BetMGM: It's Showtime Apprentice Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:25

BetMGM: It's Showtime Apprentice Handicap

Date 2023-10-20

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (10)	Cusack b Jonny Peate · David Thompson	Jonny Peate · David Thompson	135	p	837143	65	81	55	14d	—	—	-6	20.4	5/2 29%
Goes well at this course and this reliable sort should give another good account
3 (12)	Loom Large b William Pyle(3) · Iain Jardine	William Pyle(3) · Iain Jardine	133	t	7P5251	63	79	52	18d	—	—	-2	23.1	5/2 29%
Notched first AW win here last time and, although back in trip, should go well again
9 (8)	Al Tarfa b Brandon Wilkie(5) · William Knight	Brandon Wilkie(5) · William Knight	130	—	678227	63	76	64	8d	—	—	+3	11.8	15/2 12%
Inconsistent maiden; better than he was able to show last time; each-way claims
11 (9)	Mercurius Power b Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	130	tp	003859	60	78	67	22d	—	—	-2	5.6	9/1 10%
Has slipped back to a good mark and may be suited by the drop back to this distance
7 (4)	Powdering b Christian Howarth(3) · Kevin Ryan	Christian Howarth(3) · Kevin Ryan	131	b	373865	64	78	59	17d	—	—	-1	6.6	11 9%
Not won since reappearance/handicap debut in June but return to a mile likely to help
2 (11)	Cloch Nua b Alex Jary(5) · Stella Barclay	Alex Jary(5) · Stella Barclay	134	—	-67325	64	79	45	105d	—	—	+4	10.2	12 8%
Has shown he retains all his ability this year but best watched on first run since July
5 (3)	Rory ch Amie Waugh(3) · Jim Goldie	Amie Waugh(3) · Jim Goldie	133	—	556279	63	79	-	17d	—	—	+2	7.1	16 6%
Not won for over a year and type that needs things to drop right; can be taken on again
12 (7)	Asdaa b Oliver Stammers · Charlie Johnston	Oliver Stammers · Charlie Johnston	130	v	550556	60	77	46	14d	—	—	-1	3.9	14 7%
Patchy form since last win but usual cheekpieces now replaced by first-time visor
4 (2)	Danielsflyer b Connor Planas · David Thompson	Connor Planas · David Thompson	133	p	704576	63	77	46	18d	—	—	0	4.6	18 6%
No improvement over 1m2f on last five starts; should benefit from the step back to a mile
6 (5)	Little Ted ch Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	133	p	141306	63	75	42	28d	—	—	+5	9	20 5%
Won over C&D and over further on turf since July; should give a good account down in grade
NR (6)	Red Hat Eagle b TBC · William Knight	· William Knight	137	—	795721	70	76	65	2d	—	—	+5	24.2	7/2 22%
Won narrowly despite a wide trip at Kempton on Wednesday; more on under penalty
10 (1)	Bay Dream Believer b Frederick Larson · Mark Walford	Frederick Larson · Mark Walford	130	h	821425	60	75	-	73d	—	—	+8	10.8	33 3%
Below best on soft last time and still to show she's as good on AW; enough to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cusack	5/2	5/2	17/8	5/2	5/2
Loom Large	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Al Tarfa	8	8	15/2	8	8
Mercurius Power	9	9	9	9	9/1
Powdering	11	11	11	11	11
Cloch Nua	12	12	12	12	11
Rory	16	16	14	16	14/1
Asdaa	14	14	14	14	14
Danielsflyer	18	16	14	16	16
Little Ted	20	18	18	18	18
Red Hat Eagle	4	4	7/2	4	7/2
Bay Dream Believer	33	28	28	28	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Red Hat Eagle

24.2

OR: 5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Loom Large

23.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 12.2 Odds: 7.6

5/2

3rd

Cusack

20.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 8

5/2

Al Tarfa

11.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 6 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Bay Dream Believer

10.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0.8

Cloch Nua

10.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Little Ted

OR: 3.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

Rory

7.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.4

Powdering

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.2

Mercurius Power

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Danielsflyer

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Asdaa

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Red Hat Eagle Top Rated	70	76	65
Cusack	65	81	55
Powdering	64	78	59
Cloch Nua	64	79	45
Loom Large	63	79	52
Al Tarfa	63	76	64
Rory	63	79	—
Danielsflyer	63	77	46
Little Ted	63	75	42
Mercurius Power	60	78	67
Asdaa	60	77	46
Bay Dream Believer	60	75	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cusack	14d ago	Fit
Loom Large	18d ago	Fit
Al Tarfa	8d ago	Quick return
Mercurius Power	22d ago	Fit
Powdering	17d ago	Fit
Cloch Nua	105d ago	Long break
Rory	17d ago	Fit
Asdaa	14d ago	Fit
Danielsflyer	18d ago	Fit
Little Ted	28d ago	Fit
Red Hat Eagle	2d ago	Quick return
Bay Dream Believer	73d ago	Fresh

Going: Standard

Loading going stats…

Previous Meetings

Loading…