Racing Welfare Supporting Racing's Workforce Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

5:30

Racing Welfare Supporting Racing's Workforce Handicap

Date 2023-11-21

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners 16

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (6)	Struck Gold b Rossa Ryan · John Butler	Rossa Ryan · John Butler	131	b	327661	53	71	60	8d	—	—	-14	24.3	6/4 40%
Step up to 8.5f saw him break his duck last week; penalty may not stop him following up
10 (2)	Warrior Square b Daniel Muscutt · T J Kent	Daniel Muscutt · T J Kent	126	—	000/8	46	57	53	241d	—	—	-10	4	9/2 18%
Unexposed; attracted support on h'cap debut after long absence and ran OK; contender
1 (13)	For Real b Callum Shepherd · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	Callum Shepherd · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	135	p	68091	57	65	42	19d	—	—	+3	15.4	13/2 13%
Sprung 40-1 surprise over C&D 19 days ago; cheekpieces now added; still low mileage
16 (8)	Ceilidh King ch Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	124	h	800679	46	55	39	81d	—	—	-7	2.9	17/2 11%
Disappointing maiden for H Morrison; not easily recommended on stable debut
7 (11)	Brazen Arrow br David Probert · Christine Dunnett	David Probert · Christine Dunnett	126	p	675035	46	68	41	5d	—	—	-2	3.8	14 7%
Poor strike-rate and still to convince he needs this far; others appeal more
6 (10)	Channel Packet b Christian Howarth(3) · Michael Appleby	Christian Howarth(3) · Michael Appleby	126	p	977046	46	67	41	11d	—	—	-5	1.9	12 8%
Conditions suit & he won the corresponding event last year; promise over C&D two weeks ago
14 (12)	Tranquillity b Billy Loughnane · Hughie Morrison	Billy Loughnane · Hughie Morrison	124	t	370375	46	63	-	29d	—	—	-3	3.1	16 6%
Twice 3rd in 7.5f Ffos Las handicaps this year; not progressing though & others look safer
13 (7)	Blue Curacao b David Egan · Pat Phelan	David Egan · Pat Phelan	124	—	736563	46	69	39	33d	—	—	-1	5.3	16 6%
Looks exposed already and the return to 1m isn't enough to tempt
8 (5)	Six Strings b Cam Hardie · Derek Shaw	Cam Hardie · Derek Shaw	126	h	675648	46	62	42	45d	—	—	-5	1.7	16 6%
Ended losing run at Wolverhampton in January but not matched that form since; vulnerable
4 (15)	Calleveryoneuknow b Ryan Kavanagh(7) · Amy Murphy	Ryan Kavanagh(7) · Amy Murphy	128	p	260636	50	69	59	21d	—	—	-1	3.2	25 4%
0-12 but has shown winning potential, including for this rider; wide draw but considered
15 (4)	Haulfronhobbs b Marco Ghiani · Chris Dwyer	Marco Ghiani · Chris Dwyer	124	p	626490	46	68	56	20d	—	—	-2	2.2	22/1 4%
11-race maiden but second in a 6f AW handicap in August; stamina for 1m not assured
NR (14)	Sirius White gr Trevor Whelan · Henry Spiller	Trevor Whelan · Henry Spiller	132	p	625071	52	64	55	12d	—	—	-8	20.3	13/2 13%
Two course wins over 7f; should stay 1m; wide draw but still of interest
11 (1)	O'Mhaire b Brandon Wilkie(5) · Robert Eddery	Brandon Wilkie(5) · Robert Eddery	124	—	0-609	46	64	-	125d	—	—	-2	0.6	80 1%
Poor form in 4 starts, including 0-50 classified event at Yarmouth when last seen in July
12 (9)	Lady Of Nepal ch Finley Marsh · Tony Carroll	Finley Marsh · Tony Carroll	124	b	450007	46	57	31	14d	—	—	-1	0.4	80 1%
No impact in four handicaps (7f-1m3f); blinkers need to prompt a transformation
9 (3)	Al Tarmaah b Josephine Gordon · Lee Carter	Josephine Gordon · Lee Carter	126	—	/709-0	46	64	29	239d	—	—	-1	0.4	80 1%
Not fired for this yard & he's had another absence since finishing last in March (1m 0-50)
5 (16)	Manny Boy b Joey Haynes · Christine Dunnett	Joey Haynes · Christine Dunnett	127	—	0906	47	65	29	11d	—	—	-2	0.7	80 1%
No solid form and pulled too hard when tailed off over C&D on recent handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Struck Gold	6/4	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Warrior Square	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
For Real	13/2	13/2	7	7	7
Ceilidh King	8	15/2	8	8	17/2
Brazen Arrow	14	14	12	14	14
Channel Packet	12	12	11	12	12
Tranquillity	16	16	16	16	16
Blue Curacao	14	12	12	12	16
Six Strings	16	14	12	14	14
Calleveryoneuknow	20	22	20	20	25
Haulfronhobbs	20	22	22	22	22/1
Sirius White	7	7	13/2	7	7
O'Mhaire	50	66	50	66	80
Lady Of Nepal	66	66	50	66	80
Al Tarmaah	66	80	50	66	80
Manny Boy	80	50	40	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Struck Gold

24.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 11 Odds: 12.5

6/4

2nd

Sirius White

20.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 11 Odds: 8.8

13/2

3rd

For Real

15.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Blue Curacao

5.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.7

Warrior Square

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Brazen Arrow

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

Calleveryoneuknow

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

Tranquillity

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

Ceilidh King

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Haulfronhobbs

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Channel Packet

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Six Strings

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Manny Boy

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

O'Mhaire

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Lady Of Nepal

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Al Tarmaah

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
For Real Top Rated	57	65	42
Struck Gold	53	71	60
Sirius White	52	64	55
Calleveryoneuknow	50	69	59
Manny Boy	47	65	29
Warrior Square	46	57	53
Ceilidh King	46	55	39
Brazen Arrow	46	68	41
Channel Packet	46	67	41
Tranquillity	46	63	—
Blue Curacao	46	69	39
Six Strings	46	62	42
Haulfronhobbs	46	68	56
O'Mhaire	46	64	—
Lady Of Nepal	46	57	31
Al Tarmaah	46	64	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Struck Gold	8d ago	Quick return
Warrior Square	241d ago	Long break
For Real	19d ago	Fit
Ceilidh King	81d ago	Fresh
Brazen Arrow	5d ago	Quick return
Channel Packet	11d ago	Quick return
Tranquillity	29d ago	Fit
Blue Curacao	33d ago	Fit
Six Strings	45d ago	Fit
Calleveryoneuknow	21d ago	Fit
Haulfronhobbs	20d ago	Fit
Sirius White	12d ago	Quick return
O'Mhaire	125d ago	Long break
Lady Of Nepal	14d ago	Fit
Al Tarmaah	239d ago	Long break
Manny Boy	11d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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