins over 1m6f and 2m
9 (3)	Grand Duchess Olga b Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	129	p	452621	56	64	25	28d	—	—	+4	21.5	7/2 22%
Cheekpieces here last twice when beaten a neck over 1m5f and winning by a head over 1m6f
NR (1)	Socially Shady ch TBC · Jim & Suzi Best	· Jim & Suzi Best	141	—	947763	61	67	56	14d	—	—	-7	11	7/2 22%
Much more like last November's winning form when third of nine at Chelmsford on latest
3 (6)	Buxted Reel b David Egan · Ian Williams	David Egan · Ian Williams	140	—	608360	60	60	28	16d	—	—	-4	7.1	15/2 12%
Thrown in on last year's form but there's been only one echo of that form this season
2 (10)	This Ones For Fred b/br Ben Curtis · David Evans	Ben Curtis · David Evans	140	—	351145	60	66	60	16d	—	—	+3	13.4	15/2 12%
Pretty consistent and will probably not be far away
7 (11)	Estrela Star ch Robert Havlin · Ali Stronge	Robert Havlin · Ali Stronge	136	p	61-484	56	65	52	56d	—	—	-4	3.6	12 8%
4th to Tradesman over C&D in returning cheekpieces was a step back in the right direction
8 (13)	Buxlow Boy b Kyle Strydom · David Menuisier	Kyle Strydom · David Menuisier	132	p	-54425	59	66	-	15d	—	—	+1	7.7	12/1 8%
Well beaten at Nottingham (2m, heavy) latest; lightly raced, not written off on AW debut
10 (9)	Destinado b Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	127	—	239005	47	58	45	27d	—	—	-4	2.3	16/1 6%
One win (Wolverhampton AW in February) from 28 races; has not previously shone beyond 1m5f
4 (4)	Rays The One b Kieran Shoemark · Mark Pattinson	Kieran Shoemark · Mark Pattinson	139	—	558-61	59	66	19	133d	—	—	-1	3.3	20 5%
Returned to the Flat with C&D win in June, making all and holding on by a head; off since
11 (8)	Louaizeh b Luke Morris · James Ferguson	Luke Morris · James Ferguson	123	p	00937	50	60	25	12d	—	—	-2	3.5	22 5%
Wears headgear first time; has stamina on the dam's side; considered after last two runs
6 (7)	Alghazaal ch David Probert · Mark Usher	David Probert · Mark Usher	138	—	0-8098	58	61	31	16d	—	—	-1	3	25/1 4%
Needs a revival; has usually worn headgear over the last year but it's absent today
12 (5)	Lilla Cross b Kieran O'Neill · Christine Dunnett	Kieran O'Neill · Christine Dunnett	119	—	096085	46	63	50	21d	—	—	-3	1	28 4%
5th of 13 at Southwell (1m3f) latest, keeping on well as if longer trips were in order
13 (12)	Opportunity Knocks b Cam Hardie · Dean Ivory	Cam Hardie · Dean Ivory	119	p	279080	46	61	44	14d	—	—	-1	0.5	100 1%
12-race maiden; recent results are discouraging; new trip and different headgear

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tradesman	13/8	6/4	13/8	13/8	13/8
Grand Duchess Olga	4	7/2	4	4	4
Socially Shady	7/2	4	10/3	7/2	7/2
Buxted Reel	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
This Ones For Fred	8	15/2	15/2	7	15/2
Estrela Star	12	11/1	11	11	11
Buxlow Boy	11	12/1	11	11	10
Destinado	14	14	14	11	16/1
Rays The One	20	18	18	18	18
Louaizeh	22	20	16	14	20
Alghazaal	25	25/1	25	22	25/1
Lilla Cross	28	22	20	22	25/1
Opportunity Knocks	100	66/1	40	50	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tradesman

28.3

OR: 2 Form: 15.6 Odds: 10.7

13/8

2nd

Grand Duchess Olga

21.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 15 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

This Ones For Fred

13.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 8 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Socially Shady

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Buxlow Boy

7.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Buxted Reel

7.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Estrela Star

3.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Louaizeh

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

Rays The One

3.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Alghazaal

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Destinado

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Lilla Cross

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Opportunity Knocks

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Socially Shady Top Rated	61	67	56
Buxted Reel	60	60	28
This Ones For Fred	60	66	60
Buxlow Boy	59	66	—
Rays The One	59	66	19
Tradesman	58	68	54
Alghazaal	58	61	31
Grand Duchess Olga	56	64	25
Estrela Star	56	65	52
Louaizeh	50	60	25
Destinado	47	58	45
Lilla Cross	46	63	50
Opportunity Knocks	46	61	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tradesman	14d ago	Fit
Grand Duchess Olga	28d ago	Fit
Socially Shady	14d ago	Fit
Buxted Reel	16d ago	Fit
This Ones For Fred	16d ago	Fit
Estrela Star	56d ago	Fresh
Buxlow Boy	15d ago	Fit
Destinado	27d ago	Fit
Rays The One	133d ago	Long break
Louaizeh	12d ago	Quick return
Alghazaal	16d ago	Fit
Lilla Cross	21d ago	Fit
Opportunity Knocks	14d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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