Christmas At CCR Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

7:00

Christmas At CCR Handicap

Date 2023-11-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (9)	Vape gr NON-RUNNER · John Flint	NON-RUNNER · John Flint	132	p	246757	64	-	-	15d	—	—	-44	23.5	—
Dangerous mark & this two-time C&D winner had an excuse last time; easy lead unlikely
2 (2)	Agostino b Marco Ghiani · Robert Cowell	Marco Ghiani · Robert Cowell	133	—	882241	65	82	71	24d	—	—	-4	27.8	15/8 35%
Landed strong support over C&D last month; up 5lb but still has handicapping scope
7 (1)	Ultramarine b Rossa Ryan · David Evans	Rossa Ryan · David Evans	132	—	038035	64	80	44	3d	—	—	-11	13.5	5/2 29%
Exposed maiden but big eyecatcher two weeks ago; down in Class; considered
9 (6)	Dicko The Legend b Rhiain Ingram(3) · Roger Ingram	Rhiain Ingram(3) · Roger Ingram	131	—	76P031	63	81	72	17d	—	—	+4	19.3	11/2 15%
Ready C&D win 17 days ago; 3lb rise fair but this is a stronger race
8 (8)	Mokaatil br David Egan · Ian Williams	David Egan · Ian Williams	132	p	065584	64	79	68	19d	—	—	-3	5.9	10 10%
Tumbled down the weights this year; more promise at Wolverhampton latest; down in class
4 (5)	Araifjan ch Daniel Muscutt · Michael Herrington	Daniel Muscutt · Michael Herrington	132	p	264041	64	81	71	11d	—	—	+6	16.4	10 10%
Gained 4th C&D win with strong finish 11 days ago; 5lb rise not insurmountable; contender
10 (3)	Jungle Run b Jack Mitchell · Tom Clover	Jack Mitchell · Tom Clover	130	b	241480	62	81	75	89d	—	—	0	8.4	12 8%
Easy C&D win in May off just 2lb lower; no surprise to see a revival this evening
1 (10)	Habooba ch Billy Loughnane · T J Kent	Billy Loughnane · T J Kent	133	p	-52792	65	80	71	24d	—	—	+7	11.5	16 6%
Career best when second to Agostino over C&D 24 days ago; 5lb turnaround maybe not enough
5 (4)	The Princes Poet b Cam Hardie · Ian McInnes	Cam Hardie · Ian McInnes	132	—	147736	64	79	48	45d	—	—	+2	6.8	28 4%
Four wins for former yard, including Polytrack; sold 7,000gns last month; others stronger
3 (7)	Alafdhal ch Josephine Gordon · Phil McEntee	Josephine Gordon · Phil McEntee	133	—	765870	65	78	42	19d	—	—	+1	4.7	40 3%
Conditions fine & sharper for recent return to this yard; dropped 5lb; can come good soon

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vape	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Agostino	15/8	15/8	2	6/4	15/8
Ultramarine	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Dicko The Legend	11/2	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Mokaatil	10	10	10	10	10
Araifjan	10	10	10	10	10
Jungle Run	12	11	12	12	12
Habooba	16	16	16	16	16
The Princes Poet	25	28	28	28	28
Alafdhal	33	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Agostino

27.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 14 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Vape

23.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Dicko The Legend

19.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 11.7 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Araifjan

16.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

Ultramarine

13.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.7 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Habooba

11.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.2

Jungle Run

8.4

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

The Princes Poet

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Mokaatil

5.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Alafdhal

4.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Agostino Top Rated	65	82	71
Habooba	65	80	71
Alafdhal	65	78	42
Vape	64	—	—
Ultramarine	64	80	44
Mokaatil	64	79	68
Araifjan	64	81	71
The Princes Poet	64	79	48
Dicko The Legend	63	81	72
Jungle Run	62	81	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vape	15d ago	Fit
Agostino	24d ago	Fit
Ultramarine	3d ago	Quick return
Dicko The Legend	17d ago	Fit
Mokaatil	19d ago	Fit
Araifjan	11d ago	Quick return
Jungle Run	89d ago	Fresh
Habooba	24d ago	Fit
The Princes Poet	45d ago	Fit
Alafdhal	19d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Jungle Run	Prominent
Dicko The Legend	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.

Going: Standard

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