Willenhall Fillies' Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

8:30

Willenhall Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-11-21

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (12)	Emma Emilleen b Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	139	—	248542	70	76	54	24d	—	—	-4	15.7	7/2 22%
0-8 but can win races at this level; return to 1m2f shouldn't be a hindrance; contender
5 (4)	Rosa Chinensis b Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	138	—	462467	69	75	52	47d	—	—	-3	9.9	11/2 15%
Consistent rather than progressive; needs to better latest seventh in a similar C&D event
7 (1)	So Farhh So Good b Hector Crouch · Owen Burrows	Hector Crouch · Owen Burrows	137	—	463566	68	73	56	41d	—	—	-2	8.5	7 14%
Placed off 7lb higher on handicap debut in July but less good since; others look safer
1 (9)	Turner Girl b Rossa Ryan · Ed Dunlop	Rossa Ryan · Ed Dunlop	141	p	184223	69	76	59	19d	—	—	+8	16.1	17/2 11%
Two wins over further; comes here in top form but drop in trip asks new question of her
2 (11)	Brassavola b Billy Loughnane · Kevin Philippart De Foy	Billy Loughnane · Kevin Philippart De Foy	141	—	04548	69	71	54	27d	—	—	-2	7.3	17/2 11%
Only midfield on stable debut but that is strong form and today's trip could spark extra
11 (5)	Pearly Star b Jack Mitchell · Hugo Palmer	Jack Mitchell · Hugo Palmer	133	—	166254	64	75	38	21d	—	—	0	8.4	11 9%
Consistent 7.5f turf winner; new trip needs to have a positive effect for her to take this
9 (10)	Rogue Warrior b David Egan · Tom Clover	David Egan · Tom Clover	136	—	233	67	69	14	35d	—	—	+5	14.4	10 10%
Clear promise at up to 1m2f in novice/maiden runs; capable of better now handicapping
6 (7)	Night At Sea br David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	138	—	0423	69	69	15	19d	—	—	+6	13.2	12 8%
Perhaps needed her recent return and she has untapped potential now handicapping
3 (3)	Clipsham Gold ch Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	140	—	526072	68	75	58	14d	—	—	-1	14.9	9 11%
Four-time winner at up to 8.5f; 2nd over 1m here last time; stamina not assured up to 1m2f
8 (2)	Corymbosa b Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	137	—	7-35	68	69	24	76d	—	—	0	6.1	14 7%
Too keen upped to 1m4f last time; makes handicap debut at a realistic level; can do better
10 (6)	Eloped b Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	136	—	252137	67	74	55	34d	—	—	+10	14.1	20 5%
Progressive for H Palmer this summer; latest run can be ignored; still not fully exposed
12 (8)	Placated b Trevor Whelan · Dr Jon Scargill	Trevor Whelan · Dr Jon Scargill	129	—	414-55	57	74	-	36d	—	—	-1	2.6	33 3%
Two wins over further last season; fair run at Windsor latest; drop in trip a query

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Emma Emilleen	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Rosa Chinensis	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	5
So Farhh So Good	7	7	7	7	7
Turner Girl	8	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Brassavola	9	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Pearly Star	10	10	11	10	10
Rogue Warrior	10	10	9	10	10
Night At Sea	12	11	11	11	12
Clipsham Gold	8	9	9	9	9
Corymbosa	14	14	12	14	14
Eloped	20	18	16	18	20
Placated	33	25	25	22	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Turner Girl

16.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 9 Odds: 2.4

17/2

2nd

Emma Emilleen

15.7

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Clipsham Gold

14.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

Rogue Warrior

14.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.5

Eloped

14.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.2

Night At Sea

13.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

Rosa Chinensis

9.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

So Farhh So Good

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

Pearly Star

8.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

Brassavola

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Corymbosa

6.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Placated

2.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Emma Emilleen Top Rated	70	76	54
Rosa Chinensis	69	75	52
Turner Girl	69	76	59
Brassavola	69	71	54
Night At Sea	69	69	15
So Farhh So Good	68	73	56
Clipsham Gold	68	75	58
Corymbosa	68	69	24
Rogue Warrior	67	69	14
Eloped	67	74	55
Pearly Star	64	75	38
Placated	57	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Emma Emilleen	24d ago	Fit
Rosa Chinensis	47d ago	Fresh
So Farhh So Good	41d ago	Fit
Turner Girl	19d ago	Fit
Brassavola	27d ago	Fit
Pearly Star	21d ago	Fit
Rogue Warrior	35d ago	Fit
Night At Sea	19d ago	Fit
Clipsham Gold	14d ago	Fit
Corymbosa	76d ago	Fresh
Eloped	34d ago	Fit
Placated	36d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Rosa Chinensis	Mid-Pack
Brassavola	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Going: Standard

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