BetMGM River Eden EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

1:47

BetMGM River Eden EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 1m5f

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £35,160

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (7)	Divine Jewel b David Egan · Roger Varian	David Egan · Roger Varian	131	—	-32929	100	109	-	54d	—	—	+3	24.3	10/3 23%
Placed four times in Pattern company on turf and won only AW start here; the one to beat
14 (13)	Safety Catch b Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	126	—	0-21	83	93	-	29d	—	—	-1	11.9	11/2 15%
Faces a daunting task, but her dam won this race and the stable has a fine record in it
7 (8)	Ayyab b Billy Loughnane · S Woods	Billy Loughnane · S Woods	126	—	743231	82	96	79	34d	—	—	+14	27.1	11/2 15%
Appears to be improving as she goes up up in trip so could go well at a price
8 (5)	Empress Wu b Jim Crowley · David Simcock	Jim Crowley · David Simcock	126	—	1-7236	97	109	-	52d	—	—	+12	21.4	15/2 12%
Twice placed in Pattern company this summer; well held in a stronger Listed race last time
13 (3)	Malka ch Kevin Stott · Kevin Philippart De Foy	Kevin Stott · Kevin Philippart De Foy	126	—	32741	83	97	89	55d	—	—	+13	23	15/2 12%
Off the mark in a 0-75 handicap at Kempton last time; this will be totally different
10 (9)	Ghara b Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	126	h	041986	94	109	73	61d	—	—	+8	16.5	17/2 11%
Sole win came in a Yarmouth maiden; not beaten far last time and stable won this last year
11 (11)	Greysful Storm gr Marco Ghiani · Darryll Holland	Marco Ghiani · Darryll Holland	126	—	029422	97	109	-	41d	—	—	+16	23.4	14/1 7%
Running well in handicaps lately but around 3l behind Divine Jewel at Chester in September
12 (1)	Luckin Brew b Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	126	—	2512-7	94	103	-	45d	—	—	+7	12.4	18 6%
Polytrack winner last year and just beaten in Listed company, but last on her Ayr return
5 (10)	Wynter Wildes b Richard Kingscote · Charlie Fellowes	Richard Kingscote · Charlie Fellowes	131	p	715912	86	100	75	21d	—	—	+19	24.4	18 6%
Triple Tapeta winner and best effort when second at Newcastle last time; even more needed
3 (6)	Evania b Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	166965	82	103	70	40d	—	—	+4	9.6	25 4%
Won three of her first four starts on the AW, but has been mostly quiet since; tough task
9 (12)	Flash Bardot b George Bass · Jack Channon	George Bass · Jack Channon	126	—	233811	85	101	-	17d	—	—	+25	28.1	25 4%
Course winner who bids for a hat-trick after two wins on turf but plenty more still needed
6 (2)	Andraste b James Doyle · George Boughey	James Doyle · George Boughey	126	—	32421	93	105	-	30d	—	—	+24	27.2	33 3%
1-5 in France; half-sister to The Revenant; worth a second look on stable/AW debut
4 (4)	Lady Percival b Charles Bishop · Hughie Morrison	Charles Bishop · Hughie Morrison	131	—	13-315	81	95	73	20d	—	—	+7	8.1	100 1%
Record on AW reads 3137421133; well beaten in Listed company last time and this no easier
1 (14)	Aiming High ch Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	131	h	328649	74	94	50	31d	—	—	+6	7.3	200 1%
Tapeta winner who faces a mountainous task in this company

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Divine Jewel	10/3	11/4	3	16/5	3
Safety Catch	11/2	5	11/2	5	11/2
Ayyab	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Empress Wu	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7
Malka	8	8	15/2	8	7
Ghara	8	17/2	8/1	17/2	8
Greysful Storm	14	14	14/1	14	12
Luckin Brew	16	18	16	16	14
Wynter Wildes	16	18	16	16	16
Evania	25	22	22	22	20
Flash Bardot	25	25	25	25	22
Andraste	33	25	28	28	28
Lady Percival	100	66	66	66	66
Aiming High	200	125	125/1	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flash Bardot

28.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 0.9

2nd

Andraste

27.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 0.9

3rd

Ayyab

27.1

OR: 8 Form: 15.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Wynter Wildes

24.4

OR: 9 Form: 14 Odds: 1.4

Divine Jewel

24.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Greysful Storm

23.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Malka

OR: 8.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Empress Wu

21.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ghara

16.5

OR: 11 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Luckin Brew

12.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Safety Catch

11.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Evania

9.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Lady Percival

8.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Aiming High

7.3

OR: 6 Form: 1 Odds: 0.3

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Divine Jewel Top Rated	100	109	—
Empress Wu	97	109	—
Greysful Storm	97	109	—
Ghara	94	109	73
Luckin Brew	94	103	—
Andraste	93	105	—
Wynter Wildes	86	100	75
Flash Bardot	85	101	—
Safety Catch	83	93	—
Malka	83	97	89
Ayyab	82	96	79
Evania	82	103	70
Lady Percival	81	95	73
Aiming High	74	94	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Divine Jewel	54d ago	Fresh
Safety Catch	29d ago	Fit
Ayyab	34d ago	Fit
Empress Wu	52d ago	Fresh
Malka	55d ago	Fresh
Ghara	61d ago	Fresh
Greysful Storm	41d ago	Fit
Luckin Brew	45d ago	Fit
Wynter Wildes	21d ago	Fit
Evania	40d ago	Fit
Flash Bardot	17d ago	Fit
Andraste	30d ago	Fit
Lady Percival	20d ago	Fit
Aiming High	31d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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