Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Galway

2:32

Date 2023-10-28

Distance 2m90y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Release The Beast b Sean Flanagan · Paul Nolan	Sean Flanagan · Paul Nolan	165	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-28	13.3	6/5 45%
Newcomer probably best watched unless market suggests otherwise
8	Ollie La Ba Ba ch Tom Kelly(7) · Eoin Christopher McCarthy	Tom Kelly(7) · Eoin Christopher McCarthy	162	t	P-P562	-	123	110	13d	—	—	-18	8	9/4 31%
Recent Clonmel second over 2m5f makes him the one to beat if coping with drop in trip
7	Mac's Xpress ch Jack G Gilligan(7) · Paul John Gilligan	Jack G Gilligan(7) · Paul John Gilligan	162	—	50F533	97	113	72	35d	—	—	+5	20.8	6/1 14%
Solid form in handicaps and could well feature in what appears a weak maiden
5	The Lucky Lobster b James O'Sullivan(3) · Declan Queally	James O'Sullivan(3) · Declan Queally	163	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	14/1 7%
Half-brother to a pair of hurdle winners; market likely best guide on debut
9	Safran Et Bleu b/br Jack Doyle · P M J Doyle	Jack Doyle · P M J Doyle	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	14 7%
Interesting debutant from respected source, market support likely significant
2	Makaela's Choice b Michael O'Sullivan · Thomas Mullins	Michael O'Sullivan · Thomas Mullins	164	h	7570-5	-	85	56	26d	—	—	-2	0.9	28/1 3%
Plenty to find on previous two attempts and needs to improve jumping
6	Upthereforthinking b Alix Balfe(7) · Gavin Cromwell	Alix Balfe(7) · Gavin Cromwell	163	—	469	-	103	67	33d	—	—	-2	0.9	28 4%
Excuses at Roscommon latest, some promise prior to that so don't rule out
4	Jouster b Ricky Doyle · Gavin Cromwell	Ricky Doyle · Gavin Cromwell	163	—	447-0	-	32	-	29d	—	—	-2	0.6	50 2%
Tailed off on hurdles debut over C&D last month in maiden won by a stablemate
3	Captain Dillon gr Phillip Enright · S Curling	Phillip Enright · S Curling	163	—	0-	-	-	-	270d	—	—	-1	0.4	100 1%
Jumped poorly, tailed off on Limerick debut back in January; best watched on return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Release The Beast	11/10	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5
Ollie La Ba Ba	9/4	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Mac's Xpress	6/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
The Lucky Lobster	14/1	10	11/1	11/1	10
Safran Et Bleu	14	14	14	14	14
Makaela's Choice	28/1	28	28	28	25
Upthereforthinking	28	25	25	25	22
Jouster	50	40/1	40	40	33
Captain Dillon	100	80/1	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mac's Xpress

20.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 4.7 Odds: 4.4

6/1

2nd

Release The Beast

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

6/5

3rd

Ollie La Ba Ba

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

The Lucky Lobster

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Safran Et Bleu

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Makaela's Choice

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Upthereforthinking

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Jouster

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Captain Dillon

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mac's Xpress Top Rated	97	113	72
Release The Beast	—	—	—
Ollie La Ba Ba	—	123	110
The Lucky Lobster	—	—	—
Safran Et Bleu	—	—	—
Makaela's Choice	—	85	56
Upthereforthinking	—	103	67
Jouster	—	32	—
Captain Dillon	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Release The Beast	—	—
Ollie La Ba Ba	13d ago	Quick return
Mac's Xpress	35d ago	Fit
The Lucky Lobster	—	—
Safran Et Bleu	—	—
Makaela's Choice	26d ago	Fit
Upthereforthinking	33d ago	Fit
Jouster	29d ago	Fit
Captain Dillon	270d ago	Long break

Going: Soft

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