Betfred "Hot Shots" Nursery Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

1:37

Betfred "Hot Shots" Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 1m1f

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,281

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (4)	Offer And Receive b NON-RUNNER · K R Burke	NON-RUNNER · K R Burke	130	—	13	80	89	-	44d	—	—	-33	37.5	—
Won at Hamilton and similar form when third in a novice at Ayr, both 1m on good to soft
1 (8)	New Chelsea b Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	137	—	432	87	92	70	42d	—	—	-9	28.1	5/4 44%
Bold show on heavy last time (pipped; gelded since) and there's stamina in the family
6 (7)	Bust A Move b Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	121	—	5643	71	92	81	21d	—	—	-4	13.3	7/2 22%
Came from last to a close third of ten when making his nursery debut at York (1m, soft)
4 (3)	Classy Boy b Sam James · K R Burke	Sam James · K R Burke	124	—	33532	74	92	82	21d	—	—	+2	19.6	9/2 18%
Second in nursery at York (upped to 1m, soft) last time, just in front of Bust A Move
5 (1)	Tipsy Tiger b David Egan · William Stone	David Egan · William Stone	121	—	0461	71	93	89	17d	—	—	+5	19.3	6/1 14%
Snatched a win from well off the pace on nursery debut at Nottingham (1m, heavy); up 4lb
2 (2)	I Love Paris b Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker	Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker	130	—	353	80	87	61	42d	—	—	+5	14.7	15/2 12%
Needs improvement but kept on well here (1m) last time and may have more to give
7 (6)	It's Not Risky ch Franny Norton · Hugo Palmer	Franny Norton · Hugo Palmer	116	p	839	66	88	78	50d	—	—	+3	7.2	28 4%
Gelded after latest start and now also wears cheekpieces; dam 1m6f winner; handicap debut
8 (5)	Modern Verse b Hayley Turner · David Simcock	Hayley Turner · David Simcock	114	—	960	64	87	45	80d	—	—	+2	4.1	66 2%
Has not yet beaten a rival; dam won at up to 1m5f and this is her handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Offer And Receive	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
New Chelsea	5/4	6/5	6/5	5/4	6/5
Bust A Move	4	4	7/2	4	4
Classy Boy	4	4	7/2	4	9/2
Tipsy Tiger	6/1	6	9/2	6	6
I Love Paris	15/2	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
It's Not Risky	25	25	28	25	25/1
Modern Verse	66	66	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Offer And Receive

37.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 20

—

2nd

New Chelsea

28.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 11.8

5/4

3rd

Classy Boy

19.6

OR: 6 Form: 8.6 Odds: 5

9/2

Tipsy Tiger

19.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

6/1

I Love Paris

14.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Bust A Move

13.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5

7/2

It's Not Risky

7.2

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

Modern Verse

4.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
New Chelsea Top Rated	87	92	70
Offer And Receive	80	89	—
I Love Paris	80	87	61
Classy Boy	74	92	82
Bust A Move	71	92	81
Tipsy Tiger	71	93	89
It's Not Risky	66	88	78
Modern Verse	64	87	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Offer And Receive	44d ago	Fit
New Chelsea	42d ago	Fit
Bust A Move	21d ago	Fit
Classy Boy	21d ago	Fit
Tipsy Tiger	17d ago	Fit
I Love Paris	42d ago	Fit
It's Not Risky	50d ago	Fresh
Modern Verse	80d ago	Fresh

Going: Heavy

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