Southwell (AW)

5:25

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-12-22
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,873
Runners 12

Runners

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
3 (2) Daniel Muscutt · Mark Rimell 134 t 777273
71
85
73
16d -6
18
3/1
25%
Hold-up performer who lurks on a fair mark; first run here but expected to be involved
5 (7) David Egan · Jane Chapple-Hyam 133 25-4
70
83
32
18d -8
10.2
7/2
22%
Unexposed 4yo; sharper for this month's return from long absence; check betting
11 (11) Marco Ghiani · Ivan Furtado 128 297182
65
84
65
11d +3
18.2
5/1
17%
Two best runs for this yard have come at Chelmsford; more needed back up in class
10 (5) Cam Hardie · Peter Niven 129 t 006001
66
91
73
13d +4
18
6/1
14%
Winning stable debut at Newcastle 13 days ago; up 4lb but still has handicapping scope
1 (12) Alistair Rawlinson · David Evans 135 542450
72
84
71
15d -1
10.1
7/1
13%
Capable at this level but he hasn't been at his best the last twice; others safer
4 (1) David Allan · Scott Dixon 133 b 020068
70
84
60
59d 0
8.5
8/1
11%
Generally struggled this year but his York second in May came off an 8lb higher mark
7 (4) Ryan Sexton(3) · Julie Camacho 131 h -99000
68
79
39
81d +1
5.7
20/1
5%
Struggled for a couple of yards since coming to Britain; had wind op since latest run
6 (9) Tom Eaves · Sam England 132 189748
69
81
50
14d +2
5.6
28/1
3%
Still has low mileage and can come on for recent stable debut at Newcastle
9 (6) Phil Dennis · Katie Scott 129 p 183708
66
81
78
37d +3
5.8
40/1
2%
Chance on his best form but makes his stable debut with something to prove
8 (10) Andrew Mullen · John Wainwright 130 16/080
67
71
37
28d +3
4.7
100/1
1%
Still to prove he retains ability after his mammoth absence
NR (3) · Scott Dixon 134 225074
71
82
52
14d
6.3
Came from off the pace to finish 4th at Newcastle two weeks ago; more needed to break duck
NR (8) NON-RUNNER · Michael Appleby 127 t 556218
64
-
-
109d
13
Non-runner
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Thapa Vc
5/2 11/4 11/4 3/1 5/2
Arika
10/3 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
Wilde And Dandy
5/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2
Admiral Nelson
11/2 6/1 6/1 11/2 11/2
Supreme King
7/1 7/1 13/2 13/2 13/2
Motagally
8/1 8/1 8/1 15/2 8/1
San Isidro
20/1 20/1 20/1 16/1 18/1
No Saint
28/1 28/1 28/1 22/1 25/1
The Toff
40/1 22/1 25/1 22/1 22/1
Bobby Shaft
100/1 66/1 66/1 40/1 66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Wilde And Dandy
18.2
OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4
5/1
2nd Thapa Vc
18
OR: 5.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 7.3
3/1
3rd Admiral Nelson
18
OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 4
6/1
4 Pavlodar
13
OR: 3.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0
5 Arika
10.2
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2
7/2
6 Supreme King
10.1
OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1
7/1
7 Motagally
8.5
OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 2.5
8/1
8 Shaw Park
6.3
OR: 5.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0
9 The Toff
5.8
OR: 4 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.9
40/1
10 San Isidro
5.7
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
20/1
11 No Saint
5.6
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
28/1
12 Bobby Shaft
4.7
OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
100/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Supreme King Top Rated
72
84
71
Thapa Vc
71
85
73
Shaw Park
71
82
52
Arika
70
83
32
Motagally
70
84
60
No Saint
69
81
50
San Isidro
68
79
39
Bobby Shaft
67
71
37
Admiral Nelson
66
91
73
The Toff
66
81
78
Wilde And Dandy
65
84
65
Pavlodar
64

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Thapa Vc 16d ago Fit
Arika 18d ago Fit
Wilde And Dandy 11d ago Quick return
Admiral Nelson 13d ago Quick return
Supreme King 15d ago Fit
Motagally 59d ago Fresh
San Isidro 81d ago Fresh
No Saint 14d ago Fit
The Toff 37d ago Fit
Bobby Shaft 28d ago Fit
Shaw Park 14d ago Fit
Pavlodar 109d ago Long break

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Thapa Vc Hold Up
Shaw Park Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Going: Standard

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